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  1. Past hour

  2. Again, I don't think you understand the U.S. government and their willingness to change the rules of the game. As a Senior VP I had lawyers, former government contracting officers and industry experts parsing every bit of language in every contract. We were still at the whims of the government...they ALWAYS reserve the right to cancel the contract so companies are usually on their heals. The really sad part, the government PMs are largely terrible...they would not be employable elsewhere. Let me share an example...I need to slightly change it so as not to give away names and such. I was working a project to integrate munitions and sensor capabilities on some high-end aircraft. The company was state of the art with some of the best programmers in the business...doing crazy cool things with software and sensors. We were using a software process called "Agile", which has been around for a number of years and is VASTLY superior to the way programming was done in the past (Waterfall). Under the old system (Waterfall), if you were building a program to accomplish a task you would start at the beginning and work sequentially through the task to write the program. Years ago some smart programmers decided on a new method that breaks the project into chunks and assigns levels of difficulty to each stage. Then they focus on the stages that are hardest to complete and assign a lot of energy to run sprints to develop and complete those tasks. There is an agreement that each segment has an agreed upon input scheme and out put scheme (Interface Control Document - ICD). As long as everyone sticks to the ICD you can develop individual modules very efficiently. We were 1/3 of the way into a project and the government sent a large team to do a milestone review. They did not grasp and had never heard of Agile (despite our briefing when we bid the project). Several hours into the review they wanted to talk to me and the senior leadership team in private. The point blank told us they were going to cancel the project because we were so far behind...we had not even completed the first block of the program. It took several hours standing at a whiteboard AGAIN describing AGILE and exactly where we were. Of course we did not complete the first block...turning the program on and getting to a start menu was the easiest thing in the project, we had been focuses on cursor on target mensurated three digit coordinates while blending multiple sensors. They put on us on "probation" and we provided weekly reviews...Much to their surprise we ended up delivering the project SIX months EARLY, BELOW cost and with ZERO defects. I can;t stress enough how impressive it is to have zero defects....the power of AGILE. I can give you COUNTLESS other examples...it is a FUBAR'd mess.
  3. That’s true but what I’m asking is how could Boeing not see this coming in the T7 and not sign unless they were protected from the good idea fairy / staff guy’s last minute change whose cost is gonna be sent to them. As a private company they can say no, counter their offer or propose a totally different deal. Maybe that’s naive but I’d rather be that than in a deal where I lose money because my customer is acting like Vader
  4. Today

  5. Have you heard of a thing called the U.S. Government? They ALWAYS change the rules...
  6. ClearedHot replied to VL-16's topic in Squadron Bar
    I have not shot it yet, hopefully one day this week. I stumbled across it and read/watched a bunch of the reviews. Two biggest benefits they push are recoil management and stability improvement. I wanted something small (foldable) to keep in my truck but also opened up with more accuracy and firepower than just a pistol. The Glock Gen 17 Gen V is the most accurate of the 9MMs, adding the frame gives more stability and the red dot is a plus which I think will improve accuracy at range. Running a 30 round mag and carrying two 16 round mags on the frame is a lot of response in one grab. I will report back after I shoot it. The reviews have been solid.
  7. brabus replied to a post in a topic in General Discussion
    Ah gotcha (shows how often I do PT tests!)
  8. I gotta ask how did the contractor get into this deal without seeing this? Fickle indecisiveness of the government especially after the requirement changes that screwed up the KC-46? How are the vendors not self protecting or putting contractual language in the deals guaranteeing full compensation for said changes?
  9. Yesterday

  10. Smokin replied to VL-16's topic in Squadron Bar
    Other than a more manageable recoil, are there any other significant advantages to basically having a pistol caliber rifle? Never shot anything like that.
  11. One of the refreshing things about this administration was an end to DEI/CRT and all that crap. I anticipate that shit will come back but it will take some time.
  12. dream big replied to a post in a topic in General Discussion
    Agreed on all and I should clarify, only the waist measurement is independent of age, all the other components still have 5 year brackets / scoring scales.
  13. Contractors usually make a good portion of their profit with contract modifications (e.g., KC-46 RVS 2.0). Even then, it’s usually only 8-12% profit, in my experience.
  14. The old acquisition adage, we all fly into combat in platforms built by the lowest bidder...
  15. It does seem like the competition boiled down to the Navy asking the vendors to take on too much risk for a fixed firm price contract. It's been a long time since Acquisition 101, but isn't this why you have a "Technology Maturation and Risk Reduction" (TMRR) phase? In aircraft development, isn't this the point where you fund a handful of companies to do development, burn down risk, build prototypes, then do a fly-off? Announce the winner, and move on to Engineering and Manufacturing Development (EMD)? It seems like in this case, the Navy wants to skip the TMRR phase, and go straight to EMD. Which would work, if there wasn't so much risk still baked into their requirements. I speculate because the Navy (like the AF) wants a new trainer, but they want to do it on the cheap.
  16. A lot of shake ups yesterday. It took Miami half the game to figure out how to play without Toney. The faithful are saving we got robbed on the TD catch...I could go either way but the refs gave us good calls in other games so we were due. Win out and we are in...Toney should be back for the ACC title game. UGA stomped Ole Miss...My son was there and by the 3rd quarter the fans were throwing things on the field. Ungood Rebels... Utah looks TOUGH! The truly sad part about yesterday, a parade of powerful November games will have far less meaning next year with a 24 team playoff.
  17. I am fully retired now, but throughout my career, I generally preferred Firm-Fixed-Price (FFP) contracts for everything except situations like this. With FFP contracts, I was driven to find efficiencies that could increase profitability. Improvements in manufacturing efficiency, supply chain management, engineering processes, and labor productivity directly improve margins. The problem arises when the government has shifting priorities and requirements, as it did with the T-7. The program is a perfect example of how winning a competitive FFP development contract is not necessarily the same thing as winning a profitable program. The Air Force made three significant changes to the T-7 program and, in my view, attempted to push much of the associated cost onto Boeing. I suspect SNC is concerned the Navy will do something similar. 1. Expanded pilot accommodation requirements The Air Force expanded the required pilot accommodation range, primarily affecting the crew escape system. At contract award, the requirements were based substantially on a 1967 male pilot survey. Two years after the award, the Air Force changed the requirement to accommodate the central 95% of the U.S. recruiting population, including women weighing as little as 103 pounds. This was a significant and expensive engineering change to the aircraft. 2. Evolving training performance requirements The training performance requirements were not fully defined at the outset. To its credit, the Air Force wanted a platform that was not simply a replacement for the T-38, but a better training aid for fourth- and fifth-generation aircraft. Initial testing revealed that the aircraft did not meet the sustained-G performance metrics and exhibited significant wing rock at high angles of attack (AOA). The Air Force offered to pay the increased engineering costs to address these issues, but those costs were not fully burdened, and Boeing lost significant money implementing some of the fixes. Ultimately, the Air Force lowered some of the performance requirements. 3. Changes to the procurement strategy When a company bids on a contract, particularly an FFP contract, much of the anticipated profit comes in the out-years as production ramps up. If you slip the schedule by a year and reduce the number of aircraft purchased each year, the financial impact on the vendor can be devastating. Based on the original schedule, Boeing purchased many long-lead items in advance to reduce costs and meet delivery requirements. When the Air Force changed the procurement strategy, Boeing was left holding the bag on much of that supply chain commitment. From a taxpayer perspective, FFP contracts are generally a good thing. You budget for a capability and spend within that budget unless you change the requirements. They also incentivize companies to invest their own money in Independent Research and Development (IR&D), which drives innovation throughout the U.S. defense industry. The situation under Trump has been different because the government injected significant amounts of money into defense programs all at once. Prior to that, the Department of Defense was increasingly asking industry to assume all the risk, only to occasionally cancel programs after companies had invested tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars in development. The Light Attack program is a perfect example. The Air Force spent relatively little while promising to purchase hundreds of aircraft, a commitment that never materialized. I know several CEOs who went to the Pentagon after that and a few other similar incidents and essentially said, "We won't play this game again." Justifiably so. They have a fiduciary responsibility to their shareholders. I know of two occasions when my former company flat-out said, "NO THANKS" when the Air Force asked us to bid on something. The service was incredulous, and the Secretary of the Air Force eventually engaged our CEO directly. His response was essentially: Either you fund the development upfront or give us a contract. If not, adios. I highly suspect that was the same calculus SNC used in making its decision.
  18. Over 1,000 days.
  19. ItnStln replied to VL-16's topic in Squadron Bar
    Thanks!
  20. No way, not possible. Some acquisitions LT knows better.
  21. Last week

  22. nunya replied to VL-16's topic in Squadron Bar
    https://recovertactical.com/product/p-ix-modular-ar-platform-for-pistols-for-glock/
  23. ItnStln replied to VL-16's topic in Squadron Bar
    What is that?
  24. Even bigger questions in the Texas State Guard. There has been a push to move that organization out of the TMD and into TDEM, making it a civilian agency. The new TAG will be a huge influence over that decision, and if it's one of the forerunners, that greatly increases its likelihood! For those not familiar, the TXSG is a state defense force that mainly conducts emergency management missions under the TMD. It is considered the third branch of the Department alongside the TXARNG and TXANG. It is mainly unpaid volunteers but does use a military structure (organizationally, uniforms, ranks, etc.). Unlike the National Guard, the TXSG cannot be federalized and serves only under the authority of the Governor of Texas. At the height of World War II, every state maintained some form of state guard while the National Guard was Federalized; but currently only about 20 other states and Puerto Rico have similar organizations, with Texas being the biggest followed by California and Florida...
  25. Maybe the government actually needs to figure out what requirements they want by, I dunno, talking to operators and maintainers who fly and work on aircraft? Stop letting retard aquitition officers and civilians throw bullshit in RFI/RFPs, then get pissy when it's almost impossible to keep a timeline due to moving or impossible requirements. This is coming from someone who worked on the KC-46 contract, drafting contract change proposals, engineering change proposals, basis of estimates, responding to RFI/RFP/PCOLs, and currently works on the F-16 program.
  26. Wife's a Ute, so she was happy about them beating the Cougars. My OK State Pokes are currently demolishing Kansas State.
  27. Doubtful in the next 2 years. TBD beyond that.
  28. Big question is will we have another DOD mandated "down" day to talk about diversity/equity/inclusion.........

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