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Everything posted by Lawman
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Until Russia isn’t holding forced in reserve for the impending fight for NATO, they are not attrited. Tats how this ends, a Russian incapable of either conquering a NATO neighbor or threatening an invasion of the Baltic states. Until then we are far from broke compared to what a nuclear exchange with a Russia that foolishly invades and responds to losing would cost us. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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The Russians have violated established sovereignty and peace established borders 9 times since the fall of the Soviet Union. And the Ukes don’t have to “win” they have to repel and resist. Why when you have effectively driven the aggressor onto the purely defense would you negotiate for a cease fire that only serves to restore their combat power. Russian couldn’t “win” and annex Ukraine right now without deprecating all their effective conventional combat power. They won’t do that because of their baseless fear of some impending NATO invasion in whatever crazy reality Putin lives in. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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No we’ve been assured by people who read Twitter that Ukraine is achieving nothing, this fight hasn’t resulted in the erosion of the combat power arrayed against NATO, and that we should cut aid and just force them to capitulate, because that would save US lives in the end. Get with the narrative. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Actions have consequences, some of them life changing. To the group that doesn’t think so? Ask Michael Richards. These people were being groomed for access to the highest most front loaded echelons of success and privilege and a bunch of them did it while simultaneously embracing soft anti-semitism because it was the popular group think. Signing onto that train was the social media equivalent of getting a face tattoo of a dick on your chin and then demanding society give you a mulligan. Applying the standard they themselves would apply if somebody was holding a confederate flag at a counter BLM protest, they obviously shouldn’t be working in those echelons they were about to find themselves a part of. The only people I feel bad for are the parents that worked whatever magic they did to get their kids into such a advantageous position to have them stupidly throw it all away. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Your quote could be attributed to literally anyone who has ever had to sit in a staff briefing or execute a NEO/HADR run by Dep of State… Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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It won’t go off or launch or anything… SRBs are fired by electrical impulse (Needs some level of voltage). The danger is when they do launch all that abuse will have cracked the solid booster in some way so as it launches/burns it will explode. Not as likely since the way they are hitting it is mostly in line with the booster propellant so it’s transmitting energy through the length of the motor but still. Same reason you can’t use a rocket/missile that’s green dropped more than 3 ft. It’s actually a warning in most TMs. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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That’s complete false stereotyping…. They’d rape her first. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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I as gonna say my dream scenario is immediate floor vote on putting McCarthy back in as speaker. Force the Dems to go on record with what’s more important, immediate house normalcy or an alliance with Gaetz. As soon as that is done, bring the Ukraine bill to the floor with provisions to funding Israel. We get some form of bipartisan normalcy back. The Dems get to show Gaetz he isn’t in charge of crap. And if we are really lucky the likes of Omar or Tlaib resign in protest or at least say something they can’t take back on record. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Way to double down on crazy bitch. I guess at least she’s wearing her shit loyalty out in the open then. I’m sure party powers that be will be quick to denounce her…. Don’t worry we can all wait. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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Anybody that thinks they did this without the Quds force providing support and coordination is kidding themselves. Also our resident Palestinian congresswoman has been silent on the death toll or abduction of Israeli women and children. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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I’m sure they were thinking about all the medical aid and food they could fly in across the “blockade” when they got these… Oh wait no… just another example of the governing body in Gaza choosing to buy weapons instead of help the people they claim to be protecting. