I really don't want to further derail this otherwise constructive thread, so I'll attempt to offer a few concise points to clarify your confusion on my position (I can see why there is confusion based upon my hasty/incomplete argument in the earlier post.) However, I'm not going to attempt to convince you that I'm right or you're wrong. If anyone would like to further discuss the merits of our military objectives pertaining to VEOs, we can start a new thread or take it offline.
With that said, for clarity, what I said in my earlier post was "If the DOD wants to get serious about remaining ready for the future threats posed by the "4+1" it needs to seriously reconsider its objectives as related to dealing with VEOs." I added the bold parts to highlight what was apparently too subtle of a distinction. Yes, I do not believe that "defeat," in a traditional military sense, of the ideology that fuels VEOs is possible given our current pol/strat limitations. Our current NMS clearly states that our objective is to "Disrupt, Degrade, and Defeat VEOs." This aim of "defeat" is what, IMHO, needs to be reconsidered. After reading several of the COIN classics (Galula, Nagl...) and a great newer perspective by Emile Simpson (War From the Ground Up), I became convinced that attempting to defeat the VEO threat requires dismantling and replacing the ideology that supports them. This is not in the US's best interest, for reasons which I believe are beginning to manifest in our USAF (see previous post.) Another great book is Out of the Mountains by David Kilcullen. This read convinced me that this IW fight against non-state actors is the most likely fight of the future. Some of the threats will be from current or new VEOs, while others may be proxy battles with organizations placed, instigated, or supported by nation-state opponents (the 4). Regardless, we need to continue to be able to deter, deny, and defeat state adversaries, while being able to economically wage war against these current or pop-up non-state actors. Expending the vast amount of resources that we do in seeking the holy grail of making these +1 threats "go away" is a losing strategy. So yes, we need to admit that we cannot (and should not) attempt to achieve the defeat of VEOs. Given enough freedom to act, budget, and will, do I think that the US mil could defeat ISIS or AQI or any other single entity? Yes - but that is irrelevant because another similar threat is certain to rise from the ashes. I think a strategy of containment is more feasible. Think whack-a-mole, but where our main effort is weighted towards slowing the rate of mole pop-ups and rapidly thumping it back into its hole, vs chasing it into its hole to root it out and exterminate it. Slowing the rate of mole pop-ups is a job for the D, I and E. The M can Disrupt and Degrade...no problem, but Defeating an ideology is a sucker's bet.
Shit, I already wrote much more than I intended, and still have a hopelessly incomplete argument, but I think you can at least see my position, even if you don't agree.
My apologies for the sidetrack, back to your regular scheduled "the CSAF is out to fuck us" programming...
And also, while I'm here (and on topic), I got to hear a 4-star member of the JCS speak this morning, and he shared some of his thoughts on the retention crisis and this upcoming meeting (won't say who it was because of the nature of the non-attribution setting in which he was speaking.) Anyway, I got the distinct impression that this upcoming meeting is also desired by the "airline execs" as well. Apparently they are also concerned about their pilot shortage and want to work with the Service Chiefs to develop a joint solution to a national problem. Not sure if that changes much. For me, I still think the AF's problem is more internal than external.
And yes, TankerToad, I get it, airline hiring obviously has a direct impact on AF retention efforts. That is basic economics. However, from anecdotal stories I've heard (tons of them) the dudes that used to stay did so because they enjoyed the AF lifestyle and they loved flying AF iron. It seems to me that the AF is doing its best to piss away that one advantage that we had over the private sector. What, in the current environment, is going to make guys pass up the airline opportunity now that AF morale is low and AL opportunities are high? If morale is key to retaining folks during times of AL hiring surges, how do we improve morale in the environment which is so strained as a result of this draining war?