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Russian Ukraine shenanigans


08Dawg

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2 hours ago, Clark Griswold said:

tankers flying 24/7 over Poland, Hungary, Romania, etc... US, UK, Poland, French, Italy, Aussies...

I've been watching adsbexchange for the past few days and there's been multiple tankers around here 24/7 it seems (much credit to the mobility crews and mx). current screengrab shows 3x -135s and 1x -10 (with a NATO AWACS in the bottom right):

image.thumb.png.3025da72b110de89609130ad6b30d9b1.png

Edited by Day Man
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1 hour ago, Lawman said:

Not just no but hell no…

Let’s go fly around an active conflict as a nonparticipating/quasi referee… one where coordination with either sides air defense is questionable at best, no form of distributed ACO/IFF exists… Basically hope that any Ukrainian with a Stinger or SA-11 can tell the difference between our aircraft and the bad guys.

We’ve shot our own airplanes down when we did have TAGS/AGS working…. F all that

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I get it, it's a high risk COA but here's the coordination with Russia:  Fuck off, don't fly inside of these coordinates or you will be fired on.  What Would Putin Do?  WWPD - he would be aggressive and bold because he knows his opponents in Western capitols have been timid, we know that equation has of late been leading to him pushing us around.  F that anymore.  Like all bullies, once he gets a bloody nose I think his bluster will fade and his power wane. 

Call me irresponsible but they need to learn a lesson, losing an air battle, being bested by the West, intimidated and cowed is the best thing for peace and stability right now,  they (the Russians) need to lose and be pushed back.  We're hand wringing and worrying about things going wrong, well they've gone almost as wrong as they can, it's time to do something different.

We develop ROE and use all our technological means to avoid blue on blue, it's risky but the risk of him winning is unacceptable.  Easy for me to say at 0' and 0 KIAS but it's true.

1 hour ago, Day Man said:

I've been watching adsbexchange for the past few days and there's been multiple tankers around here 24/7 it seems (much credit to the mobility crews). current screengrab shows 3x -135s and 1x -10 (with a NATO AWACS in the bottom right):

image.thumb.png.3025da72b110de89609130ad6b30d9b1.png

Good work boys - NKAWTG.

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20 minutes ago, Clark Griswold said:

I get it, it's a high risk COA but here's the coordination with Russia:  Fuck off, don't fly inside of these coordinates or you will be fired on.  What Would Putin Do?  WWPD - he would be aggressive and bold because he knows his opponents in Western capitols have been timid, we know that equation has of late been leading to him pushing us around.  F that anymore.  Like all bullies, once he gets a bloody nose I think his bluster will fade and his power wane. 

Call me irresponsible but they need to learn a lesson, losing an air battle, being bested by the West, intimidated and cowed is the best thing for peace and stability right now,  they (the Russians) need to lose and be pushed back.  We're hand wringing and worrying about things going wrong, well they've gone almost as wrong as they can, it's time to do something different.

We develop ROE and use all our technological means to avoid blue on blue, it's risky but the risk of him winning is unacceptable.  Easy for me to say at 0' and 0 KIAS but it's true.

Good work boys - NKAWTG.

No. 

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1 hour ago, BFM this said:

Awkward Krieger GIF by Archer

Could have been better ♟️

For all the Snowden defenders:

https://nypost.com/2020/11/02/edward-snowden-shows-his-true-colors-by-applying-for-russian-citizenship/

http://www.china.org.cn/world/2022-02/16/content_78051824.htm

https://www.commondreams.org/news/2022/02/11/nothing-more-grotesque-media-pushing-war-says-edward-snowden

Quick recap:

2013: Snowden steals secrets from the NSA. Goes to hide in Russia for "sanctuary" until he can get a fair trial or some such.

2014: Russia invades eastern Ukraine.

2021/2: Snowden downplays potential for war in Ukraine.

2022: Russia full-scale attacks Ukraine.

