17D_guy
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Posts posted by 17D_guy
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1 hour ago, slackline said:
Is that Sim, or Seadogs? I get so confused sometimes...
Sure seems like they dropped off here, must be busy building a cabin and searching Parlor for more evidence.
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2 hours ago, FLEA said:
The US,sK or the ICC doesn't need to do criminal courts. The populace will literally lynch them if they concede. It's going to be a very violent collapse. There isn't a peaceful way to do this.
There is also the problem of how to deal with nK's fissile material if they collapse. They have quite a bit of it now. Preventing that material from ending up in the wrong hands is a unique time pressure problem that will be difficult to deal with. In most internal collapse scenarios the functioning arms of the government will likely work to conceal it from the outside world as long as possible. We likely won't be certain that a collapse is imminent for an extended period of time.
Ah, I misunderstood you. My bad. Only similar scenario I can think of is West Germany, kind of Russia. I've got no idea what happened to the hardline commies...
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2 hours ago, BashiChuni said:
i don't either. it's a losing strategy.
best case for them: the election is overturned....great...what will THAT do to the country?
Well, I get to participate in my first protest. So I got that going for me.
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5 hours ago, FLEA said:
In all honesty, collapse of the DPRK will probably result in a decades long insurgency. DPRK has a robust special operations capability filled with fanatics who will be held before criminal courts had the slightest hint of regime train. These dudes are western educated, and we'll off in nK, they have a lot to lose; they also have a lot of followers.
I was thinking more drug cartels like they did in Mexico, but I wouldn't put money on it either way.
Although...I don't think they'd do criminal courts for them if DPRK fell. Or did you mean something else and I can't read good. -
9 hours ago, SocialD said:
It absolutely was a mistake. But at least we're not stuck in that fucking quagmire 20 years later, completely wasting our blood, money, time and assets...
I think on this often, since it has shadowed my whole adult life. Do you think if we hadn't done Iraq so soon after, we'd still be in the same quicksand? I don't think we would. I don't know if that parallel universe is better...but I'd sure like to see it.
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Another update - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-cyber-microsoft-idUSKBN2951M9
SolarWinds hackers accessed Microsoft source code, the company says
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43 minutes ago, jcollins said:
...is ineffective in a properly configured zero trust environment.
Very rare to see those around.
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On 12/28/2020 at 2:56 PM, JTsundevil said:
https://theintercept.com/2020/12/24/solarwinds-hack-power-infrastructure/
I’m completely uneducated in cyber security and the likes. However even I know that the password for an update server shouldn’t be your company name with 123 on the end of it.
Any input on this? US Government was listed as a customer of solarwinds/sunburst. Along with like 452 of the Fortune 500 companies.
How far could they (hackers) have reached, what could already be done that hasn’t even been looked at yet? The article mostly focuses on the power grid/production side of it. While seemingly trying to downplay the severity of it.
Sent from my iPhone using Baseops Network mobile appSorry all been taking a break w/ family this holiday season.
Correct, there's federal guidelines about what passwords should be for government systems. Of course, commercial providers don't have to follow those. Never should it have been that easy.
Everyone uses solarwinds, it's a product that does pretty well for what it is and I don't think it was that expensive either. The hackers could probably get wherever they wanted with these hacks. @Negatoryis correct in his estimation as well, though SIPR is generally well protected with the gaps, this was a Russian hack and they're no slouches.
Million-dollar-question - what can be done. Domain wise, identifying the TTPs and indicators of compromise and finding and eradicating them. This is an expensive undertaking because of the avenues for persistence in a network with technology (SolarWinds) that's so deeply embedded. While it shows the US getting hacked...this is a problem for the entire world because of how far SolarWinds is used. This is worse than the OPM hack in my humble/not important opinion.
Political-wise, a whole lot but it appears that the Pres has decided to do nothing/confuse everyone about it. I'll leave it at that for the politics thread. There needs to be something done about it, but we're waiting until the new Prez comes in I guess. I'd also add there could be stuff happening at higher classifications, but I have no access to that anymore and wouldn't put it here anyway.
On 12/28/2020 at 5:25 PM, filthy_liar said:Well, no. I have no questions about what a cyber red team is. I was just curious if you knew what one was.
Sorry, misunderstood the question. A cyber red team is a team of hackers that you invite to hack you to prove your defenses and response capabilities. They're like red/adversary air in Red Flag, but with 1/0's. They generally are bound to certain activities in certain areas to make sure there's no extreme impact to operations. Unfortunately, this is usually mucked up by leaders to "not impact the exercise" so we never really lost email/phones/comms...which is among the first thing I'd degrade/disrupt/corrupt.
