October 10, 20223 yr Worthwhile analysis of the bridge strike; I did not realize it was detonated via suicide truck bomb: Link This and NS2 sabotage are potentially pivotal incidents shaping the next few months. And nobody is taking credit and it’s not obvious who did it. Very strange.
October 10, 20223 yr 6 hours ago, tac airlifter said: Worthwhile analysis of the bridge strike; I did not realize it was detonated via suicide truck bomb: Link This and NS2 sabotage are potentially pivotal incidents shaping the next few months. And nobody is taking credit and it’s not obvious who did it. Very strange. The Ukrainians knew this would royally piss off Putin. Better to leave things somewhat ambiguous than to invite his wrath. Looks like they got it anyway. Today’s missile strikes didn’t hit a single militarily significant target, instead hitting parks, pedestrian bridges, and playgrounds. Putin continues to do a great job recruiting pissed off Ukrainians who want nothing more than to kill untrained, poorly equipped, elderly Russian “soldiers” by the bushel.
October 11, 20223 yr 22 hours ago, Prozac said: The Ukrainians knew this would royally piss off Putin. Better to leave things somewhat ambiguous than to invite his wrath. Looks like they got it anyway. Today’s missile strikes didn’t hit a single militarily significant target, instead hitting parks, pedestrian bridges, and playgrounds. Putin continues to do a great job recruiting pissed off Ukrainians who want nothing more than to kill untrained, poorly equipped, elderly Russian “soldiers” by the bushel. Anyone care to comment about whether-or-not Russia is running low on expendables (not humans). Maybe poking the bear (STS) works if he isn't being fed - eventually he'll run out of energy (and resources) to fight?
October 12, 20223 yr Anyone care to comment about whether-or-not Russia is running low on expendables (not humans). Maybe poking the bear (STS) works if he isn't being fed - eventually he'll run out of energy (and resources) to fight?When you are actively shooting as much as 60k rounds of artillery a day, nobody currently has industrial capacity to maintain that.Buying ordnance from North Korean stockpiles isn’t a sign you have this going well for you logistically.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
October 12, 20223 yr On 10/8/2022 at 3:31 PM, ThreeHoler said: NYT said truck bomb. As per usual the NYT got it WRONG. The bridge was actually attacked by a SOF team using a remote controlled boat that maneuvered a barge laden with a LOT of explosives into place under the bridge. Like their cousins at the NYT, Russia was quick to blame a truck bomb and even named the driver. Good story and analysis here. They even found the remote controlled boat afterwards.
October 12, 20223 yr https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-fsb-arrests-eight-crimea-bridge-blast-2022-10-12/Russia still says truck bomb.“The FSB said the explosive device was camouflaged in rolls of construction polyethylene film on 22 pallets with a total weight of 22.7 tonnes, and moved from Ukraine to Russia via Bulgaria, Georgia and Armenia.”Did I think it was a truck bomb? Undecided at the time which is why I said “NYT said…” Now? Not likely, and also not as likely that Ukraine did it. The FSB release gives more credibility to Russia doing it themselves to justify increasing their attacks.Sent from my iPhone using Baseops Network mobile app
October 12, 20223 yr 26 minutes ago, ThreeHoler said: Russia still says truck bomb. Did you watch the video?
October 12, 20223 yr I'm not an expert, but when I was watching the videos from the day of the explosion, it sure didn't look to me like the blast originated from the bridge.
October 12, 20223 yr 35 minutes ago, Lord Ratner said: I'm not an expert, but when I was watching the videos from the day of the explosion, it sure didn't look to me like the blast originated from the bridge. If you watch the new CCTV video you can see the nose of the barge as it comes under the bridge and detonates. In other news, Ukraine "claims" to have shot down four Russian Helicopters in 18 minutes - presumably Ka-52s.
October 12, 20223 yr If folks want to see some examples of the types of damage a surface detonated (on top of the bridge roadway) LVIED does to a bridge = see the Iraq War: truck bomb destroys bridge in Iraq - Bing images Edited October 12, 20223 yr by waveshaper
October 12, 20223 yr Also looks like they timed it where a train was on that portion of the bridge.The train was supposedly stopped on the bridge in violation of normal transport rules.
October 12, 20223 yr 1 hour ago, ThreeHoler said: The train was supposedly stopped on the bridge in violation of normal transport rules. interesting. It looked like tanker cars which most likely would have fuel and had they known the train schedule and timed it that well....that is some good intel.
October 12, 20223 yr 5 hours ago, ecugringo said: interesting. It looked like tanker cars which most likely would have fuel and had they known the train schedule and timed it that well....that is some good intel. Slides were in Times New Roman and not Calibri so it was destined for success.
October 13, 20223 yr <br /> <br /> Looks like lead gets nicked on the second one. Edited October 13, 20223 yr by StoleIt
October 14, 20223 yr Zeihan analysis on Kerch Bridge bombing impacts Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
October 18, 20223 yr 5 hours ago, GrndPndr said: Just not a good look... Thankfully Ivan was able to spare the innocent field nearby to hit the apartment complex.
October 18, 20223 yr 14 hours ago, McJay Pilot said: Thankfully Ivan was able to spare the innocent field nearby to hit the apartment complex. On a positive note that’s one less Su-34 for the Ukrainians to worry about!
October 18, 20223 yr 1 hour ago, ClearedHot said: Drone V Drone Air to Air. That didn’t come from the drone though. There is another video out there where the drone rams the other.
October 18, 20223 yr 24 minutes ago, uhhello said: That didn’t come from the drone though. There is another video out there where the drone rams the other. Still an air to air kill right? Whatever hit it was moving fast, at first I thought it might have been something from the gorund but it looks like a flat trajectory.
October 18, 20223 yr 1 minute ago, ClearedHot said: Still an air to air kill right? Whatever hit it was moving fast, at first I thought it might have been something from the gorund but it looks like a flat trajectory. There was a thread over on reddit about it. Consensus was ground to air kill
October 18, 20223 yr 42 minutes ago, ClearedHot said: Still an air to air kill right? Whatever hit it was moving fast, at first I thought it might have been something from the ground but it looks like a flat trajectory. The glint off something at the tree road intersection, a firing spot with 3 escape routes, seems a logical launching point for whatever smoked this thing. What's interesting is that whatever hit it was smokeless until engagement...similar to a shaped charge. Yeah, no western influence to see here. Move along. I'm just a drone, tracking drone killed by another drone...
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