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Iran has gone completely sideways
I assume you're referring to this? ItaMilRadarUS Tanker Squadron Departs Qatar as Iran Tensions RiseIn the early evening today, several US Air Force KC-135R aerial refuelling aircraft departed Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and headed south over the Arabian Peninsula before switching off their transpond
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2026 Predictions
I'm a longtime reader of Karl Denninger's Market Ticker blog. His tagline is "Commentary on the The Capital Markets," but the subject matters range from politics, to technology, and elsewhere. Every year he does a "predictions" article for the year ahead, to include scoring of his predictions from the previous year. He gives himself a 59% for predictions from last year, so he's not Nostradamus, but the fact that he actually goes back and scores himself puts him above most other professional prognosticators. Article here, with predictions below.
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F-22 Maintainer killed AIB
Didn't digest the whole report, but this bit from the Executive Summary seems to sum it up. TO guidance is to use the PMA (a laptop hooked into the aircraft) to actuate the launch rail. Instead, the team lead sat in the cockpit and used the cockpit controls (in violation of TO guidance). When sitting in the cockpit, there is poor visibility to the weapons bay. There was some confusion amongst the team members, and the launch rail was retracted by the maintainer in the cockpit while another maintainer had his head in the way. That poor soul had their head fatally crushed. Maybe. I want to know more about how JBER personnel got to the point where they were actuating the launch rail from the cockpit instead of the laptop, in violation of TO guidance. The report indicates this was something that was "routine" at JBER, so it would be interesting to know how that came about. Sounds like classic "normalization of deviance" going on. Contributing, but they were doing this work in a hangar, with the APU running. So couldn't communicate verbally due to the noise, and had to rely on hand signals. Maybe I'm showing my ignorance of these things, but is that normal? Don't you typically have power in the hangar you can hook up to, or other ways to avoid running the APU?
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TSgt John Chapman MoH saga
Looks like the below X post summarizes the issue, for those who (like me), who didn't want to sit through Shawn Ryan's 8 minute video. Questions about US House members becoming millionaires are always concerning, for obvious reasons. I'd be more concerned about what I think is the more likely scenario: Corporations, NGOs, or other organizations who want to gain favor with Crenshaw, offering to foot the bill for his birthday bash. He entered Congress in 2018, and has been reelected three times since then. According to Wikipedia, his 2020 campaign was one of the most expensive Congressional races in the country, at $10M+. Someone is paying that bill, and it's for sure not Crenshaw himself. I don't follow this shit as much as others, but I've heard Crenshaw on a podcast once or twice, and read about him here and there. Ten years of service and five tours as a SEAL is an enviable military record, by any account. Good on him for leveraging that into a political career. But he sure comes off like a grown adult throwing a tantrum in this current issue. Also, based on the few things I've heard and read about him, he really comes off as someone who's committing the gravest error of celebrity: He's believing his own press. He's got this great image of American Hero Navy SEAL turned political crusader, fighting the good fight. While that makes for good press, I'm sure he's just as dirty as your normal Congress critter. Duke Cunningham was another Navy hero who rose to Congress, and by all accounts fell into the same trap, ultimately landing himself in prison. Finally, just because this kind of shit really grinds my gears: "My boys down at 6....." Man, STFU. You've been out for almost ten years. Your rank is Mister. Or Congressman. But throwing around comments like "your boys" just makes you sound like yet another washed-up military retiree in the Beltway, trying to impress people with a bunch of mindless name dropping.
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Leaving with Resentment
Honest question: You're punching out at the 15 year mark?
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The Next President is...
Yeah. Play stupid fucking games Win stupid fucking prizes
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ACE 2.0
Spit-balling from the cheap seats: If the Air Force desired to set up a reasonable ACE program as quickly and cheaply as possible, would reactivating the T-1 fleet be an option?
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The Next President is...
Would love to see Adam Carolla take over Kimmel's slot.
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"Boomer" Welsh drops the hammer at Texas A&M
Curious to know the scope of the "gender identity content" that was being taught. Are we talking about 1-2 slides out of a whole semester? Or did this prof hijack the entire content of this "Children's Literature" course to push a bunch of gender identity nonsense? Both possibilities are obviously troubling, but it seems like it's going to matter, given the fact that the prof in question is screaming "But my academic freedom," while Welsh is citing "Academic responsibility." Searching around, I couldn't find anything specific.
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Russian Ukraine shenanigans
This forum needs a TDS button.
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The Next President is...
🙄
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The Next President is...
While I don't believe them for a second, if this is the path they're going to choose, so be it. In that case, I'd like the investigation on Jeffrey Epstein to pivot to the question of: Where the fuck did he get all that money? That always seems to be lost in the breathless discussion about supposed "lists." Dude was a former teacher who pivoted to finance, and by all accounts, was pretty lousy at it. But somehow, he amassed a fortune north of a half billion dollars, to include properties all over the globe. It's pretty clear he didn't get this money from legitimate financial trading. There is strong evidence that he had financial backing from someone or some entity. Where did he get he money? Who bankrolled Epstein? To what end? Those are the questions I'd like answered.
- Depth Perception DQ and Waiver info
- Initial Pilot Training and Future Pilot Training
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Initial Pilot Training and Future Pilot Training
From the outside looking in, this does seem to make the most sense. They've decided: 1.) They want X number of pilots 2.) The T-6 fleet as currently funded can only support Y number of hours AETC leadership has been told to produce "X" pilots utilizing the available "Y" T-6 hours. End of story. If you can't do it, step aside, we'll find another General who can. Curious what a proper recapitalization of the T-6 fleet would look like. Is it a matter of needing to buy an entirely new aircraft (T-6C)? Or is there a path where enough sustainment funding of the current fleet (modifications, upgrades, overhauls, etc) would get you the hours needed to avoid all of the current flailing about with 141 schools and the like?
Blue
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