One thing in the PRF discussion that I haven’t seen mentioned yet: push notes.
For those of you that are wondering/care where you stand in the overall rack/stack, a good way to find out before the PRFs are even signed would be to schedule time with the person directly subordinate to your senior rater. In most flying organizations, I assume your senior rater is the wing commander and the person immediately below him is your OG/CC. This needs to be, at a minimum, 6 months before PRFs are due in your wing. Honestly, to make any sort of actionable difference, it probably needs to be about a year out so that there is time to fix any perceived deficiencies in your record (i.e., get you that upgrade you are missing, that job you haven’t done, or award you haven’t got)...again, assuming you care to do so. Before that meeting, for promotion to O-5,, if you care about getting promoted and you haven’t received any documented strats in rank/grade categories (as opposed to contrived categories related to jobs/AFSCs), you are probably in bad shape and most definitely not in the running for a DP. At that point, you are trying to find figure out where you’re at in the pool of other “P’s”.
I’ve been involved in more PRF processes than I care to count, and I can tell you that a critical factor in deciding how strong a middle-of-the-road guy guy gets pushed (or not) comes down to what the OG says to the Wing/CC about that person as the PRFs get sent up for review. This usually comes in the form of a push note (typically hand-written to accompany the PRF folders) that effectively says anywhere from, “This guy rocks and needs a DP to keep him going” to “This guy shows up and flies the plane well but that’s it. Solid P” to “While I know you’ll be short on DPs, this guy should be next in line because of such and such.” Almost without fail, senior raters will go with what their group commanders recommend for a person up for promotion that they don’t personally know.
So, all this to say, if you know ahead of time what your OG/CC plans to say about you as PRFs are coming due, you’re going to know where you sit overall. Yes, after signed PRFs come out, you have the opportunity to meet with your Wing/CC and find out the rationale of his promotion recommendation and what you can do in the future, but honestly at that point, it is too late. Much better to find out where you stand early so that you can start planning an exit strategy or work some last ditch efforts to boost your record.
I wouldn’t say that this aspect of the process is intentionally secretive, but it certainly is not well-advertised.
TL/DR: find a way to talk with your group commander well before PRFs are written to find out where you stand in his/her rack/stack.