April 7Apr 7 It's amazing that not that long ago (or am I getting old?) that China had the 1 child policy and overpopulation was a real fear for them.Ten years ago, probably. Central planning finally realized nearly forty years of families having 20% more males might not be a good thing.
April 7Apr 7 Ten years ago, probably. Central planning finally realized nearly forty years of families having 20% more males might not be a good thing. Don’t worry when fighting age males don’t have jobs, sex or a future it’ll all work out peacefully Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
April 7Apr 7 3 hours ago, Clark Griswold said: Don’t worry when fighting age males don’t have jobs, sex or a future it’ll all work out peacefully Kinda like San Francisco
April 7Apr 7 5 hours ago, SurelySerious said: Ten years ago, probably. Central planning finally realized nearly forty years of families having 20% more males might not be a good thing. Officially ended in 2016, but even before that Chinese men were going to nearby Asian countries to find wives. It took the CCP officials a little longer to see the impact of their bad policies. I was in Vietnam in 2013 for a while, and saw tons of Chinese men shopping for wives in both Hanoi and Saigon.
April 7Apr 7 On 4/5/2025 at 12:52 PM, Clark Griswold said: Not a short read but a reasonable idea of what the PLA might have gamed out themselves on what an invasion would look like https://cimsec.org/island-blitz-a-campaign-analysis-of-a-taiwan-takeover-by-the-pla/ The longer the operation takes the longer you have to lose, Russia proved that and the PLA has got to see that from their perspective. Focus on port seizure, short but intense airspace corridor denial, establish naval blockade in the Luzon straight and Northeastern approaches 50/50 at that point Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I was not impressed with the will to fight, or lack thereof, my Taiwanese F-16 pilot classmate displayed (at the ROKAF Staff College), albeit that is a sample size of one (and this is before the Hong Kong crackdown, which probably stiffened some spines in Taiwan). However, I wonder what the will to fight is among the Taiwanese military and civilian population now. I wonder how it would stand up to a massive PRC missile barrage and a naval minelaying campaign, both of which could happen before we could intervene...
April 7Apr 7 I was not impressed with the will to fight, or lack thereof, my Taiwanese F-16 pilot classmate displayed (at the ROKAF Staff College), albeit that is a sample size of one (and this is before the Hong Kong crackdown, which probably stiffened some spines in Taiwan). However, I wonder what the will to fight is among the Taiwanese military and civilian population now. I wonder how it would stand up to a massive PRC missile barrage and a naval minelaying campaign, both of which could happen before we could intervene... Yup that’s a huge factor. The brass balls of Ukrainian military personnel and civilians who ran towards the aggressors is what we all hope for in our people, how do you gauge the potential for that beyond surveying, personal contact and professional observation is beyond me. Probably someone has meaningful sociological/psychological research into this, probably classified, don’t know.I think that idea, the will to fight, as an aggressor or as a defender, might be an equal concern for both sides. Chinese people travel a good bit, have relatives in the West, interact with Westerners and have relationships with the Taiwanese, they may not be interested in fight. That might be the opinion of the rank and file, also their families, how hard the CCP would go to suppress and intimidate that to prevent mutiny, IDK but probably methinks they are nervous about it. The CCP would rather postpone the invasion than cause internal instability.Taiwan, I think it (the will to fight) would depend on if they see the West dithering after a few days, if we haven’t said screw it we’re in after 72 hours or so, I think despair could set in. That’s a short window but given what the fight is likely to be, we probably have to jump in immediately. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
April 8Apr 8 We live in interesting times Chinese Soldiers Captured Fighting Inside Ukraine, Zelensky Claimshttps://www.breitbart.com/europe/2025/04/08/chinese-soldiers-captured-fighting-inside-ukraine-zelensky-claims/Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
April 8Apr 8 21 hours ago, pbar said: I was not impressed with the will to fight, or lack thereof, my Taiwanese F-16 pilot classmate displayed (at the ROKAF Staff College), albeit that is a sample size of one (and this is before the Hong Kong crackdown, which probably stiffened some spines in Taiwan). That makes me sad to read. If the desire for freedom has wavered in Taiwan’s AF pilots, what are the odds it will be strong amongst the general population. I grew up in Taiwan (8 to 18) and the 104 drivers who were my dad’s friends were gung-ho about fighting China if it ever came to that. Of course this was (1970 to 1980) when U.S. F-4s were station in Tainan and also rotated through CCK in Taichung on a quarterly basis from Clark. CCK had 2 or 3 F-104 squadrons (US and Taiwanese). There were also US C-130s in Taipei and at CCK as well as a squadron of KC-135s on permanent TDY at CCK. The U.S. presence diminished greatly in 1977 when Carter threw Taiwan under the bus. We should have helped establish Taiwan (in the UN) as a separate nation from Communist China instead of playing name games for 47 years. China might have given up their laughable claim. Edited April 8Apr 8 by bfargin