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1 hour ago, Negatory said:
You mean like Polio? For things like measles, you have to hit ~94% and somehow we did that back when people trusted science. Source:
First of all, Pfizer and Moderna are the only approved vaccines, so let's focus on those. We know for sure that, when it comes to COVID, it's way better than not being vaccinated at all (up to 95% effective) and that it has been proven to significantly reduce the severity of COVID infections when they do happen (almost all cases after vaccination are mild). Source:
2) https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20201118005595/en/
It's not about you or me. It's never been about you or me. It's about the herd.
While you guys love to quote death rates in a vacuum - and death rates are important- you have to know the assumptions. The current assumptions are that you get admitted to get care. This literally isn't true as of this week in highly populated parts of America. Without the ability to get in hospitals due to exponentially rising cases, folks that could have been cared for are going to die. Also, it's kind of funny to see that some of you literally last week pulled BS sources out that showed that we wouldn't have ICU capacity problems (you took overall US capacity in a vacuum or cherrypicked examples) and now they are manifesting in our most populated areas in America. Sources:
3) https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20201218/covid-has-southern-california-icu-capacity-at-zero
4) https://abc7.com/health/what-happens-when-ca-icu-capacity-reaches-0%/8879527/
Also, why don't you all ever talk about how the hospitalization rate for COVID is significantly less biased towards old people when compared to the death rate? Younger people actually have a much higher, real chance of being admitted to the hospital and/or icu than death rates lead you to believe. For example, let's compare 30-39 year olds to 65-74 year olds.
The average COVID patient who is 30-39 years old is on the order of 22.5 times less likely to die than a 65-74 year old. But they are only 2.5 times less likely to be hospitalized. Sources:
5) https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/downloads/covid-data/hospitalization-death-by-age.pdf
6) https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html
So what? Normal average aged people have no real chance of hospitalization though, right? Wrong. A predictor was created using data from a cohort of studies to tell you the relative likelihood of hospitalization based on your age, bmi, race, gender, etc. Spoilers, it's greater than you think. For example, a 40 year old male with a healthy BMI who is white statistically has a 3.6% chance to be hospitalized from COVID-19. Sources:
7) https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0237419
😎https://riskcalc.org/COVID19Hospitalization/
Who cares about hospitalizations though? ICU admission is what matters, and that's probably not that bad, right? Wrong. Studies have shown that, when you take the population as a whole, generally ~24% of all COVID cases are admitted to the ICU. And that's not just old people, it's everyone. For example, out of the hospitalized young people aged 18-34, 21% ended up requiring ICU care. Look at the other age groups and you'll see the same trend. Source:
9) https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2770542
Put it all together, and the hospitalization and ICU admission rate for 30-39 year olds is on the order of 3% and 0.8% respectively. For 40-49 year olds it's on the order of 5% and 1.5%. Unfortunately, these aren't just trivial numbers, although we all wish they were. When you look at 65+, you get to terribly high requirements when it comes down to hospitalization and ICU admission rates. When a portion of society takes hospital capacity away because they go to strip clubs to protest "liberty," you end up making it literally impossible for numerous people to get life-saving care:
My hot take: If cases don't start to go down immediately, we are going to max out America's medical system from coast to coast. With this lack of access to care, significant amounts of people will die of treatable diseases - not just COVID. I mean, we've already had literally as many excess deaths this year as we did combat losses in WWII, so I guess this probably will fall on deaf ears. But no one's asking for permanent lockdowns or microchips or any changes to life that are long-lasting. Society is asking for you to be on the team that bands together for probably on the order of one year to take precautions, limit the spread, get vaccinated, and get through this. No one chose to have a worldwide pandemic that would unduly stress the entirety of the global human medical system. Everyone wants to get back to normal, and the only way to do that is to trust science and work as a team. Get on the team.
UT's current count, this is fine -
Percent of all non-ICU Bed Occupied 55.2% Percent of all ICU Beds Occupied 99.4% (534/537) Percent of Referral Center ICU Beds Occupied 104.1% (480/461) -
8 minutes ago, Guardian said:
17D. You are really good at taking something and running in a lot of different directions and since your first point is right it must all be right. You argue like.....well someone who grasps at emotional straws when you really don’t like something or have a very very strong opinion.
Oh, are you back on here? Seems like you bounced when every avenue for appealing on "fraud, hacking...uh...something" to get the election turned out to fail. I see you trotted out the, "everyone's emotional and lacks logic in argument" line again too. Well played.
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No evidence of conspiracy to commit fraud on any scale.
