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17D_guy

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Posts posted by 17D_guy

  1. On 4/11/2021 at 5:20 PM, Guardian said:

    Not what I was asking. If I didn’t reach a 20 year active duty retirement and miss it by one day but then roll the time spent into my technician job then I don’t think she would get any of that retirement as a technician. Is that right? She would just get a portion of my DSG retirement.

    He answered it.  It's not automatic at that point. The ex's lawyer isn't going to throw up their hands and exclaim, "It's over...he got us."  They'll present an argument to the judge about your income and change of jobs.

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  2. 20 hours ago, hindsight2020 said:

    Sure thing, I'll try to speak more simply. Airplanes are expensive, middle class inflation adjusted (and I mean housing healthcare and education inflation money, not that joke of a shifting goalpost CPI metric) wages are flat since we went into the neoliberal era. People in my income quintile could afford new piston in 1965, i can't afford the same in absolute terms today, by at least a factor of 3.

    This rank asset inflation combined with dwindling absolute demand, has made it so that the gap between turbo props/single pilot turbofan, and new piston, is no longer an opportunity cost of consequence for the remaining winners of the hunger games. So the market bifurcated straight into recreational turbine, leaving a gaping hole in the step up piston (historically crowded by the piston twin, now solely carried by the SR-22/22T). Much to the chagrin of Cirrus owners, their numbers are still paltry compared to the highs of the late 60s production.

    This obviously presents a problem for us imprudent poors, who are stuck attempting to maintain a dwindling supply of fully depreciated (but still overpriced) airworthiness directive laden clap traps against the headwind of purposefully declining OEM (see Textron case study on their  beech 35 ruddervators and their Cessna single retract anything parts support) and uneconomic third party support willingness by fleet attrition proxy. The former want these cans mothballed right yesterday, the latter can't be blamed for exiting the market in light of loss of fleet volume.

    Hope that clarifies. Cheers.

    Beautiful champ. Thanks.

  3. On 3/12/2021 at 10:40 PM, Tiger said:

    Got it.  So when they announce selection results for a 100% eligible board and a few officers are selected APZ, I would assume they most likely were given DNP PRF’s the last time.

    I believe 100% eligible still doesn't mean 100% promoted, unless you're talking specifically about O1-O3. I've known 2 dudes part of the 100% eligible, one DNP and one P and neither made it.  Knew another guys who's package (STS) was just shit and somehow made it APZ to Maj.

    Ready for spears if I'm wrong.

  4. 6 hours ago, hindsight2020 said:

    At any rate, new production piston numbers have plummeted in the last 2 decades, which continues to demonstrate the K-shape bifurcation of the economy writ large. But more relevant to the topic, the gentrification of the hobby into turbine GA and away from pistons outright is also evident in the production numbers, on a historical comparative basis. Heck, I argue absent the churn of the American flight training complex (cheap by world standards, which is why the US is the flight training suite du jour), the whole thing would go the way of European piston GA. We recreationals basically ride remora on the legacy support infrastructure and third party vendor sales availability primarily supported by the rental beater fleets the part 61 and 141 puppy mills turn and burn. Otherwise, we'd be up the creek already on the rec side.

    I don't know what a lot of this paragraph means, and I'd really like to.  Specifically about the 'turbine' General Aviation turn away from pistons.

  5. 16 hours ago, ClearedHot said:

    I hope that's the case...I had a rebound yesterday and spent another 20 hours in bed with a fever, chills, and body aches.  That SUCKED!

    I didn't get illness symptoms. Shot 1, Day 2 was a really sore arm and exhaustion. Slept for 16 hours.

  6. On 3/12/2021 at 4:42 AM, GKinnear said:

    Let me say this first: I support diversity & inclusion. Some of the best officers and commanders I know aren't white males. Pick a race & sex combination and I've served with them. Personally, I'm also an advocate for girls in Boy Scouts of America and had all three of my daughters in BSA programs for the last decade...nothing against Girl Scouts, I just like the BSA programs (Boy Scouts, Venture Crews, Explorers) better.

    Now...I think both sides have missed the point. POTUS was at the ceremony for the 2x women 4-Star Combatant Commander. Of course his speechwriter, like all speechwriters, was going to throw in something with wide-spectrum relevancy, so highlighting the pregnancy flightsuit and other uniform changes was on there. Based on the speed of government efficiency, I'm assuming that development started under the Trump administration. If you watch the entire segment, not just the Twitter clip, Tucker was making a comparison to China, which is going through the same issues the US is...and in a potential response, built up their navy to over 350 ships.

    So Tucker, an opinion show, missed the point and tried to connect two data points that aren't directly obvious to fit his particular narrative. Who at MSNBC, CNN, print media hasn't done that?

    But...so did SecDef and the rest of the Senior Military Leaders who commented. Or at least over-reacted IMO. It seemed like thy were punching down to me, and I'm not sure they would have been better off keeping their powder dry...but the reaction above "Fuck this elite, pandering piece of trash" seems to be the GO#1 for both sides of the aisle. Everyone has their Ego involved and no one is willing to realize they aren't 100% correct. Critical thinking has been abandoned. 

    Again, this is just my opinion, but by responding so aggressively to this Tucker story, it's made it emotional on both sides of the argument. Every advancement for diversity in the ranks will be met with comparisons to China's growing military power. Every question will in-turn be viewed through the lens of regressive, "Neanderthal" thinking and disregarded and attacked.

    A question for the SecDef, @17D_guy, and every one who agrees with him...did you have as much vitriol over RPA crews being called "baby killers" when they were listed as killing 1,700 civilians/400 kids? 

    https://www.afsc.org/blogs/news-and-commentary/us-has-killed-thousands-people-lethal-drones#:~:text=According to the Bureau of,400 of whom were children.

     

    If you're asking if I think Obama's RPA policies were bullshit, yes I did and do.  I also enjoy pissing on Jane Fonda's face in any bar bathroom that's got the sticker in the pisser.

    I've never seen the article you listed.  I'm sure I could find thousands of bullshit articles from Slate, CNN, OAN, Newsmax, DailyBeast, BuzzFeed, etc. that I deeply disagree with as well.  This topic was specifically about the military, hence I thought it was interesting to put it here.

    The "elite, pandering" is due to Tucker wrapping himself in the guise of a "normal dude" when he grew up, used and enjoys means of advancement he repeatedly "calls out."  The constant drone of him "telling it like it is" the myrmidons lap up exactly without critical thought.  I know at least Ben Shapiro has examined his arguments every time he gets on mic.

    I disagree that the senior leaders over-reacted. I've had to deal with the fallout of much lower-level comments not being addressed on a unit, and Wing level (God damn Group CC's, am I right?).  We just finished a administration that never addressed anything head on, and the thrash that caused.  I personally and professionally did not find it enjoyable.

    Someone, who a lot of service members watch for news (not opinion) goes loud and proud with some bullshit about how we're fucking up with women in the service, the leadership's supposed to sit back?  It's all over social media, the same thing we're all using to get bullshit call-sign non-mission-hacking bums fired.  I get on FaceBook rarely, but checked in for this and this was all over, from the hippies to the vets in my life.

    Was there a response from leadership you found particularly egregious?  Most were, "I disagree, women/my daughter/my partner are doing great things in our Services, we'll keep winning."

    • Like 2
  7. Yep,

      I'd add to be prepared for anything, and really, really learn to not care about the things you can't control.

      Spent more time in an ER this past year than all my AD time combined. 

      Work has changed dramatically with no notice.

      Definitely not staying in this house until I die, but it's still got to get fixed up.

      Outside of being near family, nothing is working out as I expected! But that's ok, I can quit/move whenever I want to.

      I don't have to get fit on the AF's timeline, or get fit at all!

  8. 5 hours ago, Sua Sponte said:

    There’s extremism in the military. It’s usually hidden due to obviously the punitive actions that could be dealt if displayed. I’m somewhat shocked at the amount of senior ranking people I know who come out as full-flagged racist once they retire. 

    For real, watching a dude come back with a beard and gut complaining about all the new "faggots" was a bit of a head turner.

  9. 3 hours ago, arg said:

    Australian news in general have been beating Biden like a borrowed mule.

    Weird because I've been watching a lot of Australian youtubers.  Sure, left leaning, but apparently their news is very right leaning? 

    Either way they've gone on at length about the sweetheart deals that China has been given by the Conservative governments.  Plus you know, fires destroying their country.


    So, I wonder if that's a money thing. 

  10. 2 hours ago, Eli said:

    Why discreetly?  
     

    Show police they are being recorded. Look up Pot Brothers at law on you tube. They show exactly how to talk to LEOs.  just “shut the up.” 
     

    that’s what I tell my kids.  There is a reason to keep silent and record. 
     

     

    Excuse me, it's "Shut the Fuck Up."

  11. 15 minutes ago, Lawman said:

    Extremists do exist for sure, same as rapists, racists, creepy dudes that play with My little Ponies, and plenty of other weirdos. The problem is the media won’t report that we don’t tolerate them, just that they exist and therefore must be an epidemic.

    In my little part of the AF early on (MSG) I ran into a few blatant racists, who were really passive aggressive about it.  Never met a rapist, but I know 4 guys who got charged for it.  I was in Comm...plenty of creepy bronies and now weebs with their waifus.

    In "ops (cyber)" I didn't have out-right racists.  I had people that were making ignorant decisions that looked really racist.  We educated (somewhat forcefully and directly) and problems were solved.

    God I loved ops so much more.  Calling people out on their bullshit was so much easier (and getting called out was much more helpful).

  12. On 2/21/2021 at 12:00 AM, arg said:

    You know, the guy does have somewhat of a point. Who is ultimately responsible for their families safety and well being? You as the head of household or the government? I would say you. Many folks were sitting in their houses with no heat or running water waiting for the .gov to come and save them. That didn't happen. You need to be prepared. 

    And no natural gas.  So, dig a well for water, and set up a bike to pedal for power?  I've got friends who ran out of food and power, they went through their 72 hr kits.  Their generators ran out of fuel.

    You ready to go 3 days or more without power, water and gas in a major city? 

    What the hell is government for if it's not to make sure our communities have utilities? How are our every-day Americans getting blamed in this failing of the business, regulators, and government?

  13. 31 minutes ago, ViperMan said:

    Right. Money.

    I agree, and it probably would have been had he not already been repeatedly arrested for the same crime (https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-york-city-police-officer-wont-face-criminal-charges-in-eric-garner-death-1417635275). Something tells me he's not getting the message? I don't know, but I get the feeling this guy decided he doesn't care about certain laws or consequences. Want to change a law? Awesome, there are ways to do that in our society, but continual and open disregard for the enforcement arm of our government is not one of them.

    "He has a criminal record that includes more than 30 arrests dating back to 1980 on charges such as assault, resisting arrest and grand larceny. An official said the charges include several incidents in which he was arrested for selling unlicensed cigarettes."

    How many posting on this message board can relate to the type of life this guy leads? Has any of us been arrested 30 times? For the same crime? Would any of us resist arrest? Or would you rather just have your day in court?

    Here's video with as much context as I could find. The first minute has all the context required to establish the type of interaction it was. The officers attempted reasoning with him first. Attempted/offered a gentle arrest, which was rejected, and then escalated. I'm not saying that he deserved to die. I'm saying that this is yet another instance where circumstances are vital to understanding the whole picture. Here, this has been intentionally misrepresented in order to help paint a picture and establish a narrative that just simply isn't true.

     

    Quote

    I'm not saying that he deserved to die

    You sure?  Pretty sure you spent most of that post showing reasons he should die, and 1 line saying he shouldn't.

