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Clark Griswold

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Everything posted by Clark Griswold

  1. Clark Griswold

    Taxes, the Deficit/Debt, and the Fiscal Cliff

    Agreed. When a country that has control over its own currency and gets into a debt problem it can: - Devalue its currency thru printing money and eroding its value, repaying the debt in now less valuable notes quickly getting out of the hole but also temporarily putting its exports on sale. - Cut budgets, raise taxes and impose austerity. Politically untenable in representative democracies of late and in the USA, not likely on the table. As the world's reserve currency, we can generate a shit ton of ill will if turn on the printing press, come up with another 10 Trillion and start paying our debts in dollars effectively worth 69% less. Long term self-defeating as much of our clout and success comes from everyone holding and trading (often) in dollars. Preaching to the choir, but if we don't start the inevitable turn to living within our means the hard turn the market will force on us could lead to domestic turmoil.
  2. Clark Griswold

    Taxes, the Deficit/Debt, and the Fiscal Cliff

    So this is disturbing... U.S. on a Course to Spend More on Debt Than Defense Rising interest costs could crowd out other government spending priorities and rattle markets It's been projected before but we are getting closer and closer and are gathering speed. The penny plan seems to be the best solution (reduce spending by 1% per year and problem fixes itself in about 5 years) of the current proposals that are out there but not getting any traction. The left would not support it (not a slight at them) and the right would support it so why not meet each other half way and cover the other half with tax increases an equal amount (I would suggest elimination of deductions/credits than rate increases), and you get to the same place in about 5 years and no side gave more than the other side.
  3. Clark Griswold

    The Next President is...

    I hope not but you could be right. At this point in our story, I think it is time for a Constitutional Convention as the electoral cycle as created by the current US Constitution is not able to synchronize with or span current policy cycles in the modern United States of America and our Federal government in its representative bodies is not able to generate the levels of consensus for it to operate as designed in the current US Constitution. Stumbling from one showdown to showdown, party line vote, Continuing Resolution at the last minute is not sustainable in the long run. Less done at the Federal level but what is done at that level being done well leaves less to get screwed up and contentious. Follow on: What if the Federal Government remained essentially the tripartite system but was split with the Senate and House powers, roles and responsibilities more clearly delineated and legislation to be created and passed thru them NOT having to pass thru the other legislative body for resolution before going to the Executive for approval or veto? Hypothetically the House could pass appropriations & legislation for Agencies A,B and C to administer National Policies on Commerce, Agriculture and etc...; the Senate could pass appropriations (new power) & legislation for Agencies X, Y and Z for National Defense, Presidential Appointments, etc... Almost the same structure but without that huge step of coordination between separate legislative bodies that can and soon will be under different political party majorities, you make legislation to regularly and in a normal fashion MUCH easier to create, debate, refine and pass to allow a modern nation-state to function in an un-dramatic way.
  4. Clark Griswold

    The Next President is...

    Agreed unfortunately. When 50% of the electorate pays no income taxes they don't care about your great income tax cut you passed last year. They don't own stocks so they could give a shit what the Dow Jones is. They don't have any money to pass to their children so they don't care if there is a federal inheritance tax or not. They live day to day, paycheck to paycheck because the globalized economy transferred their places in our economies to the developed world while enriching the investor, academic and administrator class. They see this and they are right to be pissed. We (conservatives) have come to look with disdain on government action that improves the lot of the common man and expect them (the electorate) to be able to trace the good or improving things in their lives (particularly their economic circumstances) to broad national policies that you would have to connect the dots thru in a very tenuous sense. We expect a machinist in the Mid-west to see how reducing marginal tax rates on individuals making over 500k a year leads to higher investment in small business and that's why he has a job, gimme a break. We expect a dude in his 50s established in a town with a family and connections to not be resentful as hell when his job is outsourced and to see how it really serves the greater good to more efficiently source his function overseas and that creative destruction in capitalism is fine, just depends on which end of the whip your on... Conservatives can remain true to the principals of limited government and use the scale/ability of the federal government to broadly improve the lives of the working/middle class in this country. Modern conservatism in any modern advanced state with an industrial or post-industrial economy should be on limited but effective and focused national governance that excels in a few areas rather than our current model of the federal government being mediocre in a lot of areas. Use those few but well executed functions to enable and secure the largest possible middle class that is the only way a stable democracy can survive in a large and diverse country. I am not for an intrusive all encompassing federal government but the people want some basic reassurance that if they obey the law, support their families and are loyal to this country, that the federal government will give them a reasonable safety net. As conservatives, we have to accept that but deliver it in a realistic, sustainable and understandable way that does not enslave the industrious to the lazy and modestly insures the honest and hardworking from the whims of fate.
  5. Clark Griswold