👍

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5 hours ago, Day Man said:

I've been watching adsbexchange for the past few days and there's been multiple tankers around here 24/7 it seems (much credit to the mobility crews and mx). current screengrab shows 3x -135s and 1x -10 (with a NATO AWACS in the bottom right):

image.thumb.png.3025da72b110de89609130ad6b30d9b1.png

Yes, the tankers are quite busy.

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10 hours ago, BashiChuni said:

No. 

That is the prevailing opinion.

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/02/25/nato-ukraine-russia-zelenskyy-00012068

And a proposal on using almost exclusively 5th Gens to enforce a no fly zone

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2022/02/f-22-stealth-fighters-how-nato-could-enforce-a-no-fly-zone-over-ukraine/

 

I want the Ukrainians to win, I want the Russians to lose, when you look at the comparison in militaries, economies and capabilities the overmatch the aggressor has is leading to an inevitable conclusion unless something changes in the operational environment.

All 5th Gen then, no warnings on being fired on, stay EMCON nothin and receive target data over the net, the first flight of Flankers that are fired on with no warning or targeted indications will give them incentive to not fly there.

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The Germans finally woke up:

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/27/scholz-germany-pledges-defense-spending-increase-in-shift-in-strategy.html

"Germany is committing 100 billion euros ($112.7 billion) to a fund for its armed services and will ramp up its defense spending above 2% of its gross domestic product, Chancellor Olaf Scholz said during a special session of the Bundestag on Sunday.

It has become clear that “we need to invest significantly more in the security of our country, in order to protect our freedom and our democracy,” Scholz said."

"Germany could purchase U.S. F-35 fighter jets built by Lockheed Martin (LMT.N) to replace its ageing Tornado in the role of nuclear sharing, Scholz said."

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11 minutes ago, DirkDiggler said:

https://apple.news/A5knIQwopRcmQV0voOvyGJw
 

For anyone looking to sign up.

Yesterday the Brits came out and said they won't stop any of it's citizens from going to fight in Ukraine.  Int he past they arrested and prosecuted those going to Afghanistan.

 

49 minutes ago, TheNewGazmo said:

The latest...."Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered his country’s deterrence forces – which includes nuclear arms – be placed on high alert.". 

Reason #69 why you don't try to Hellfire Putin.  The odds of this spilling outside of Ukraine is sadly increasing.  Good to see Germany step up with both equipment and Swift banking sanctions but we still have not targeted their oil...yes there would be many second and third order effects if we did.

 

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8 hours ago, ViperMan said:

Could have been better ♟️

For all the Snowden defenders:

https://nypost.com/2020/11/02/edward-snowden-shows-his-true-colors-by-applying-for-russian-citizenship/

http://www.china.org.cn/world/2022-02/16/content_78051824.htm

https://www.commondreams.org/news/2022/02/11/nothing-more-grotesque-media-pushing-war-says-edward-snowden

Quick recap:

2013: Snowden steals secrets from the NSA. Goes to hide in Russia for "sanctuary" until he can get a fair trial or some such.

2014: Russia invades eastern Ukraine.

2021/2: Snowden downplays potential for war in Ukraine.

2022: Russia full-scale attacks Ukraine.

👍

Edward Snowden is the actual definition of a treasonous sack of shit.

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For those who want a bit more depth here is a crowd sourced real time order of battle map.  Incidents are crosslinked with video and social media reports:

https://liveuamap.com/

 

Another interesting but far less organized source is Snap Map I don't use Snap Chat but this site allows you to click on a particular area and individual snaps the residents are postings.  Snapchat is obviously more focused on the younger crowd. I poked around yesterday and there were numerous posts from teenagers who fully grasp what is happening.

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17 hours ago, Danger41 said:

Posted on Instagram, former Thunderbird Pilot/Eagle guy Dozen Aldridge says that he has reliable first hand sources that say the “Ghost of Kyiv” was Colonel Olaksanser “Grey Wolf” Oksanchenko. Retired former Ukrainian SU-27 demo pilot that came out of retirement for the war. Unknown veracity of any of that and I haven’t personally reviewed the HUD tapes or 781’s so scoff away.

It's amazing the amount of gullible fighter pilots that should know better that are quick to push the "I believe button" over rumors heard from a friend of a friend.

 

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