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Again. Taking a precision guided munition or putting 105 on it to knock down a building with a S-head who is literally incapable of effecting anything outaide AK range is not unleashing the original implication of “taking the gloves off” or “pushing shit in” to use your parlance. That’s playing whack-a-mole from a position of impunity. Tabqa damn or when it got Mosul/Raqqa was considered the most recent “Wild West” for US Forces. Compare us taking a week to stop and examine whether or not we killed civilians that ISIS herded into the building and deliberately baited air strike to or just how long we made the Iraqis wait before we finally struck the hospital in Old Mosul. Now look at Mariupol or Bakhmut and compare. And that’s still a misunderstanding of what is being asked for, total unbridled war. Total war as being opined about is to acknowledge that every portion of a societal infrastructure and the people participating in it are part of the apparatus to make war. See the Russians targeting the grain supply or the power grid on Ukraine. Or us bombing the ball bearings, steal production, fuel refining capacity, and most of all the people that build the weapons in WWII. Even in 91 or 03 that wasn’t the kind of targeting we adopted. We were attacking their immediate capacity to engage tactically or inflict casualties on our immediate forces. Mentioned earlier the “highway of death” was probably a great example of actually adopting the annihilation of your enemies war-making capacity, and what did we do once cameras were on it, we turned it off. And if you want to make this a dick measuring contest and compare deployments and “what you’ve been part of” I can very readily play. I doubt you’re going to find my perspective on the matter limited. Even still, being amazed at the killing power effectiveness of our weaponry in some individual battle is not a measure for seeing the US war making apparatus truly unchained to fight a war to a decisive definable victory. We’re talking about adopting a line of thinking inline with Lemay’s era and carrying that out. Tell me that guy could even exist in the current environment much less be types in charge when the bell goes off. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Anybody else catch all the announcer booth call outs across games for terrible officiating? Some absolutely bizarre calls made by refs this weekend. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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When in any current conflict have you seen us go to the “kill them this is war” mentality compared relatively to other countries attitudes. We get into a nasty fight in Wardak or TK and we have a gunship dropping 40mm for demonstration against a mountain side, or we clear hourly rocket runs by the Apaches against some obscure block of yellow terrain amongst an area of interest. If we were for example the Russians we’d have been throwing that ordnance in the 200 series because we didn’t care. There’s an article a few posts up explaining that the RussianUkraine thing is carrying not just a war for territory but a war for extermination flavor. When did that concept ever really play in our mindset. I was over Raqqa when we literally didn’t give a crap and even that was reserved compared to watching what the Russians were doing with TOS-1 in Aleppo. Look at Mariupol and the doctrinal concept of “annihilation fires.” We stopped doing anything like that in August of 1945. Could we get there, maybe. But as I said it would take a reality of pain inflicted in our own home territory that we would just as likely have people sue for peace and we definitely wouldn’t feel that compulsion to act if it was just “people over there.” Lose Rose Barracks in Germany and you’ll get a lot of rhetoric, but what action is a real question. That’s part of the reason some of us are so insistent that Ukraine needs to win or at the very least neutralize to parity/exhaustion this war with Russia. Eliminate the opportunity to dither in the face of aggression when actually met with it because it doesn’t get to us. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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Go read any news sites YouTube of this. It’s already filled with “Israeli occupiers” and other such apologetic tripe. I’m sure as soon as the Israelis start doing any effective damage the regulars in the UN apparatus will be up in arms and forget all about or apologetically ignore this brazen act of terrorism. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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You’re confusing our track record of expressing combat power at distance to our own will, not at fighting a war. Go read a history book focused on the first series of months/year of any of those “take the gloves off” wars. I’d suggest Dr Shawn Faulkners lecture on WWI 1917, or when it comes out Jon Parshall’s book on 1942. WWI was us buying a place at the peace table through sacrifice. WWII was literally us letting the other team score for the entirety of the first half with little to show for it while we got our feet under us and learned the vital lessons that led to all those 1944 victories. If you don’t think we will do a lot of that in the next one I’ve got news for you. We have a hard enough time getting commanders to actively digest the lessons learned in Ukraine without playing the “well we’ve always done it this way,” card. Does anybody honestly believe we could in an era of social media and instant access survive something akin to 1942. One battle of Savo Island or those first years of B17 raids worth of casualties. Do you think likewise we could just carpet bomb a city to attack a port or bomb to rubble a co-use airport. What do you think our societal demand for leadership heads or stopping the war would be? Would it be more distracting to a political class seeking only to remain in leadership than say actively prosecuting a war? We haven’t had a no holds barred full gloves off war because we haven’t had an existential crises for our own survival to accompany it. Even with one by 1945 Americans were largely over the war, and Japan was seeking that for a negotiated peace to drag it to 46. It’s one of the reasons the Navy wasn’t allowed to seek their preferred option of blockade and starve. Even in modern coin it’s bred into us to maximize the CDE discussion to applying force. Anybody that wants to see that contrast go watch a Ranger Raid and then compare it to a raid run by the SAS or Grom. One group is executing call outs, the other is “knocking” with a Gustav. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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We aren’t good at war, everybody else has just been gawd awfully terrible at it. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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Or…. And this is just the ground force centric guy on a website full of Air Power people… Taking territory offensively in a conventional war is far more difficult and casualty producing than our two successful one-sided shit kickings in Iraq made it seem… You guys realize we barely made it to Baghdad in 03? Not due to casualties or the Iraqi Army, due to logistical strain and lines of supply vs speed of advance. In some ways the massive sand storm saved us because it allowed some downtime to perform ground maintenance. Most of our tracked vehicles were well beyond the time before overhaul on them when they got there. It’s part of the reason we took a few days doing thunder runs to the airport. If Saddam had pulled himself back to Mosul we physically wouldn’t have had the ass to get up there. Ukraine is the size of Texas, and unlike Texas it’s full of mine fields, water crossings, and a half dozen drones per square mile tied to a massive network of fires assets looking for a vulnerable ground force on the March with engineer support to get through said mine fields. Oh also Russia just pulled the bulk of its modern Naval forces in Sevastopol back into Russian home waters because they can’t defend/preserve that combat power. No big deal right? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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We had a cyber war guy brief a theory paper on “non kinetic disruptive attrition.” Essentially, you don’t even have to kill us to hurt our combat capability. Anybody above the rank of major just have those warehouses full of hackers and bots start running up credit cards in their name, issue police reports or swat people, start emailing their wife the “it’s his baby and I want my money” or nudes from some girl in whatever city your last TDY was… that type stuff… basically everything you see when the hacker wrecks the life of somebody in a movie. Do that simultaneously to all the leadership out there, then while that’s going on do something akin to Russia when they went into Crimea. With the amount of information the government already handed them through our own stupidity plus the amount of social media we already put out on ourselves, it wouldn’t be hard to severely hobble the command channels with issues that result in delayed action. For those of us that remember the Ashley Madison hack and the shit show that ensued when peoples wives started googling names… now do it with the benefit of AI. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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A large portion of the AvFID mission set was handed off to USASOAC and then kind of passed down to the SFAB to own. The problem isn’t that there is no concern at the Strategy level to build partner capability. SFAB exists entirely because of an understanding of that (and not just to teach Afghans how to do jumping jacks). The problem is there is already not enough personnel within Army Aviation to pull for taskings, or to assess and maintain in the SFAB/SOC side. We’ve got a Major who just went over to SFAB to start doing this, only reason was because he was allowed to is he is medically hard down. His flying days are done. Same is true for the senior warrant population. If you can even find them at the rate we are all scrambling for the exits or dropping papers. Compo 1 (the big regular Army) doesn’t care because from its view this is a staff as available when the active CABs are all fighting to get 65-70% manning. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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You don’t have to go back that far to make your point either. Things got more and a bit excitable in Syria from about 2014 and on. Trading rounds, knocking down aircraft, and actively killing Russians has happened so recently you can YouTube it. Somehow with all of that we are all still here. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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No… If Auburn had won out against Georgia it would be the catalyst to “see the SEC is so deep with talent and that’s why they all deserve to be ranked!” And then people would forget how badly across the conference they’ve done this year and we’d be back to putting a 2 loss Bama or LSU in front of a 1 or 0 loss Penn State/USC/etc Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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That’s a pretty significant misunderstanding of what 4 of those forms actually do, but ok… 3. (personnel action) is used administratively for literally any change in your records (senior wings, change of unit within guidon, school application). Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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I think you guys are overthinking the real reasons Ol’Billy wants to do this… Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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A whole lot of rotary wing guys…. Understandably, that’s where we live. We’d probably feel the same way about being inverted. I wonder how many advanced FMS autopilots we could have bought with 100 million dollars…. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk