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mcbush last won the day on November 10 2018

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About mcbush

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    Flight Lead

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  1. Asked that exact question to the education office last year. They told me no.
  2. Obviously this is going to put a stop to airline hiring for a significant amount of time. I've seen estimates as short as 6 months and as long as 10 years, with a current consensus in the ~2 year range. Once hiring does start up again, do you guys see it initially being more competitive than it has been in the recent past for mil guys, based on the potential glut of guys whose UPT commitments are now expired, who got enough hours at their regional to be competitive, etc? Just wondering how much of my new-found free time I should be dedicating to the more ancillary parts of the resume like formal education.
  3. And if we’re talking about overall AD end strength and not just pilot manning, the numbers on RAW show us about 1K below what’s authorized in the FY19 NDAA
  4. Re: 13K over end strength. Last numbers I saw were at the end of FY19 citing our end of FY18 stats. So this data’s a year old, but it showed that the total force is short roughly 2K pilots out of a required 21K. If you exclude the ARC and look just at AD, we were apparently 1.8K short on CGOs and 1K over on FGOs for a total of 807 AD pilots short. Not sure I believe those numbers, but that’s what’s on the slide. Obviously that also implies that the ARC is about 1.2K shy. Bashi, same thing here as above. The last PC app we sent up got disapprovals all the way up to the PC office, and still ultimately got approved for 6 months off. I think your odds are still good.
  5. Didn't have the pleasure of knowing him personally, but it's obvious he was a titan of a man. Cheers, sir.
  6. Congrats on your good timing, Duck!
  7. In addition to what drewpey said, if you want actual statues that were potentially violated, consider 52 USC 30121 for example: ”It shall be unlawful for a person to solicit, accept, or receive (from a foreign national)... a contribution or donation of money or other thing of value... or an express or implied promise to make a contribution or donation, in connection with a Federal, State, or local election.” Zelensky was allegedly solicited for two things: an investigation into the Bidens and a big public announcement about it. It’s the second part that ties this to an election, and makes it reasonable for a person to raise his hand and ask the question, IMO.
  8. I’d be shocked if they managed to convince the COCOMs to give up control of their airlift assets
  9. You guys are ridiculous. In what universe are some guy’s tweets more credible than the sworn testimony of a Purple Heart-winning career military officer who works at the NSC? Call me naive if you want, and sure, the PH and other trophies don’t really add to his credibility per se, but this guy doesn’t deserve to be crucified and have his patriotism called into question just for trying to do his j-o-b.
  10. Interested in Trump by 300+. Not interested in Trump by 62 with 4 caveats. Interested in prosecuting crimes committed by anyone regardless of party or position. Not interested in debating the "Deep State."
  11. mcbush

    Airlift stops

    Which of his policies do you think will prevent "everyone else from having the chance" to make $2M? Higher taxes? The top federal tax rate in 1969, at the start of those 50 years that I mentioned, was 70%.
  12. Ah, so here's the rub. What was originally "Trump by 300+ electoral votes" is now "if the House votes to impeach and send articles of impeachment to the Senate and if the Senate conducts a trial and if Trump is not convicted and removed from office and if Trump runs again, then Trump will win not by 300+ electoral votes but by garnering at least a 300-238 margin of victory." For what it's worth, when I say Seahawks by 4, I mean that I expect them to win by a margin of at least 4 points, not that I think they'll win by a score of 4-2. To move on from being a sarcastic dick for a second, I also don't think I buy the argument that impeachment strengthens Trump's re-election chances. The way I see it, the Republican base will turn out for the man 100%, and I just don't think there are many moderates or independents who will be moved off the fence by this, especially since I think we're underselling the potential for additional damaging info to spill out over the course of the investigation. On the other hand, there's already so much damaging info out there that I don't think there's much else that can push people toward the Democratic party either. Bottom line at the bottom: with very few exceptions, people are set in their ways, they already know who they're going to vote for, and there's not much that can change their mind at this point.
  13. mcbush

    Airlift stops

    I don't agree with many of Bernie's positions, but I don't know how you can make an intellectual integrity argument against the guy. Not only is he not on the list that you cited, but if you open up the full list past the top 50, it shows him in 423rd place in terms of net wealth amongst Congressmen. Some quick Googling puts his current net worth at $2-2.5 million. How could he have amassed such a fortune as a career elected official? Keep in mind, this dude is 78 years old. If we assume he started saving when he was 28 and earned the market's 10% nominal return over the past 50 years, you know how much he'd have to put away every month to have $2.5M today? ....$172
  14. If you're actually being serious and not just talking out your ass, I'll take both those bets at any price.
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