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The Iran thread

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On 1/8/2026 at 1:34 PM, uhhello said:

It’s certainly heating up. Internet shut down now.

Elon turned Starlink on for free, thought to be difficult to jam until the IRGC rolled out the big jammers yesterday cutting 80% of the flow.

14 hours ago, fire4effect said:

Trump tells Iranian protesters 'help is on its way' | AP News

I can't see any way Trump can back down now.

I wonder how fast we ramp up cruise missile etc. production because sustainability of a large-scale operation is looking for a lot more than a theoretical/academic discussion at this point.

Remember when Ukraine was THE headline?

If you look at the intel, this would be a smaller operation than you might think. The IRGC has lost grip and we would not need large scale strikes so we are not looking at big attacks on infrastructure, more likely targeted hit on IRGC and their control mechanisms. I think there could also be a limited ground presence (which is scary), but an effort to secure the nuke sites/material.

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  • RegularJoe
    RegularJoe

  • I propose a toast:  To the incompetence of Iranian aviation.  Hear, hear! And  on a positive note, congrats to President Raisi: he quit smoking yesterday!

  • tac airlifter
    tac airlifter

    I don’t think killing Iranians is an appropriate level of response for them shooting down a robot.  One of the advantages of RPAs is we can lose a few.  Had they killed aircrew, let’s start collecting

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1 hour ago, ClearedHot said:

Elon turned Starlink on for free, thought to be difficult to jam until the IRGC rolled out the big jammers yesterday cutting 80% of the flow.

If you look at the intel, this would be a smaller operation than you might think. The IRGC has lost grip and we would not need large scale strikes so we are not looking at big attacks on infrastructure, more likely targeted hit on IRGC and their control mechanisms. I think there could also be a limited ground presence (which is scary), but an effort to secure the nuke sites/material.

I hope so. My biggest concern is maintaining a creditable/sustainable deterrent to the plethora of bad guys all around the world and covering an area not currently overly hot but that we all know can turn on a dime. BOG? Yep scary. No matter who's in charge over there we'll have some who still hate us.

10 minutes ago, fire4effect said:

I hope so. My biggest concern is maintaining a creditable/sustainable deterrent to the plethora of bad guys all around the world and covering an area not currently overly hot but that we all know can turn on a dime. BOG? Yep scary. No matter who's in charge over there we'll have some who still hate us.

The Navy is stressed right now...to say the least.

1 hour ago, ClearedHot said:

The Navy is stressed right now...to say the least.

Unfortunately very true. Poor bastards.

3 hours ago, uhhello said:

The Deid is flushing again according to OSINT

I assume you're referring to this?

ItaMilRadar
No image preview

US Tanker Squadron Departs Qatar as Iran Tensions Rise

In the early evening today, several US Air Force KC-135R aerial refuelling aircraft departed Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and headed south over the Arabian Peninsula before switching off their transpond

Airspace of Iran closed. Trump seems to have softened his remarks but who knows with him.

2 hours ago, uhhello said:

Airspace of Iran closed. Trump seems to have softened his remarks but who knows with him.

Trump claims they called off executions because of the threat of force. I'm skeptical but that is the advantage to keep the other side thinking you're just crazy enough to really bring the pain.

11 hours ago, fire4effect said:

Trump claims they called off executions because of the threat of force. I'm skeptical but that is the advantage to keep the other side thinking you're just crazy enough to really bring the pain.

Personally I think the pain is coming in 24-48 hours.

So like 20000 have been killed. More than in Gaza but there’s no protesters? I don’t understand?

Per OSINT, executions have stopped (hangings) but they did beat one dissident to death.

Looks like everything is ramping back up for the ability to strike Iran again. I wonder what the plan/outcome is.

  • Author
32 minutes ago, ClearedHot said:

Iran now flying DCA caps...Raptor likely chomping at their bits...

29s or J-10s?

The kid is going to lose his shit if the 35's, Hornets and Vipers get the kills and he left holding a balloon (marking).

On 1/28/2026 at 5:36 AM, SocialD said:

The kid is going to lose his shit if the 35's, Hornets and Vipers get the kills and he left holding a balloon (marking).

Inshallah

12 minutes ago, slc said:

There are so many bullshit accounts on X. None of the ones that seem legit are showing any of this.

Edited by uhhello

Yep gotta love the Information warfare prevalent, especially with an account name "Conflict Alarm"!

The situation gets more interesting by the day.

Fat Amy in action - Iranian Drone Downed: U.S. forces shot down an Iranian Shahed surveillance drone on February 3 as it approached the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, currently deployed approximately 500 miles off the Iranian coast. According to a statement from U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) spokesman.

Also, Iran tried to board and Seize the Stena Imperative, a U.S. flagged tanker. This particular tanker is part of the U.S. Maritime Administration's Tanker Security Program (TSP). As a strategic asset, it provides military fuel transport The vessel is part of a fleet of 10 U.S.-flagged tankers designated to support Department of Defense (DoD) fuel requirements during contingencies, emergencies, or war.

The GW left Norfolk today enroute to the Middle East.

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