    WTF? (**NSFW**)

    Only in America... The phrase "her penis" is a crime against logic: Trans woman sues Dallas jail guards who examined her penis to verify which jail she belonged in
  6. Clark Griswold

    China & Chinese Shenanigans

    If only... Japanese US-2 Seaplane would be my choice if the resources and solid requirement were there for a military seaplane: Now, not to inflame righteous indignation over the controversial topic of aircraft that self-identify as amphibious, there could be some argument made for a capability to reach and supply far flung bases in the Pacific / Indian Ocean theaters that either have little or no infrastructure or in the event that infrastructure (runway, port, helipad, etc...) was destroyed by long-range attack (conventional ballistic missile, cruise or stand-off weapons). The case for a fixed-wing amphibious aircraft would be for a longer unrefuelled range with a greater payload vs a rotary wing or tilt-rotor aircraft, for a land or sea landing/takeoff. With typical hot & humid conditions, that would further erode vertical takeoff / landing performance, the option of a fixed wing water takeoff at a higher GW becomes more valuable. Expensive aircraft for a niche but potentially valuable capability ($116 mil a copy when offered to India in 2016 - ouch that's a lot) but if you were nation with your national interests linked to ocean power projection capabilities with a sometimes bullying neighbor, you might want that...
  7. Clark Griswold

    WTF? (**NSFW**)

    Candidate has serious case of foot in mouth disease: Democratic socialist candidate calls ‘white working-class’ residents ‘racist’ — and feels the heat
  8. Clark Griswold

    F-22 Pilot's comments after flying the F-4

    Cool Found a picture of the rear cockpit of the G model Was that right side stick a radar control?
  9. Clark Griswold

    China & Chinese Shenanigans

    It's another part of their growth in expeditionary capability, not explicitly a military system/capability technically but in about 6.9 seconds it could be adapted to a military role. 17 ordered so far by the Chinese government but article here doesn't specify if it is the PLAN or their CG. On the subject of Chinese expeditionary airpower development, they wanna develop a tanker version of their Y-20: http://www.atimes.com/article/chubby-girls-sister-boost-chinas-military-capability/ Good nick name for the jet also... Interesting photoshop but should have had pods, don't see them developing a boom AR system anytime soon.
  10. Clark Griswold

    China & Chinese Shenanigans

    Sheez... I didn't realize my innocuous post about a modern flying boat and the novelty of it would need a trigger warning. Just to state the obvious, we are not getting a flying boat and if money grew on trees I would say we should acquire one just because... but it doesn't so we will prioritize and spend money on that which we should / must... as referenced by @DirkDiggler
  11. Clark Griswold

    China & Chinese Shenanigans

    It was a joke, DD is Code 2 for humor recognizer Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  12. Clark Griswold

    China & Chinese Shenanigans

    If they have one we need one... AG600 just made its first water landing: Article on it from Task & Purpose: https://taskandpurpose.com/china-ag600-amphibious-aircraft-landing/
  13. Clark Griswold

    Hurricane Michael

    One more article on the 17 Raptors were left to ride out Hurr Michael: http://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/24442/we-finally-know-how-many-f-22s-were-left-behind-at-tyndall-afb-during-hurricane-michael
  14. Clark Griswold

    F-22 Pilot's comments after flying the F-4

    Interesting article / interview on flying the Phantom for the RN... https://hushkit.net/2017/07/31/flying-the-f-4-phantom-ii-british-style/
  15. Clark Griswold

    Future T-38 replacement?

    You've got a point but mainly for the US Defense Establishment, our Allies are far more price conscious than we are. Paradoxically though they have mission systems that have a second role as jobs programs too, particularly with the Euros, no slight at them just an observation. This modular system to a light jet(s) fleet might attract buyers from nations with little to no margin for pork. Good anecdote and I see the point relayed to you by the SESs, defense contractors are subsidized in a non-acknowledged but open secret way with some validity to it. The problem is that it has the second order effects of entitlement and complacency that keeps the industrial base alive but not healthy and innovative necessarily. IDK, I've had this discussion or ones like it over my career at various places and vantage points, now with a little perspective as I approach Old Fart status I think keeping the Industrial Base engaged and the AF adaptive and not stagnant we would do better to buy less "Silver Bullet" type platforms that are once in a generation or two purchases. Diversify the portfolio with higher numbers of modest systems to compliment the high end, we say we do this (Hi Lo mix) but it just doesn't seem to actually work out that way. Strategically staggering purchases for the USAF, USN, USMC, USA, etc... could be a method to keep a steady stream of contracts but that's not the trend of the last 20 years or so..
  16. Clark Griswold

    Future T-38 replacement?

