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Lawman

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Everything posted by Lawman

  1. They were final assembled in those locations. Look up the supply chain of EV battery production (or solar panels for that matter) and see where the middle point takes place after minerals extraction. China has positioned its self where ~85% of the worlds Lithium and Nickle battery production has to flow through it. You know what their industrial thermal requirements are powered by? F’ing Coal. And most of it can’t be simply offloaded to Nuclear or cleaner green power because it’s not just a matter of Kw generation, it’s about temperature for productions. And as the world has massively upscaled demand for more EV tech components they have only been able to match that upscale with more coal. It’s why for all the carbon we’ve reduced in the US and Europe they increased 5 fold. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  2. It’s also far easier to deal with the attritional impact of Large Scale Combat and rebuild our numbers post conflict by simply buying up their spares at premium with the promise of new shiny later. A country that sits in the NATO order of battle like for example Moldova doesn’t need F-35s, or Abrams, or really any other top line piece of tech that isn’t worn/carried. But it can rent them for a while…. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  3. I love his series even if it overstated what it turned out to be real Russian capabilities. The scene where the US Brigade commander is on the VTC and is cut off mid sentence with the President because of his gawd damned cell phone got his head quarters targeted was great. We’ve been preaching that for years to be ignored by people who are too important to not have their phone. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  4. He’s also been disturbingly accurate in his prediction on some of this. Zaihan may be a little more “end is near” than some for my taste, but his tie in with demographics in China and their hard stop coming economically has to dire a set of consequences to be avoided. Unfortunately when you look at EV tech adoption our top level policy makers look to be hurtling cash into the sinking ship and ignoring our own industries that we will need in the immediate future. To them geopolitics comes in a distant 2nd when matched against climate interventionist vanity projects. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  5. If anybody wants to know, Garrett’s surgeries have gone as successful as can be currently hoped for. There is still bits of shrapnel in his head that will probably have to come out in a future attempt, but he’s stable condition now. Long way to go from there, but he got moved from Landstuhl back to Walter Reed a couple days ago. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  6. What? I’ll just take ISIS for an example but have you been in Iraq in the last decade? You’re making an argument we have no moral righteousness in use of our military but we were fighting guys literally putting Christian and other Muslim villages to the sword over there like it was the 14th century. And remember we have been the world’s most powerful economy since before our participation in the First World War. We had surpassed the British and German Empires… that didn’t stop them from having two world wars. And now that the economics of the world are global in supply and resource chains there is absolutely no way to sit it out. Unless you want to just absorb whatever happens to the price of everything because we can’t move ships off the Red Sea anymore just as an example. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  7. Current actions in the Red Sea… The Tanker Wars, Prime Chance, and Praying Mantis… But remember, unless a major global power ceases to be afterward through complete capitulation of its government it’s a loss and total waste of effort in his brain. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  8. You mean that country that imports most of its Food and fertilizer along with all of its energy via the Ocean… that country? The one that could be singularly isolated because it can’t project power further than those Island chains/peninsulas that all hate and surround it during a conventional conflict? The one that has lied about 5% GDP year on year growth because we know it’s BS and is currently in a demographic free fall while we (the developed world) all make movements to reshore the sunk cost of cheap manufactured goods out of it? I’m not saying China and US going at it doesn’t result in collective pain for the world because any conflict between the great powers will (hence why unified western support of Ukraine is such a good deterrent). But the Idea that China’s trajectory is just gonna keep increasing and they come out of this to supplant us is a dream. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  9. What Asian trade partners would we have in Asia right now if we sat on our ass in Korea for your example. How much trade would we do with a unified peninsula under the DPRK and what would that then do for our economy. Middle East same question during the Tanker war or the current stupidity off the Red Sea. Foreign policy is an active game, you can’t just sit it out. We aren’t Monaco. Again listening to you talk about the deaths and regional conflicts we “lost,” is like listening to a guy up millions of dollars at the casino still bitching about that 20k loss he took 6 hands ago. You’re winning, recognize that. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  10. For Christ sake… You are an American. You sit in the velvet rope section of being the single Super Power atop the panicle of Human Achievement and experience. How do you think we got here? Because our great grand parents damn sure didn’t experience that position in the world. More importantly how do you think we managed to stay there all these decades? By your bullshit metric every life lost training at Red Flag or service member killed in a rollover at NTC was “wasted,” because it didn’t come as a tally in a massive global conflict we could stand around in the ashes of and call ourselves the winner. Deterrence and effects of statecraft and influence cost blood and treasure. They cost a lot less than results of disengagement and apathy leading into a wider global conflict. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  11. What do you think set global conditions to stabilize and evolve enough to allow that? Exactly what did we squander? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  12. Something like 60 million dead between combat and civilian casualties… Yeah we should really feel bad about “losing” since then. You’re a loon to think we have anything to apologize for in the status quo that was maintained between then and here. Especially if you go full nationalist view point and only care about the cost in lives to the worlds only remaining super power. We won the last 70 years, you’re attempt to try and define it by losses in small scale conflicts is just more of you trying to find a way to explain how the sky is falling. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  13. The longest continual span of human prosperity in recorded modern history? You know we doubled the average human lifespan since WWII right? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  14. The thing is the Russians are following their doctrine for the purpose of the way they wrote it to match equipment and recent fights. They leveraged IFVs and put bigger guns on BTRs on purpose to fight mounted with little Infantry both to achieve shock value of action because of speed mounted vs dismounted and to make up the value of having a conscript heavy force. They’ve never thought they would need it because they were supposed to follow the principle of annihilation fires followed by maneuver to the objective. It worked against Syrians for the last decade so they embraced it into their system because “this is way better than Chechnya!” They’re also learning the hard way that the battalion tactical group also worked great…… in Syria… and it has no place in LSCO because it lacks the ass to achieve and exploit the offense. We already figured that out and have been working away from it for the last ten years. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  15. Compare that to recent videos of Ukrainian combat footage using platoon and company sized Armored elements in effective combined arms maneuver because we’ve been training them. The Uke’s didn’t start the war capable of that across much of their formations. Mostly individual armored vehicles as supporting assault guns or ambush. Maybe you’d see a platoon but their movement was uncoordinated and sequencing was staggered so like a series of individual punches and not the synchronized sledgehammer that Armor and combined mech infantry functions as when used effectively. They are growing as a force, and use of western Tanks and IFVs is allowing survivability and carrying lessons to the next fight of the trained soldiers. That’s not something the Russians are getting. They are still Fires centric where we model off maneuver and I doubt that will ever change for them either culturally or looking at economy of force. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  16. In Soviet Russia Operation Secure’s you! Beers for the guys at Raytheon. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  17. While I can’t stand the man, nor the throngs of people anxiously waiting with lotion soaked hands too cup his balls throughout the state of Alabama…. I respect the fact he waited until after the Championship was over to announce this and it make it about him after Alabama was out. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  18. How about the fact there are active hostilities going on involving our deployed troops as well as the Russo-Ukrainian war and yet the SECDEF can go a week without talking to the boss. Guess we know which cabinet members don’t mean that much. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  19. Bavaria is essentially Germany’s Texas… And if you’ve ever been to Middle Franconia (Rothanburg/Ansbach/etc) within it, that’s essentially Germany’s College Station. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  20. In for a shock when they separate us by sex at the POW work camp. It’ll almost be worth losing the next fight if I can’t watch this ass find out nobody cares what his pronouns and they will beat you the same way they hit the other men. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  21. I think thanks to the transfer portal nightmare you’ll see more of this. They effectively lost the top quarter of their roster between regular and bowl season. You’re not even coaching the same team at that point. Now the 12 team playoff system may help stave off some of that effect for the perennial playoff teams out there, but with a system of top 4 or bust, there is almost no incentive for players who can make cash not to opt to transfer over playing a nobody cares bowl. And I’m with you on McCord. He throws a pick and his career is over in some peoples eyes. Meanwhile Brown who is the running back that throws is supposed to be a savior but at this point it’s obvious his talent isn’t going to overcome some injuries that are becoming hard to ignore. Without him and with a 3rd string quarter back who had no confidence or aim all Mizos had to do was continuously rush 7 on defense and wait for OSU to wear out theirs. It took all of 4 quarters for them to get on the board but they were effectively only playing against a defense at that point. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  22. We were trying to extract the legitimate government of Ukraine with use of non conventional assets and they refused to come out in the opening hours of this war. What exactly is legitimate that Ukraine was seeking a negotiated peace while Russia was driving on Kiev from Hostamel’s failed air assault and the Belarus convoy and somehow we convinced them to just keep rolling the dice? This sounds like more of the same bullshit blame the “western globalist,” nonsense he’s been pushing this whole thread. Somehow this is “our fault” for this war and not acknowledging Putin for exactly the threat he is. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  23. You very obviously didn’t watch that game. Ohio State showed up with literally no offensive starters but 2 guys (one injured) from the season and lost their Quarter Back on the second drive. The defense held Missouri to literally no first downs until the second half. That game was awful to watch but to somehow act like its validation of OSU being a bad team or Day being a bad coach is a joke. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  24. There’s also the intangible side of the cost argument. Full rage Conflicts are actually a culmination of late stage Foreign Policy. The fact we are living in the longest continuous period of human prosperity built largely on the western globalist system is proof of greater total success than simply counting up Korea, Vietnam, and GWOT and dismissing every action of foreign policy as folly. Same is true of the argument for dollar figures and limits to them on Ukrainian aid. Go look at the intelligence we got out of Israel during its proxy conflicts with our super power adversary. “Have Donut” just for example led directly to a massive shift in fighter tactics in the Navy and Air Force that had direct effect on the battlefield. Our electronic warfare programs which were foundational in our air playbook in GWI were tested and developed largely using those same regional conflicts and lessons preserved in the vault for an “on the day” event with the Soviet Bear. Same situation is happening right now in Ukraine. We validated billions of dollars in equipment investment just in HIMARs alone through its demonstrated performance it’s not just a guess now. We also learned a hell of a lot of “oh we better fix that right now” situations since we started supporting the Ukrainians in 2014. And when we are sending weapons largely at the end of their useful shelf life (example: M26 and ATACMs) what is the acceptable cost worth in number of exploitative efforts by the intel community? And how much deterrence in Russia and the wider sphere of everybody using their kit or the massive investment in our own by Allie’s do you think this conflict has bought? What’s a dollar figure on that? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  25. Well you either didn’t read the article, or you’ve completely reversed yourself to the point most of us have been making. That point being. that it’s far safer for all of us to see Russia culminate in depletion of its capability in Ukraine rather than get froggy and try for the Baltics next. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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