No evidence of fraud outside historical norms, which happens for both parties, AKA little that doesn't impact elections. Oh, and it gets investigated and prosecuted.
Trumpists - "Nope, gotta burn it all down and make every state the same."
Yet you guys still claiming individually you support the "Party of states rights, and the Constitution?" Did you think the TX lawsuit was a good idea too?
And...you're willing to trust a signature on a absentee/mail-in-ballot? Holy dumb-shit rationalization Batman. Like I said before, get involved locally if you want to change things. Stay the fuck away from my State with your wasted ideas. We have mail in voting...it worked fine.
Sounds like the same bullshit I heard about restricting Airmen because they COULD do something that makes the AF look bad. You know, the shit we all bitch about?The sand in your vag should be a pearl by now for you to wear to your next Q-anon dance party.
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37 minutes ago, slackline said:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-homeland-whistleblower-idUSKBN28R33L
Link just gives what could be some more info on all the protests last summer for those that were saying the violence was coming mostly from the left. This shouldn’t surprise anyone, but I’m sure diehard Trump supporters will deny it.
Sent from my iPad using TapatalkSo, one thing that has stayed the same through all admin's that I've been an adult for - white supremacist/militia groups are the biggest threat of organized violence in our country. Which I think is interesting, since in the 1800's, to early 1900's it was anarchist groups/communists that were the larger threats.
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41 minutes ago, Prozac said:
Also, I never saw Raising Arizona and have been chastised by many for missing that one, so it’s on my to watch list.
I've tried to watch this film...it just doesn't do it for me. Lord of War, was just amazing.
Not sure how @M2left off Con Air, or Gone in 60 seconds. -
1 hour ago, Homestar said:
I heard vaccines can give you autism. I really don’t want to catch that.
I got it, Tylenol took care of it.
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13 hours ago, MyCS said:
Geesh bro. Sorry to hear about your struggles. I can 100% relate on some of your statements. I kept pressing the doctors to figure it out because I was misdiagnosed twice by the Hobby Lobby of flight medicine.
They thought it was iliotibial band syndrome in my right leg. Then an MRI discovered a hip impingement. The hip specialist off base laughed at flight medicine and said it's your back!
My issue appeared in my right leg during a normal jog in 2016. I stopped and walked home . I couldn't do a sit-up either. Wake up at night and it felt like my leg was on fire so I would sleep in a bathtub of water. Tried running again a month later and I would just limp after completion. It was the calm before the storm when the disc would clamp down on my sciatic nerve. Flight medicine pulled me from a flight after telling them I was popping 3 ibuprofen a day just to fly before a deployment for the pain. My CC was pissed and was like you're always injured.
I've had CC's that were toxic as shit, and still didn't pull this line. Then had great CC's otherwise, and said this. I don't get it.
QuoteMy surgeon was great. Had me in/out in 40 mins for my lumbar microdisectomy.
Wow. I had my first one in 2002, took hours at Travis hospital. Second one was in Omaha, and about would have been about this fast except they found the cause of pain was bone growth into the sciatic nerve from previous surgery site. I've got the worst mutant power.
QuoteTold me to continue staying in great shape and he typically only sees a reoccurrence in overweight individuals.
Well...fuck. Carl's Jr is so good though.
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On 12/15/2020 at 11:54 AM, MyCS said:
If you fail your fitness test, I just can't take you serious anymore. I had a pain level of 10/10 in my back about a month or two before my fitness test....Just in case you have to push through a little pain, your body will not fail you. I don't suggest this because what if my disc clamped down on that nerve even more during my test and I lost all feeling in that leg?
I have a high pain tolerance. I've had 2 back surgeries (thanks AF!) because of herniated discs (also thanks AF!). Unlike you I could not do pushups without debilitating pain...but I could do sit-ups/run.
Pain is different for everyone...but 10/10 pain is not what you described. 10/10 pain is standing up from bed after sleeping, immediately falling to the ground and crawling while hyperventilating to where you keep your narcotics/opiates, choking some down (while possible dry heaving) and waiting for the numbness to set in. All you can think about is the pain, and breathing.
Or, if you try to see if the pain is all in your head (as the docs suggested) and skip your 2nd of 3 daily doses of narcotics on your way to your Master's Class (thanks AF) and everyone's asking you what's wrong as your limp get worse and worse, you're flush and sweating for no reason. So you take 3x 300mg percocets (hope those kidneys last) and walk to your car where you take off your blouse to scream into it until they kick in.I'm not trying to "one up brah" but I read your comment and I don't get it. When I had 10/10 pain I was an asshole to the docs until I got what I needed to survive. I've had friends, officers, who failed PT test literally because of broken backs, fucked ankles/shoulders they tried to push through. We don't get flight docs, comm/cyber dudes are with the unwashed masses at the MDG.
