Everything posted by Boomer6
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The Iran thread
I'm not very optimistic either. However, I do think slowly releasing funds, or as ClearedHot_AI states, "leverage" after conditions are met and continue to be met, is very different than dumping off pallets of hundreds. If we're gonna do that let's just pay them in pennies, released from high altitude. We're discontuing them anyways...
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The Iran thread
I made a comment about giving Iran money last time in relation to our letting them sell their sanctiined oil this time. I'm still against both of those actions At face value, I'm completely against allowing them access to $20 billion in frozen assets. However, if they agree to allow the IAEA come in and remove all of their nuclear material, and oversee the dismantling of their nuclear program, I think there's a case to be made for allowing them access to some or all of these funds. The release of funds wouldn't start until those actions occurred, and would be spread out over a period of say 10 years upon continued IAEA inspection access and "good behavior". I unfortunately doubt this will happen.
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The Iran thread - military tactics, strategy and lessons learned so far
I wonder how many cases of Zyn and monster you can fit in that Sea Choad 🤔
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The Iran thread
I have zero SA on maritime law, so IDK if a ghost ship is legally treated the same as a chinese flagged oil tanker, or an Iranian flagged tanker etc. I'm more curious how we'd handle a tanker with oil purchased by China attempting to pass through the strait. We lifted sanctions for a month, chances are some countries bought oil that hasn't left port yet. If a tanker has legally purchased Chinese oil, do we have good options for dealing with that? I'm shocked you didn't point out how I assumed the gender of the aforementioned chinamen.
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The Iran thread
Sorry to interrupt the political sword fighting, if only we had a thread for that 🤔, but does anyone have a thought on how Iran will run this blockade? I highly doubt China would put personnel on an Iranian oil tanker bound for China... However, if they told us they were doing so, what's the move? I'm sure we could disable the ship, but then what? Are we going to storm the ship and take those chinamen prisoner? Even if they don't put Chicoms on an oil tanker, what's the worst that can happen from an Iranian perspective? They run the blockade, we disable/commandeer said vessel, and then what, just sell the oil and pocket the cash? I'm not sure that's a great look for us. Thoughts that don't revolve around a monkey shit fight over Trump would be surprising yet welcomed.
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The Iran thread
From the Article linked below: "The license allowed Iran to sell its sanctioned oil to help finance its war against the United States and its allies. And Iran was profiting handsomely off its sales, selling its oil for a premium of several dollars above the price of Brent crude, the international benchmark." Unless the article is completely false, it appears Iran has not been blocked from receiving funds for the sale of previously sanctioned oil that was stuck at sea. Why Trump is Threatening to Blockade a Strait that Iran is already Blockading
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Commanders are dropping like flies this year
Speaking of firing generals... Army Chief of Staff Fired
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The Iran thread
I have no desire to be lumped in with ppl like dayman, but I'm getting concerned we didnt adequately prepare for contingencies (the straight being closed comes to mind). Not having a valid strategy and thought out plans for contingencies to accomplish an actual objective is my concern, and its not without reason based on the last 20 years. Holding judgement and trying to give the benefit of the doubt though.
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The Iran thread
If we're using significant resources to sit DCA for drones then I disagree we have air supremacy over the area, and would say they're effectively interfering with our operation. The point stands regarding the risk our leaders are willing to accept in order to destroy Iran's ability to place mines in the straight.
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The Iran thread
This is the financial intricacy I was hoping was being lost in the details. I'll try to be more judicious in my use of the word "anyone" when asking a serious question next time. With that ambiguity it was a coin flip between a short rage bait response from the left or a community college dissertation from Ratner...
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The Iran thread
The Obama administration gave Iran roughly $1.7 billion in 2016. We're now allowing 140 million barrels of Iranian oil to be sold. If that oil only sold for $90/barrel it would be $12.6 billion. Does anyone know if there is some financial intricacy I'm missing here that prevents Iran from making that money?
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- Initial Pilot Training and Future Pilot Training
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Tactical Tanker
In what decade do you expect said growing pains to cease?
- The Iran thread
- The Iran thread
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Tactical Tanker
I think we're talking past one another here. The attitude I have is one of skepticism with regard to defense companies and their ability to do what they say they can in a timely fashion. I'm also skeptical that anyone's prior service outweighs their loyalties when selling a product for their new employer. That just means I don't put added weight to what someone at the company is saying because they wore a flt suit way back when. One solution to said skepticism is for the DoW to stop signing contracts that allow us (us being the end users and taxpayers) to get bent over by companies. Or, as you said, force honest assessments from companies and hold thier feet to the fire. DoW bares half the blame in my opinion when it comes to our acquisition woes. I think a lack of skepticism on the part of DoW decision makers, specifically when dealing with the primes, is part of what has put us in this vicious cycle. Skepticism from my view does not mean scoff the newcomers and go back to the primes. DIUx is a prime (pun intended) example of where I'd like to see us moving w.r.t acquisitions. Trust but verify, is all I'm saying when it comes down to it.