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1 hour ago, Smokin said:

True, wheat prices would jump considerably, but would recover for the next harvest season.  We're still paying farmers not to farm and many of the midwest's most productive farms are growing corn to turn into gas rather than feed people.  There is considerable excess production available and that's not even considering some of the greenbelt acreages that could be farmed productively but are basically just hayed for the tax savings.  If people thought prices would continue to stay high, many of those greenbelt people would jump off the sideline and start leasing to nearby farmers.

Did you grow up on a grain farm?  Do you know how easy/hard it is to flip crops like this?  Equipment? TTPs?

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4 hours ago, ClearedHot said:

Wanna bet?  I predicted his nomination to AG.  I now predict he is appointed to replace Rubio.

I think the appointment is for 2 years and then it goes back to an election.  Now all Ron has to do is not sell it like Blagojevich did.

On 11/22/2024 at 9:08 AM, disgruntledemployee said:

Did you grow up on a grain farm?  Do you know how easy/hard it is to flip crops like this?  Equipment? TTPs?

Physically resided on a farm?  No, but my family does have a farm where I spend a fair amount of time and has switched 3 crops in the last 5 years, so yes, I have an idea.  If there is a potential to double the income, farmers will figure it out.

 

Did you grow up on a grain farm?  Do you know how easy/hard it is to flip crops like this?  Equipment? TTPs?

There is a glut of wheat in the world and prices are super low for the grower while costs spiral up. I run a wheat farm, if anyone wants to know the market and gripes of farmers, I’ll give em.

A bushel of wheat in 1960 went for about ~$2. Today I can sell mine for about $6.

1960 $2 = $20+ today. Now crops back then yielded about 1/2 of what they do now but the fertilizer cost to achieve that is outrageous control. Farmers produce more, drive down costs, then are forced to produce more due to thin margins.






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@arg That’s not comforting. I hope she is directly asked about red flag laws and the age restriction thing - if her answer is anything other than, “I was wrong and those should not exist,” time to can her ass and make the 3rd pick.

3 hours ago, di1630 said:


There is a glut of wheat in the world and prices are super low for the grower while costs spiral up. I run a wheat farm, if anyone wants to know the market and gripes of farmers, I’ll give em.

A bushel of wheat in 1960 went for about ~$2. Today I can sell mine for about $6.

1960 $2 = $20+ today. Now crops back then yielded about 1/2 of what they do now but the fertilizer cost to achieve that is outrageous control. Farmers produce more, drive down costs, then are forced to produce more due to thin margins.






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Similar.

In 1972 you could sell cattle and buy a new 1972 pickup. In 2024 you can sell cattle and buy a 1972 pickup.

1 hour ago, Sua Sponte said:

I've said this here before. The "AI" that exists currently is sufficient to make an anti air missile that is inescapable by any existing aircraft. I'm guessing Anduril or Palantir are already working on this, but in the end the human G limitation will make it impossible for a manned aircraft to escape this technology. 

 

There is a reason we are so aggressively blocking China from obtaining any of nvidia's most advanced chips. It won't matter, the processing power required for these models is already plummeting, and older video cards are capable much more than just a year or two ago.

 

It does make me wonder if we will see a return to guns as a primary anti-aircraft weapon. Creating an unmanned fighter that is capable of out-maneuvering whatever plane it is following and responding faster than any human can would make it relatively easy to get within range of a target and use cheap bullets to take it out. Reusable anti-aircraft drones would be a better value proposition than blowing up $100k in processing power with every launch. 

 

It's going to be an interesting decade ahead.

Agreed.  I like the idea of Musk rolling in and chopping heads, but platforms that we have literally built our national security plans around probably needs a bit deeper look.  Cameras are great, until it's cloudy...

Agreed.  I like the idea of Musk rolling in and chopping heads, but platforms that we have literally built our national security plans around probably needs a bit deeper look.  Cameras are great, until it's cloudy...

You fly when it’s cloudy?

Who needs SAMs or sophisticated drones. All you need is a few $400 DJIs and maybe some code you can find on the internet.

16 hours ago, Sua Sponte said:

I can't wait to refuel drones in my 80-year-old KC-135.

Perhaps the autopilot will work by then. 

My only ask from Elon is to get me some of that Starlink on the jet so that I can get updates from TACC via text... but also watch Netflix while I drone for 8 hours in support of a very high-profile offload of 5k. 

Who needs SAMs or sophisticated drones. All you need is a few $400 DJIs and maybe some code you can find on the internet.

The Aussie cardboard suicide drones are an interesting take on asymmetric warfare.

https://www.forbes.com.au/covers/innovation/the-aussie-cardboard-drones-hitting-russia-in-massed-attacks/

The people that think they can take on the world with this stuff are clearly in the dark, but the idea of some SOF team able to dump 30-50 of these on a major industrial center or airfield and then vanish is pretty terrifying…. Also why we should start doing more to model REDFOR SOF in our war games because it’s going to happen. Imagine some random cargo ship with a couple connex’s of these sitting in random ports just waiting on the word to create casualties at random. Say in a random no-name place like…. Shreveport… nothing important there right?


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1 hour ago, Lawman said:


The Aussie cardboard suicide drones are an interesting take on asymmetric warfare.

https://www.forbes.com.au/covers/innovation/the-aussie-cardboard-drones-hitting-russia-in-massed-attacks/

The people that think they can take on the world with this stuff are clearly in the dark, but the idea of some SOF team able to dump 30-50 of these on a major industrial center or airfield and then vanish is pretty terrifying…. Also why we should start doing more to model REDFOR SOF in our war games because it’s going to happen. Imagine some random cargo ship with a couple connex’s of these sitting in random ports just waiting on the word to create casualties at random.


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Looks like it, and the Herk, were designed by the same guy.

Edited by arg

What's the issue? 

 

Civilian led military. He's not even the 6th person in the last 70 years (very weird metric) to fill this role. 

Edited by Lord Ratner

Based on the picture they chose, it looks like Navy Times is not a fan.  If Navy Times is anything like AF Times, that might be a good sign.

16 hours ago, CaptainMorgan said:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-14087049/amp/space-force-commanders-dei-training-military-biden-harris-agenda.html
Wonder if Lohmeier will end up being on the “task force” or if he’ll get an appointment to DoD or DAF. Either way, it’ll be amusing if he ends up firing the people that fired him.


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He was my 38 IP a couple times when he was a FAIP. Phenomenal dude, recommend his book if you get a chance. 

He was my 38 IP a couple times when he was a FAIP. Phenomenal dude, recommend his book if you get a chance. 

I knew him back at the zoo. Nicest guy ever and his book was great.


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