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Border crisis
Yup. I'm not privy to what the White House has planned for illegal immigration through the rest of Trump's term. I'd like to think that this current wave of ICE enforcement is just the first step, and that the items @pbar highlighted above are coming next. But I doubt it. My limited understanding of the matter is that there are already a lot of good laws on the books for dealing with businesses that knowingly employ illegal immigrants. Unfortunately, I suspect it'll be status quo. Some nibbling around the edges, and that's it. I'd love to be proven incorrect, though.
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Border crisis
It really does feel like someone's trying to reboot the 2020 "Summer of Love." They want their George Floyd-style martyr. They want riots and unrest. I take a little bit of solace in the fact that, as I look around at the people I know who are always ardent supporters of The Current Thing, they're a little ambivalent. Oh they'll still give you a hearty "Fuck ICE" if you ask them. But they're not going out of their way. Not a lot of banners over their social media profile pictures like with Covid, and that sort of thing. I think people have run out of give a fuck, along with being overwhelmed just keeping their heads above water in our ever-deteriorating economy.
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Greenland
I suppose it could be that Trump wants Greenland to be the 51st star on the American flag. I doubt that's the plan though. I don't know what he wants, but I assume it's something more mundane (new SOFA as @Prosuper pointed out, maybe some kind of mineral rights, etc). And when Trump wants to move the needle on something, but he knows he'll run into difficulty, he has a well-worn strategy: If he wants X, he proposes X2. When he knows he's going to face some kind of challenge on an issue, he proposes the most hyperbolic, most extreme version of what he wants. The media melts down and the public melts down. Whoever is on the other side of whatever the issue is, melts down as well. After all of the chaos, Trump backs down, and the other side backs down, they negotiate, and Trump often gets what he wants, or close to it. It's not even all that unique. Developers do it all the time. When they want to put up a new 10 story building, but know they're going to face a bunch of NIMBYs, they go in with plans for 20 stories, take the attacks, and eventually walk it back to the 10 story plan they wanted in the first place. I suspect that's what's happening with Greenland.
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Office of the SECDEF
This is a good start. I don't know if this is the place I would have started, but no matter. When it comes to defense spending, there is such a tremendous amount of giveaways, make-work, and other constructs that serve no purpose but to hand out money from Uncle Sam with no expectation of anything in return. I hope they continue along this path.
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Iran has gone completely sideways
I assume you're referring to this? ItaMilRadarUS Tanker Squadron Departs Qatar as Iran Tensions RiseIn the early evening today, several US Air Force KC-135R aerial refuelling aircraft departed Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and headed south over the Arabian Peninsula before switching off their transpond
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2026 Predictions
I'm a longtime reader of Karl Denninger's Market Ticker blog. His tagline is "Commentary on the The Capital Markets," but the subject matters range from politics, to technology, and elsewhere. Every year he does a "predictions" article for the year ahead, to include scoring of his predictions from the previous year. He gives himself a 59% for predictions from last year, so he's not Nostradamus, but the fact that he actually goes back and scores himself puts him above most other professional prognosticators. Article here, with predictions below.
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F-22 Maintainer killed AIB
Didn't digest the whole report, but this bit from the Executive Summary seems to sum it up. TO guidance is to use the PMA (a laptop hooked into the aircraft) to actuate the launch rail. Instead, the team lead sat in the cockpit and used the cockpit controls (in violation of TO guidance). When sitting in the cockpit, there is poor visibility to the weapons bay. There was some confusion amongst the team members, and the launch rail was retracted by the maintainer in the cockpit while another maintainer had his head in the way. That poor soul had their head fatally crushed. Maybe. I want to know more about how JBER personnel got to the point where they were actuating the launch rail from the cockpit instead of the laptop, in violation of TO guidance. The report indicates this was something that was "routine" at JBER, so it would be interesting to know how that came about. Sounds like classic "normalization of deviance" going on. Contributing, but they were doing this work in a hangar, with the APU running. So couldn't communicate verbally due to the noise, and had to rely on hand signals. Maybe I'm showing my ignorance of these things, but is that normal? Don't you typically have power in the hangar you can hook up to, or other ways to avoid running the APU?
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TSgt John Chapman MoH saga
Looks like the below X post summarizes the issue, for those who (like me), who didn't want to sit through Shawn Ryan's 8 minute video. Questions about US House members becoming millionaires are always concerning, for obvious reasons. I'd be more concerned about what I think is the more likely scenario: Corporations, NGOs, or other organizations who want to gain favor with Crenshaw, offering to foot the bill for his birthday bash. He entered Congress in 2018, and has been reelected three times since then. According to Wikipedia, his 2020 campaign was one of the most expensive Congressional races in the country, at $10M+. Someone is paying that bill, and it's for sure not Crenshaw himself. I don't follow this shit as much as others, but I've heard Crenshaw on a podcast once or twice, and read about him here and there. Ten years of service and five tours as a SEAL is an enviable military record, by any account. Good on him for leveraging that into a political career. But he sure comes off like a grown adult throwing a tantrum in this current issue. Also, based on the few things I've heard and read about him, he really comes off as someone who's committing the gravest error of celebrity: He's believing his own press. He's got this great image of American Hero Navy SEAL turned political crusader, fighting the good fight. While that makes for good press, I'm sure he's just as dirty as your normal Congress critter. Duke Cunningham was another Navy hero who rose to Congress, and by all accounts fell into the same trap, ultimately landing himself in prison. Finally, just because this kind of shit really grinds my gears: "My boys down at 6....." Man, STFU. You've been out for almost ten years. Your rank is Mister. Or Congressman. But throwing around comments like "your boys" just makes you sound like yet another washed-up military retiree in the Beltway, trying to impress people with a bunch of mindless name dropping.
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Leaving with Resentment
Honest question: You're punching out at the 15 year mark?
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The Next President is...
Yeah. Play stupid fucking games Win stupid fucking prizes
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ACE 2.0
Spit-balling from the cheap seats: If the Air Force desired to set up a reasonable ACE program as quickly and cheaply as possible, would reactivating the T-1 fleet be an option?
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The Next President is...
Would love to see Adam Carolla take over Kimmel's slot.
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"Boomer" Welsh drops the hammer at Texas A&M
Curious to know the scope of the "gender identity content" that was being taught. Are we talking about 1-2 slides out of a whole semester? Or did this prof hijack the entire content of this "Children's Literature" course to push a bunch of gender identity nonsense? Both possibilities are obviously troubling, but it seems like it's going to matter, given the fact that the prof in question is screaming "But my academic freedom," while Welsh is citing "Academic responsibility." Searching around, I couldn't find anything specific.
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Russian Ukraine shenanigans
This forum needs a TDS button.
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The Next President is...
🙄
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