April 8Apr 8 1 hour ago, bfargin said: That makes me sad to read. If the desire for freedom has wavered in Taiwan’s AF pilots, what are the odds it will be strong amongst the general population. I grew up in Taiwan (8 to 18) and the 104 drivers who were my dad’s friends were gung-ho about fighting China if it ever came to that. Of course this was (1970 to 1980) when U.S. F-4s were station in Tainan and also rotated through CCK in Taichung on a quarterly basis from Clark. CCK had 2 or 3 F-104 squadrons (US and Taiwanese). There were also US C-130s in Taipei and at CCK as well as a squadron of KC-135s on permanent TDY at CCK. The U.S. presence diminished greatly in 1977 when Carter threw Taiwan under the bus. We should have helped establish Taiwan (in the UN) as a separate nation from Communist China instead of playing name games for 47 years. China might have given up their laughable claim. No one thought the Ukrainians would fight like they did, and no one thought the population of Europe would rally in support. We got too used to the Muslim nations and forgot that nationality exists in the rest of the world
April 8Apr 8 21 hours ago, Clark Griswold said: Yup that’s a huge factor. The brass balls of Ukrainian military personnel and civilians who ran towards the aggressors is what we all hope for in our people, how do you gauge the potential for that beyond surveying, personal contact and professional observation is beyond me. Probably someone has meaningful sociological/psychological research into this, probably classified, don’t know. I think that idea, the will to fight, as an aggressor or as a defender, might be an equal concern for both sides. Chinese people travel a good bit, have relatives in the West, interact with Westerners and have relationships with the Taiwanese, they may not be interested in fight. That might be the opinion of the rank and file, also their families, how hard the CCP would go to suppress and intimidate that to prevent mutiny, IDK but probably methinks they are nervous about it. The CCP would rather postpone the invasion than cause internal instability. Taiwan, I think it (the will to fight) would depend on if they see the West dithering after a few days, if we haven’t said screw it we’re in after 72 hours or so, I think despair could set in. That’s a short window but given what the fight is likely to be, we probably have to jump in immediately. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk This data does exist; some of the three letters produce this type of product.
April 8Apr 8 On 4/7/2025 at 8:39 AM, icohftb said: It's amazing that not that long ago (or am I getting old?) that China had the 1 child policy and overpopulation was a real fear for them.
April 8Apr 8 This data does exist; some of the three letters produce this type of product.Figured soSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
April 8Apr 8 2 hours ago, DirkDiggler said: This data does exist; some of the three letters produce this type of product. I think they admitted that they underestimated the Ukr "willingness to fight." Measuring feelings is a difficult art
April 19Apr 19 Posting here as this affects the gathering storm with China, if it goes thru and we sell them AMRAAMs… https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/04/vietnam-has-reached-an-agreement-to-buy-u-s-f-16-fighter-jets/?_gl=1*8cu3hz*_ga*MTMxOTM1MzM3NS4xNzQ1MDI1ODg2*_up*MQ..
April 20Apr 20 On 4/8/2025 at 5:54 PM, icohftb said: I think they admitted that they underestimated the Ukr "willingness to fight." Measuring feelings is a difficult art Ukrainians were taught of or remember the holomidor when the USSR killed up to 7 million in the 1930s. They also know what the Russians have done in places like Buca. That’s why I shake my head at people in this country who think we can negotiate a peace settlement. We can stop supplying weapons, and they will continue to fight with sticks and rocks if that’s all they have. If you know the Russians plan to kill yiu, there is no benefit to surrender. Might as well die fighting. I don’t know if Taiwan feels that way, but they can see what happened in Hong Kong.
April 20Apr 20 On 4/18/2025 at 8:40 PM, Clark Griswold said: Posting here as this affects the gathering storm with China, if it goes thru and we sell them AMRAAMs… https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/04/vietnam-has-reached-an-agreement-to-buy-u-s-f-16-fighter-jets/?_gl=1*8cu3hz*_ga*MTMxOTM1MzM3NS4xNzQ1MDI1ODg2*_up*MQ.. The article doesn’t mention it, but the VPAF is already buying T-6 Texan IIs from Textron. https://www.airandspaceforces.com/pacaf-first-us-aircraft-vietnam-t-6/
May 10May 10 Good 10 minute explanation on why we’re never gonna be friends with China the countrySent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
May 16May 16 Kill switches in solar panels from China? https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-14718749/China-secretly-installed-kill-switches-solar-panels-sold-West-Beijing-plunge-enemies-darkness-event-WW3.html
June 7Jun 7 Full frontal… https://www.twz.com/air/this-could-be-our-best-view-yet-of-chinas-j-36-very-heavy-stealth-tactical-jet
June 7Jun 7 23 minutes ago, Clark Griswold said: Full frontal… https://www.twz.com/air/this-could-be-our-best-view-yet-of-chinas-j-36-very-heavy-stealth-tactical-jet
June 10Jun 10 Someone else recommended this on another thread. Great series. Could get VERY sporty if Taiwan kicks off. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/to-catch-a-thief-chinas-rise-to-cyber-supremacy/id1798267956
June 27Jun 27 On 6/7/2025 at 10:46 AM, Clark Griswold said: Full frontal… https://www.twz.com/air/this-could-be-our-best-view-yet-of-chinas-j-36-very-heavy-stealth-tactical-jet It would appear the X-32 is still out there spreading her DNA about.
June 27Jun 27 4 minutes ago, FourFans said: It would appear the X-32 is still out there spreading her DNA about. X-32…
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