ClearedHot

Really?

AQMmsX7P3_4A7p3hUj0y5jB3kDbTgtyh6ceuc5uZJ4wVa1oVchdS214lHTOSwrgbUSR7PvBRAF-XSZietQhhFoAUiLrJuX7xbhqG_2wKwLC7Kw.mp4

Anthropic and Trump: Is a truce near? Really worth the read if you want to see under the hood of our U.S. of AI and the ongoing efforts to bring more into DOW and three digit organizations.

I use AI to clean up my spelling errors...YMMV

Despite the sniping from the trolls I think there’s a difference between writing a check and unlocking leverage—and too many people are blurring that line when it comes to Iran. In 2016, the Barack Obama administration transferred roughly $1.7B to Iran. That wasn’t foreign aid—it was the settlement of a decades-old legal dispute over pre-1979 funds, including $400M that was literally delivered in cash because sanctions had cut Iran off from the global banking system. It looked bad. Optically, strategically it handed the regime a win with minimal immediate pressure tied to behavior. What’s being discussed now is fundamentally different. We’re not talking about pallets of cash showing up overnight. We’re talking about controlled, conditional access to Iranian funds—money that is already theirs, but frozen—and releasing it in phases tied to compliance, outcomes, and leverage. That distinction matters. I am not in favor of flooding Iran with cash they can redirect to proxy groups or destabilizing activities. That’s reckless. Economic power isn’t just about denial, it’s about calibration. If you only ever tighten the vise, eventually you lose the ability to trade relief for behavior. And then your only remaining tools are escalation or stalemate. The goal isn’t to “help Iran.” The goal is to shape outcomes in a way that serves U.S. interests and regional stability.

They have to have some money to feed the populace. If (and that's a big IF right now), we get the nuclear material that is IMHO a huge win. Navy = gone, AF = Gone, ability in the near-term to produce TBM's = gone, nuclear material = gone...in the aggregate it is a big win. Potentially a harder line government in place is not good, but it is not over yet. BTW - Oil is dropping like a rock. Time will tell.

This is why I will no longer engage with you guys... It is conservatively estimated that 17% of all US. deaths in Iraq were directly tied to Iran. Since this regime took power THOUSANDS of Americans have died thanks to their sponsorship of terror around the world. JCPOA did NOTHING to stop that, in fact, Obama made $1.7B in cash payments to Iran..I am sure they used it to build schools and education systems for women and homosexuals.

the 20MM rounds are "supposed to self-destruct but not all function correctly. Regardless, you would be raining metal on residential areas. So many layers to this and obviously not the forum to discuss in detail. Their success was not as much associated with low inventory of interceptors as it was commander decisions to park aircraft in the way they did, the Chinese entering the fight and providing high quality, near real-time decision intel and a lot of luck. With regard to the exchange ratio, that is more associated with UAS attack vectors not TBMs. That being said, there is work being done on that front as well. The bigger issue is the American way of war, we are VERY averse to casualties and grown more sensitive through the years. On September 17, 1862 23,000 Americans died in 12 hours of fighting at the Battle of Antietam. On September 26, 1918 2,300 Americans died in the Meuse-Argonne Offensive. On October 24, 1944 2,600 were killed during fighting in World War II On November 27 – December 4, 1950 6,000 Americans were killed in Korea On January 32, 1968 246 Americans died fighting in Vietnam During combat operations in Operation Desert Storm 148 Americans died Since Feb. 28, 13 U.S. service members have been killed in the Iran War, 6 of those in a KC-135 during an accident during a support mission. Our news cycle is so accelerated and our loss tolerance is low we miss the bigger strategic picture. Over 13,000 DMPIs struck, Iran's Navy is gone, Iran's Air Force is gone, they are forced down to local tactical fighting using IR weapons which are still deadly but have a much smaller impact.

Idiots.... "Two targeting pods?" "The airplane has a 200NM combat radius?" "This airplane is design for low-altitude fight" Change name to Doorknob and Donkey.

You are getting close...the real equation is how many interceptors do you have to build to achieve you desired PK. In the industry the problem is being called the exchange ratio. With the Houthis we were shooting multi-million dollar SM2s, with the TBMs we are shooting multi-million dollar Patriots, when Iran tried the attack last year the F-15's were chucking multi-million dollar AMRAAMs and AIM-9Xs. USAF in particular has invested a LOT and made industry go fast as realized by the AGR-20 Falco which flips the equation back to our favor, interceptors now cost 1/3 that of the threat. Ummm NO! Are you out of your mind? Use Nellis, Eglin, Andrews, Joint Base San Antonio as examples, what do you say to the locals when you start spraying 4100 rounds of 20MM into neighborhoods around the base in the name of self-defense? CRAM is great at FOBs but CONUS bases need a different and layered solution.

Truly one of the dumbest posts he's ever made...Started in 90 and have had a clearance ever since.

I wish I could say it is stunning but the left desperately wants to protect illegal immigrants. In California alone there is an estimated $6B per year in fraud related to illegals.