I would encourage you to work with any subordinates and bros to NOT push through the pain.
As a little bit older dude...I didn't judge people based on their PT test failures. In a Sq leadership position I saw too many fuck-fuck games with PT tests to make a blanket statement like that. We are in a very selective environment with young and healthy people for the vast majority of our careers, and it blinds us to what hurt/injured people actually deal with and the majority of our citizenry deal with on the medical side.Legit, dealing with the pain those 2 instances was the only time suicide even entered my thoughts in 21 years service.
Now as @HossHarrispoints out, I'm sure those experiences weighed in on my 100% disability (thanks VA)...but I'd much rather have a spine and feet, ankles, knees and hips well enough so I could run/walk fast without being out of commission an hour after finishing. My back led to the rest of my lower body literally wasting away. -
Seems like a seamless upgrade. Good job!
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On 12/14/2020 at 8:42 PM, filthy_liar said:
Do you know what a cyber red team is?
I do, did you have a question about it?
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41 minutes ago, brabus said:
You know what actually surprises me, that there are dudes on here who apparently don’t see shit like this as a big deal. To the extent they either ignore it, or are incredulous to the fact it happens. To that point, you and others actually are trying to argue a well educated adult who has voted in many elections doesn’t know the difference between a ballot app vs. sample ballot vs. actual ballot. It’s laughable and sad at the same time, but enjoy keeping that cranium buried deep in the sand.
Because it's not. You did what any good citizen would do, and most would do. Do you use the credit card applications you get in the mail with other people's names? Do you have any evidence to send to team-Trump that this is the downfall of our election?
Ya'll want a perfect, and 100% secure process...we're humans, and democracy is dirty. There will always be issues.-
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2 hours ago, kaputt said:
It’s time to turn the page and let the democrats lay in the bed they made themselves. Biden-Harris is still, imo, one of the worst pairings we’ve ever put into the White House. A half assed offering of a moderate who is likely losing his mental capacity and an unpopular leftist that comes from the most poorly run state in our country. If Trump would just exit the stage for a bit we might actually get the chance to see what a terrible offering this next presidency is going to be.
This is a fantastic point. If he stays on message (which if you check his twitter...he will) the left will have that to point to for distraction for however long it lasts. His lackeys will also cause this to happen. The fracturing of the Conservatives will continue to weaken the voting base. It's not that weak now (re: House seats gained, kept Senate), but at some point there will probably be candidates Donny doesn't like..what happens then? These folks are clamoring for either Trump to run again in 2024, or his kids to. That's an automatic no from me and a lot of my friends.
QuoteBut, I do think we should always be striving to clean up even minor election discrepancies to ensure that all citizens can have faith in the process.
We all need to get involved in local government. Go to you city council meetings, volunteer at polling places, help with the elections. Most of the "fraud" is based on ignorance of the process. Saw the news that the "Dominion server crashed again!?!?!? maor fraud!" Nah, servers crash all the time. Hell all of Google was down a couple days ago. Being an educated citizen isn't just knowing the facts on here, it's getting involved in what impacts you locally.
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58 minutes ago, Sim said:
and proving my point. Thanks!
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3 hours ago, JimNtexas said:
Awesome. I didn't know she had that history with her Dad. She did Wonder Woman, which I thought was great mostly due to great character writing and heart. If there's anything a new Star Wars movie/show needs it's heart...I'm sure she can bring it. Very excited.
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5 hours ago, VMFA187 said:
2.75% on > $1m (San Diego prices)
If you don't mind sharing, how much house did you get for that price?
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3 hours ago, TreeA10 said:
We can play "whatabout" tennis all day long and just keeping knocking that ball back and forth over the net. Lord knows both sides have enough material to volley.
Some polls are showing 36% overall of the population and 70% of Republicans lacking confidence in our voting system which translates to @ 50 million people. Do you have any suggestions that might solve problems with faith in the election system going forward? Or, do we accept the lack of confidence and let it fester?
Yea, the President can stop saying it was stolen and express confidence in the system with caveats for the non-election impacting amount of fraud that takes place.
Otherwise, nope. Trumpists will continue to claim for all time that it was a robbery otherwise. Same as when you get a toxic leader anywhere, it sucks until they're actually gone, but if they've convinced the minions to be toxic...it last for a long-long time.-
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The Next President is...
in Squadron Bar
Posted
Never was a leader, cared about this wonderful country or its people.
