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    Retirement / Separation Considerations

    Curious how splitting the 365s will effect who goes. Before it was the short tour return dates, and you knew that if stuck around past 18 years you were hot for one. Now I imagine the MAJCOMs will share them out to the bases based on magic formula and the wing kings get to pick who goes. They did that before, but now it will be in far greater numbers. If you're FGO and not part of the leadership plan at a base, you know your purpose in life.

    Retirement / Separation Considerations

    The air advisor deployment was a 365, so the 220 is most likely the CSAF guidance to make it a 180, plus some training TDYs prior to. I would imagine every 365 minus the command billets are going that route now. So the 180 rules are a fair amount different. It's assigned to a base or wing, and the local leadership gets to decide who goes. The normal short tour return date rules don't apply. You're now in between a rock and a hard place. Like everyone's said, let the CC know that you'll punch if told to go. He can make you follow through, and give it to someone else. Or he can let you stay, and give it to someone else. So the CC gets to decide if he wants to lose two or more FGOs or just one. I doubt you'll be popular with the base leadership in either case. As an aside, last dude I talked to who did the air advisor gig said they retired four Lt Cols before they replaced him.

    What's wrong with the Air Force?

    I don't have enough alcohol to do a buzz word drinking game here. "virtual reality, mixed reality, automated instruction capabilities" "matrixed organization" "production through integration" Can't they just say retention is a lost cause with the current economy, so we're going to produce our way out of the shortfall. We'll cut training to meet our quotas, cross our fingers and hope for the best.
  4. The MAF would get by OK without patches, but I'd rather have a tanker guy planning tanker stuff than having the fighter patch doing it. It's just that AMC values queep above everything else, and they take the most capable bodies, and toss them at whatever the senior leaders view as important. Hence, the patch turning into an OPR/PRF monkey at the wing.

    What's wrong with the Air Force?

    Not really viable for KC-135/C-17. That FTU is at one of most remote stateside bases and pilots tend to 7 day op or leave at first opportunity if assigned there.

    Heavy guys instructing T-38s

    Not just the weak swimmers heading there. If you were a T-38 MAF guy, you were heading back to UPT with few exceptions. Couple that with the MAF taking most of the T-6 slots, and you have a huge experience gap developing in the MAF. It's not just our commanders who are low time and lack credibility, but the middle of the career junior Majors are rarely IPs now, since they got picked off for a UPT or drone second assignment. These children of the sequester are now the front line instructors of the shortened UPT product. May you fly in interesting times.

    What is right with the Air Force

    There is a fairly easy solution to this all. Go 10 years or so without Captain's PRFs, RIFs, VSP, TERA, and non continuing Majors. All of us who remember those days will be out of the service, and you'll not have us imparting that kind of wisdom to the new Lt's.

    What's wrong with the Air Force?

    Are they streamlining, or did they run out of HPO type 11F O-6s?

    What's wrong with the Air Force?

    https://warontherocks.com/2018/05/a-call-for-senior-officer-reform-in-the-air-force-an-insiders-perspective/ Another article highlighting the open secret of how we choose our senior leaders. And suggesting the only fix is for the people who benefited from the system to believe the system itself is the problem. Or we can just vote with our feet, like most of us are doing.
  10. NKAWTG

    Pilot Shortage Deepens, USAF is SCREWED.

    Not quite accurate. They are fixing the retention problem by increasing production. This "crisis" will have to be grown out of, instead of trying to convince those with a foot out the door to stay. The current crop of 10+ year officers has lost faith in the Air Force and are not going to be tempted by money or promised QoL fixes. We witnessed masters degree requirements become masked then unmasked, PT test failures treated like DUIs, Majors not offered continuation, pilots denied VSP and palace chase only to be RIF'd. The promises of "this time, it's different" ring hollow. But the QoL stuff matters more than ever. Class of 2018 is going to remember that senior pilot who spent his last year of service making Power Points in Afghanistan. Trying 6 computers to find one that leaveweb works on, or having the mission manager email the flight plan to your cell phone because none of the damn printers work. I expect these things to get better, because we are throwing money and people at them. If it doesn't work, you'll see that in the retention rates 10 years from now. Though the cynic in me see the increase in production as a way to enable the "run out the clock" strategy as someone else so eloquently put. Fingers will spend his entire term fixing the problems of his predecessors. Will his successor move us forward, or be another McPeak or Schwartz. Will the surge classes of 2018, 19 and 20 see RIF, VSP, and TERA again as airline hiring wanes. It feels like we're in the one step forward phase right before we take two steps back.
  11. The ADSC is the sticking point for me. Why sign up for 9+ more years when I know that non vols me to Minot, Cannon or Altus. You can homestead, but only at the bases we choose. Like it has been mentioned, the devil is in the details, but location, location, and location are top three most important features of the assignment system, and this plan gives you a crap shoot when it comes to basing.
  12. NKAWTG

    Taxes, the Deficit/Debt, and the Fiscal Cliff

    No clue what mission essential actually means. Do we recall folks from SOS and upgrade at the FTU? Do contract maintainers show up Monday to preflight aircraft?
  13. Thing is, the bullets we spend so much time writing matter very little. The strat, (or lack there of) job/staff level push and school push are what count. Omitting them can't be overcome by well written bullets, or even being good your job.
  14. NKAWTG

    Air Force to begin testing enlisted pilots

    The pool of candidates for flight training is as large as its ever been. If you want to increase it, just lower the ADSC back to 6 or 8 years. As everyone is foot stomping, the problem is a training pipeline capacity issue. And a retention issue on the back end. Changing the entry requirements won't allow you to train any more. Also what happens 10 years from now when the airline hiring wave has crested and these huge year groups that were pushed through stay because opportunity on the outside has dried up. It's not like we just had a 10 year stop loss to RIF/VSP cycle.
  15. NKAWTG

    F-16 Students skip Phase III

    Maybe the Air Force realized it can't solve the retention issue. Retention is a factor of Ops tempo and civilian opportunity. In a good economy, people will leave. In a bad one, people will stay. Ops commitments have stayed fairly consistent since the early 90s, but we've decided to do it with far fewer people. They won't go away anytime soon. So if the only factors that matter for retention are outside your control, then you need to focus on the inflow, not the outflow. Open another training base. Accelerate the T-38 follow on. Put the safety controls in for a force of mostly young guys, and few old ones. One thing I don't get is the fighter community struggles at meeting RAP and upgrading folks right now. If 1000 fighter pilots magically appeared in the next 5 years, what cockpit would you put them in, and where would you get the flying hours.