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I don’t know why we keep arguing this. There is literally no evidence, regardless of how convincing, you can show an anti-vaxxer that will convince them it’s good to get the shot, and it would take something incredible happening to convince everyone else the shot is bad.

anything other than complete dismissal is a travesty of justice. This was a sham from the get go. I'd give him an award and a "thanks from a grateful nation" certificate for killing the pedophile, and send him home.

Prosecuter says "You lose the right to self defense if you bring the gun" Was he absent the day they taught law in law school?

Clearly true.

Your chances of contracting the virus will absolutely approach 100% over time. Especially when most of the vaccine hold outs choose to intentionally disregard the other mitigation measures as well.

Where are you getting that 1/5 number in a 3 year period? If it's going off confirmed cases it is likely a gross underestimate of your actual risk because of reporting problems. The CDC estimates only 1 in 4 infections are reported which puts the total case estimate at 146 million infections from February 2020 to September 2021. Based on my rough math that puts your chance of getting it around 44% for the last 1.5 year period, keeping in mind the majority of that timeframe was before the more contagious delta variant was the dominant strain. So to your point, yes you do need to multiply those risk numbers by your odds of contracting the virus. But your odds are a significant under-estimation. If we're already at 44% penetration in a year and a half, we can safely assume your risk of getting covid over a 3 year period would be well over 50%. Meaning the myocarditis risk calculation still falls well in favor of the vaccine.

He believed it was a dead-end career move. I asked him if he knew any U-2 pilots personally. Surprisingly, the answer was no. I also asked him if he'd ever seen a U-2 in person (not that it really mattered). Again, no. I'm guessing he believed in his strong gut feeling. Maybe because the last jet would be parked in the boneyard in 2011. Hold that thought...

You’re on. But I should warn you: I won my last BO.net scotch bet and I have expensive tastes. See you in 2026.

Goal posts.......over or under on monthly 'boosters'...

Taking a play from North Korea. Population is starving but they can put together a military parade to appear all is well. I'm surprised they can muster the fuel at this point.

It was just before Stone, IIRC. I recall it was a fighter guy who was the T-1 SQ/CC... but it's been a while. I've seen different AETC leaders push back at various times. Anecdotally, Vance seemed to do it the most. Ironically, we got a lot of good U-2 pilots from Vance. Side note: next time I run in to you, remind me to tell you the story of Stone being a German spy who infiltrated DoD and became the first foreign spy to fly the U-2.

Want to turn topic a bit to focus on something I think is more interesting to national policy and law. https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2021/11/15/unions-seek-bargaining-rights-for-national-guard-members/ https://www.yahoo.com/news/pentagon-stands-vaccine-mandate-national-161801995.ht COVID-19 has forced some interest conversations about the role of the national guard in the US Total Force, and the lawful authority of the DoD to place mandates on members who are not on federal status. In Oklahoma, the state secretary of the guard was presumably fired over enforcing Secretary Austin's order to vaccinate all guard troops. He was replaced and subsequently the OK governor declared he is the lawful commander and chief of the OK national guard when they are not on federal status, and he will not enforce their vaccine mandate unless they are federally activated. In the second scenario, CT national guard members are sueing for the right to unionize when not in federal status. Their lawyer cleverly points out existing legislation against the unionization of the military only applies (apparently) when troops are title 32 status. Hence, members of the CT National Guard were unlawfully denied collective bargaining rights guaranteed to other CT state employees in regards to COVID-19 mandates. Now if you think this is bizarre, I would have too. Until I went to work for NATO and realized THE MAJORITY of western militaries are actually unionized. We are the odd one out. Definitely not advocating we model our defense off of Europe, but bros, you are getting screwed on representation, 😂.

Woah are we actually debating this again? Baseops crashed for 48 hours and I thought we all went through a day where we felt lost and helpless, followed by another day where we reconnected with our families and remembered there was a life outside of BO.net and arguing on the internet. I've posted this before but 19andMe has done one of the leading calculators for estimating cumulated risk of contracting COVID-19 based on a meta analysis of dozens of studies followed by a pretty impressive mathematical model. I ran the model for a 26 year old slightly healthier than average male in my zip code, unvaccinated, but taking basic social distance precautions based on the current local measures we had in place. This represents the average US Armed Forces enlisted service member. Since the calculator only predicts risk in a 24 hour window, I had to accumulate that risk over a period of 1,095 event occurences to build a 3 year risk model. https://19andme.covid19.mathematica.org/ To your other point, I do not believe the occurrence rate will approach 100% as that is not what historically happens with viruses. There is a mathematical model that explains the waves and valleys of virus transmission and even during some of the most infectious pandemics in human history, the vast majority went without ever being exposed. Edit: rereading your post your method is flawed for several reasons. 1.) If the CDC estimate is really so far under you would then need to extrapolate that reduced risk to your remaining risk because people who are not reporting COVID-19 are not doing so because they do not have symptoms, hence, no problems. 2.) I don't think your risk is correct. If we just estimate 44% is ~1/2, bro, I've only known of like 6 people with COVID the whole pandemic. That's my whole base population since anytime there is a positive case here we shut down literally half the base and it's rather obvious. Do you really know that many people dropping off left and right that this passed your common sense test?

My employer has stated: "...third shots or so-called booster shots are not considered part of the federal mandate, although that could change over time." (emphasis mine). I've heard a lot of arguments about "it's just a couple of shots," etc. Which, at the moment, is all you need to comply. But just as "two weeks to slow the spread" became "masks required until further notice," don't be surprised if the vax requirement continues to expand.

Now Germany and France… https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2021/11/10/germany-france-restrict-modernas-covid-vaccine-for-under-30s-over-rare-heart-risk-despite-surging-cases/amp/ Just shut up and take the shot!

In 5 years there will no longer be a C19 vaccine mandate for the military. Bet a bottle of scotch?