    Not saying they are just interesting concept related to the thread subject. The most interesting idea of this (IMHO) is the modular approach to the family of aircraft offered, airframe/engines/avionics are all selectable to try to specialize for roles while simultaneously minimizing operational/logistics costs by specifically designing the concept to have 85% parts commonality among the variants. If they can deliver this feature (unlike what the F-35 program promised but didn't), they could chop those life cycle operational costs, money talks. It's not a bad sales pitch: Fly several of your basic missions/functions with one base model aircraft and customize those tails as you want for your primary trainer, advanced trainer, aggressor and demo teams. Save money on logistics and buying only what you need for each of those tails for their missions. It is an interesting idea but I'm realistic/jaded; unless a lot of investors put up a ton of money then several nations agree to a serious purchase, this will remain vaporware. Probably..
  17. Clark Griswold

    Future T-38 replacement?

    On the subject of Advanced Trainers... Aeralis (UK aerospace startup) is proposing a modular training system concept: https://aeralis.com/ http://aviationweek.com/military-trainers-light-attack/aeralis-envisions-new-british-jet-trainer Basic, Advanced and Aero Team variants based off one airframe, one or two engines customers choice...
  18. Clark Griswold

    Border crisis

    Initial report of TB among illegal immigrant minors at Lackland http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2014/07/07/immigration-crisis-tuberculosis-spreading-at-camps/ Not for a iron fist response, a lot of them are young kids in a very vulnerable spot but this is a turning point - we're going to control who comes in and stays or not. This latest crisis makes me think we don't need a pivot to Asia but a pivot to Central America.
  19. Clark Griswold

    Border crisis

    Drone threat on the border, small but growing sts. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/drones-swamp-us-mexico-border-but-federal-agents-powerless-to-stop-them
  20. Clark Griswold

    Hurricane Michael

    Most likely. Concrete walls, steel doors, build as tough as required. Rebuild; great location, great airspace and another location to launch from if shit goes downhill in Central/South America and 'Merica needs to respond. If another base is needed to spread assets to lower risk, I would expand Klamath Falls in Oregon for training ops with Eagles and positioned for a Pacific response if needed.
  21. Clark Griswold

    Future T-38 replacement?

    Copy that Another reason why I was surprised LM/KAI didn’t win as from their propaganda they demonstrated LVC and as they make the only two 5th gens currently flown by the USAF, integrating 5th gen Training threat/capes emulation for a potential ADAIR version for their offering seemed like another reason to go with them Easiest as they own the systems the AF would likely want to integrate new tng capes into Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  22. Clark Griswold

    Future T-38 replacement?

    That was one of the reasons I was surprised by the Boeing T-X win as T-50 has a first cousin that is a light fighter (F-50) with legitimate fighter capes already. File this under never gonna happen but the first F-35As (108 of them according to this article) might become "concurrency orphans" and not get upgraded to combat capable due to the cost being disruptive to the concurrency acquisition model and the models now in the current spiral for acquisition. Instead of making them combat coded, these first gens could be candidates for a 5th gen ADAIR with some operational capability, just not the full on F-35 ALIS based capes. We had F-16As for years with a CONUS sovereignty mission only, add the 5th Gen ADAIR mission with these tails distributed to ARC wings and you have a units that could specialize in simulating J-20s or Su-57s
  23. Clark Griswold

    Future T-38 replacement?

    Couldn’t there be a training mode for the 5th gens to treat a 4th gen ADAIR as a 5th gen opponent? Not a perfect solution but thru software achieve low RCS, low EMCON opponents Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  24. Clark Griswold

    Future T-38 replacement?

    Copy that I can see the risk mitigation value for AR experience in the trainer model before doing it for real sts in the single seat but there is only so much time/events in a syllabus before it grows too much
  25. Clark Griswold

    Future T-38 replacement?

    As for AR in IFF, wouldn’t you want to fight tank fight or do you need the break between sorties for debrief? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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