    Quote

    Here, this has been intentionally misrepresented in order to help paint a picture and establish a narrative that just simply isn't true.

    I've watched the whole video before it was removed from everywhere. I disagree with your assessment of "truth."

    • Upvote 2
  14. 49 minutes ago, Swamp Yankee said:

    You've got to be kidding me.  Words do matter.  This is a textbook example of hypocrisy.  Cruz ridiculed California's  energy planning and his state was equally unprepared.  How many times it happened in one state versus another is immaterial.  Even Cruz himself acknowledges this. 

    I've listened very closely to Dan Crenshaw in particular as I think (thought) that he has the potential to be a great President.  He focused on wind turbine icing as if it is an inevitable problem and a major factor in the grid collapse.  Icing is easily addressed.  In my view he's trying to score some easy, though inaccurate, points with his base.

    I encourage you to be objective rather than just reflexively supporting "your guy" as the first instinct.  Politicians don't deserve blind loyalty.   Hence why I'm an independent.  Politicians have to earn every one of my votes. 

    Plus, the fact he lied again about how long he was going to be gone, and said it was his kids fault.
     

    Quote

    Ted Cruz is not the leader of Texas

    Oh, good. I thought he was a US Senator or some other kind of leader. Tons of those in TX.  Not like he could organize help in his neighborhood/city (instead of planning to flee for a week while leaving the dog), or raise some funds to help those who'll have massive bills coming, or home repairs.

    Nope, only thing he could do as "just a normal guy with a pretty bland, do nothing job."

    Quote

    No thanks. I'll spend a few hundred bucks on a generator.

    Pray tell what you're going to do when you run out of gas.

    Yep, nothing could be done in this situation. Just gotta deregulate more, and disconnect from the power grid...more?  Didn't work for El Paso at all.

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  15. 3 hours ago, ViperMan said:

    Yep. It's misdirected fire. Invalid at pickle. And this is coming from someone who thinks Ted Cruz is basically a schmuck.

     

    3 hours ago, Lord Ratner said:

    That's all well and good, except the most regulated parts the the country still have grid failures. 

     

    This is where conservatives start talking themselves into knots. Do I want my power costs to go up so I can avoid a blackout every one or two decades? No thanks. I'll spend a few hundred bucks on a generator.

     

    Obviously ERCOT fucked up. But the measure of a fuck up is not how far it is from the perfect hypothetical. It's how far it is from other functioning systems. By that measure, not much to see here.

     

    We don't need government regulation to weather proof a nuclear reactor sensor that government wouldn't have caught beforehand anyways. That sensor will never freeze again, no red tape required.

     

    The beautiful thing about government is they can blame failures (that government also failed to recognize) on a lack of government. Then they claim the addition of government, not the usual process of identifying a new problem and solving it, was what prevented a reoccurrence.

    It's good to see you've figured out how to log out of one account and back in with the other so quickly. 

    Politicians could learn from you.

  16. 15 hours ago, ClearedHot said:

    Ummm...copy, Sarcasm detector inop?  That quote is often falsely attributed to Stalin and how he would fight America during the Cold War.

    Was trying to do an alley-oop, failed. Noted, will attempt again later after better planning.

  17. 57 minutes ago, MyCS said:

    Blacks commit more crimes due to home environment, lack of money, culture, and education. Homes lacking a father figure is problematic too. 

    You're asking him to look past the numbers and get to a reason.  Good luck. To him, minorities are just more violent, and less educated by nature.  "Those people" are this way now, and always have been.

    I've had the same discussion with people where they're like, "Why don't they just move out of those neighborhoods?!  If they didn't like it they would leave."

    Zero desire to dig into the issue, really look at the blatantly racist housing issues that kept minorities that could leave in bad neighborhoods (red lines, racist lending practices, racist development [ex. 80 through Omaha], etc.).  Then, the war on drugs and mass incarceration at a disproportionate rate for minorities over whites, which crippled the families of what were generally conservative households.

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