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Clark Griswold

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Everything posted by Clark Griswold

  1. I think some of them realize that (hydrocarbon export based economies if they have oil/gas and if not they are mainly client states of other powers) MBS (and a few others) seems to want to try to diversify from just oil exports, they have some financial resources to effect this but will quite a juggling act on his part or any other ME leader who attempts this. They buy social stability with heavy subsidies and keep their clergy in line with generous deference and financial support, can these states keep those two expenses paid while subsidizing a nascent industry that the people of their states can and will do? I’m cynically hopeful for them as I am for parts of America that struggle today Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  2. Zeihan has thoughts on that My druthers, beating Iran down is worth the risk to the secondary disruption to the global economy. If you don’t establish deterrence via disproportionate retaliation then prepare for a decade of deadly harassment from rogue nations Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  3. Strike 3 at first leave 1 That will focus their minds Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  4. It gets better Illegal Aliens Accused of Attacking NYC Cops May Have Fled to CA After Soros DA Alvin Bragg Helped Free Them from Jail https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/02/02/illegal-aliens-accused-attacking-nyc-cops-may-have-fled-ca-after-soros-da-alvin-bragg-helped-free-them-jail/ Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  5. Yup I think this is “fixing the glitch” in whatever’s F-35 numbers you wanna believe More operators for bigger economies of scale for more ways to hide higher than published life cycle costs What the hell, just print some more money and shovel it around… Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  6. Czechia Signs to Buy U.S. F-35 Jets https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2024/01/29/czechia-signs-to-buy-u-s-f-35-jets/ IDK, seems like we’re encouraging an ally to buy a very pricy system when if they bought a less expensive one (in greater numbers) to acquire/operate/sustain they might be better off in the long run (FA-50 for example) Just my opinion from the cheap seats but a better COA is to plan for our smaller allies to bring more less capable but relevant systems to the party and Uncle Sam brings the exquisite capes rather than expecting them to be mini versions of us Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  7. Depends, if the rest of the authoritarian world and parts of the Global South ignore the sanctions on them now and likely after the conflict ends / suspends they’ll bounce back better than we want They got problems but they got means too, more natural resources and a scientific / industrial base that’s capable Russia is never as strong as she seems nor as weak as she seems, my guess is their national pride is stronger than our post modern corporate nihilistic leaders want to believe, I think 10 years after they stop fighting in Ukraine they will be capable of significant military local power projection.
  8. Same That was a very realistic idea as evidenced by both sides in Ukraine War Timeline in the 30s seems plausible after the Ukraine war ends probably in a year or two Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  9. Video series on a WW3 scenario, offered for entertainment and thread churning:
  10. My druthers, invasion seems likely as it (the CCP) will be desperate to distract and redirect their population’s anger as their nation declines and Xi wishes to fulfill his promise of reunification Countries in desperate situations (by their perspective) rarely make wise decisions and the personalities at the top of authoritarian regimes are often gamblers who will risk big when they think they can win Weak corrupt venal western leaders, empty weapons arsenals, overstretched resources and tenuous turbulent domestic politics in your rival make for ideal conditions for invasion methinks.
  11. Big Apple Council Member Trolls Wealthy Brooklyn Liberals on Migrant Shelters https://www.breitbart.com/immigration/2024/01/24/big-apple-council-member-trolls-wealthy-brooklyn-liberals-on-migrant-shelters/ Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  12. Commute worthy and good summary of an extensive set of war games on a cage match between the USA v PRC for Taiwan BLUF for the USAF: get ready to take losses, build depth in platforms and magazines Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  13. Not the people living in the UK now and unless you believe in blood libel and generational guilt do they deserve to be sold down the river by their ruling class Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  14. Fair enough Don’t think it’s any better anywhere else in the Western / Developed world “Leaders” everywhere see the people of their nations as nothing but interchangeable cogs Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  15. I doubt these Americans would agree with that https://www.foxnews.com/media/angel-moms-furious-biden-admin-illegal-immigrant-arrest-murder-texas-teen https://www.foxnews.com/media/angel-families-unload-biden-title-42-ends-worse-third-world-country
  16. Suicide of the West… https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/01/20/uk-to-become-only-g20-nation-incapable-of-domestic-virgin-steel-production-as-top-plant-goes-green/
  17. It’s not Joe making that decision Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  18. That’s one approach but if we just wanna stop aggression and no more then my suggestion is long range fires and a shit ton of them plus attritable platforms. My first post didn’t mean to be this platform for this platform for that one but in the parochial mindset of congress it probably will have to be, if you divest my JSTARS then what are you going to replace it with in my district to preserve economic footprint?
  19. Well I wouldn’t say the LIO as it is historically or academically defined but it is the corruption of western republican democracies / societies The LIO is not the globalist open borders hyper exploitation crony capitalism in league with a cronyist administrative state, it is the rules based order relationships among countries following WW2 meant to prevent wars of aggression and promote positive fair interaction among nations, allow access to the global commons and promote a basic level of human rights. The globalists try to conflate their project with the LIO but they are separate. The LIO respects legitimate sovereignty whereas the globalist does not. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  20. Understand your perspective but there is a storm brewing between eastern authoritarian systems vs the Liberal International Order. Despite its flaws and the disgusting hypocrisy greed and lying of half the people who lead it, it is preferable to an existence dominated by the other systems. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  21. 5 years? Methinks more like 2-3… https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2024/01/16/be-ready-for-war-with-china-russia-iran-and-north-korea-warns-uk/ BO Generals and SESes… say you have 3 years to get ready for a coordinated series of aggressions in multiple theaters around the world. Some allies will respond and assist, some will be trying to grow their capes prior to the ballon going up, some will be neutral and allow passage thru territory but no landing or basing in their territory, a few will block access to their sovereign territory and try to placate aggressors… the majority of military, economic, informational, technological and industrial effort will be from the USA, say 80% to put a number value to it. You get in the 3 pre-war years DoD budget increases year over year of 5% over inflation and the authority to reprogram, divest and acquire capes equalling about 15% of the budget. Congress is getting out of the way to a degree. The objective is to stop aggression and preserve the antebellum territorial borders, SLOCs and deter/prevent further expansion of aggression. What do you buy? What do you grow? What do you divest? What kind of force can you shape or hone from its present state in 3 years?
  22. Another: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/01/09/fairfax-county-illegal-alien-freed-into-us-as-unaccompanied-minor-accused-of-child-sexual-abuse/ Released from jail after caught and asked to be detained by ICE, he was in possession of self produced child porn WTF? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  23. GD it, cut this shit out https://dailycaller.com/2024/01/08/illegal-immigrant-deported-four-times-charged-killing-colorado-mother-son-dui-crash/ Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  24. Needs to happen Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  25. Didn’t know about that in the 70s, is that a specific event, would want to know more about it. I think that India can serve two purposes in our upcoming sequel to Cold War 1, a type of foil to China and a link to a wounded and pissed off insular Russia after the Ukraine War stops MCO, my belief is it will likely be a frozen conflict with a very tense situation for the next few decades. India can help the West with Russia and we can help them vis a vis China Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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