Everything posted by Lord Ratner
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Greenland
Lol. Childish. You can buy the houses surrounding them and make them miserable. You can use eminent domain. You can wait for a forest fire to obliterate the neighborhood then use onerous regulations to prevent the owner from rebuilding. Pretending like the world is a libertarian playground is why Maduro lasted in our back yard for years and China became a super power using our money. That doesn't mean we storm the beaches of Greenland, but especially considering the Danish status quo is only possible through the grace of our military umbrella, if we want it, the question is not "is it for sale," the question is "how much." This is the devil's bargain Europe made 30+ years ago when they outsourced their military capacity to us. Turns out the interest on that loan is a killer.
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The WOKE Thread (Merged from WTF?)
We all need to stop pretending like this is some sort of new phenomenon. The Doctor who discovered germs was ridiculed to the point of being declared insane, and dying because of it. Doctors have never been particularly accommodating to change, because doctors are just humans with a higher capacity for knowledge retention and association. But that improved software is still running on the same dumb ape hardware. If anything, doctors are even more stubborn and willing to kill people due to their pride than normal people. Too much ego. Don't make friends with doctors. Especially the young ones. The horror stories you will hear about how many people die in hospitals because of senior citizen doctors refusing to retire is absolutely terrifying.
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Lighten Up Francis!
That was amazing. Adding that to my movies review channels (pitch meetings, honest movie trailers, and the critical drinker).
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The Congressman is back yo
Dan just did a big long podcast with Andy Stumpf covering the recent controversy. The short version is that his "insider trading" is measured in the low tens of thousands and had no inside element to it. Shawn Ryan is a bit of a whiny bitch for a Navy SEAL. Or maybe not, if that's normal for them. But Crenshaw goes over that too and what Ryan was calling a threat was pretty clearly not. I'm hard-pressed to find someone in Congress I like more than Dan Crenshaw. You don't often find someone with the experience he has, electability, and the willingness to subject himself to many recorded long-form discussions about detailed policy issues. I think the bigger issue is that we are just at a phase where the population expects something that is not possible from politicians.
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Venezuela and Narco Boats
Uh... Those were the distraction. Not the goal.
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The Next President is...
Unfortunately for the oil industry, cheap oil (energy) is good for literally everything else. If it wasn't for the absolute inability to accomplish anything at all, the best thing the government could do right now would be to build 50 nuclear power plants across the country and drive the marginal cost of energy down to zero for the next 50 years.
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Iran has gone completely sideways
Yes, well, just like in the '70s and '80s, the problem is going to be Islamic fundamentalists. I don't think Egypt is that bad of a comparison. Mubarak was definitely better than Khomeini, but regardless it was the Muslim brotherhood that the population supported before Al Sisi came in and shut it down. A much more extreme version of this problem exists in Palestine. The Palestinians in Gaza are no fan of Hamas, but that doesn't mean we are going to like who they end up supporting. Fingers crossed.
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Iran has gone completely sideways
I think I'll wait to see who follows before getting interested. Egypt, Libya, Syria, Afghanistan... It's not an easy region to reform. The Iranian threat is what made the Abraham accords possible. I wonder if the Middle East can unify without a central bad guy to align against.
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2026 Predictions
We've already proven that immigration to the United States is not something controlled by the migrant. It looks like the administration is already gearing up to send the TPS Venezuelans back to Venezuela, and if they stick to it then overthrowing a hostile regime will be yet another excuse removed from the asylum-for-everyone crowd. We spent so many decades being lied to about the illegal immigration situation that it now seems almost inconceivable that there was never a legitimate excuse or cause for it in the first place.
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2026 Predictions
It would be quite refreshing if the United States reasserted control over the Americas. I know the fashionably isolationist wing of the Republican party is going to hate this, but they've gotten to live in a fantasy world that we built after 50 years of interventionism between the end of world War II and the fall of the Berlin Wall. After 30 years of neglect, it appears we must once again participate in the game of thrones.
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The Next President is...
They just tried to elect a president. If the military doesn't try to assert control, they'll have a leader who is very Western-friendly. With what just happened, I doubt the Venezuelan generals are eager to take over the role of dictator at the moment. There should be no other puppeteers in our hemisphere.
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F-22 Maintainer killed AIB
I did a CDI once for a group of maintainers who had sucked up the engine covers into the engines of a kc-135 during an engine run at night. This was a group of five maintainers, all of whom had forgotten to bring a flashlight, and so instead of either finding a light source or just walking up to the engine to see if they were covered, they just skipped every procedure and rule to prevent this mishap fired them up. Sadly this is completely believable. I hope he went quick.
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Commanders are dropping like flies this year
Eventually you realize that the entire organizational pressure to sacrifice is driven by nothing more than the unquenchable need for promotion and power of those working their way up towards the top. It's been a long fucking time since anything we were doing in the military actually mattered from the perspective of defending the Homeland. Sure, small operations here and there, but nothing that justifies the institutional insanity that everyone experienced while they were in. It's just a bunch of losers who desperately want to be generals. Even the "good dudes." Your personal and family life was meaningless to them because they didn't even care about their own. Flag officers. I still think there were some (rare) good O-6s.
- Initial Pilot Training and Future Pilot Training
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Investment showdown -- beyond the Roth, SDP, & TSP
Short-Term, I expect volatility from here on out. The major moves have already been made. There may be some more life in the miners in the short term, but those all ballooned up pretty dramatically as well, and the miners won't be safe from an equity recession. Long-term, eventually a bubble is going to pop, at which point I expect the government to step in with eye-watering amounts of stimulus. That'll start phase two of the gold bull run. And if the crypto fairy tale collapses at some point, that'll be even more money shifting back into gold.
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Venezuela and Narco Boats
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C-17 Nose gear collapses KCHS
Collapsed into the wheel wells shortly after takeoff and never uncollapsed before landing
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The Next President is...
So how much absence of evidence is required for the random people who saw nothing with their own eyes and know no one who saw anything? A few years ago one would look at this story and say "man it's kind of hard to believe that that many famous people were involved in a massive pedophilia ring over the course of years and with many very trackable forms of transportation, and no one blew the whistle knowing they could make a lot of money doing so and stop something evil from happening." But that was years ago, when there hadn't been investigations by both political parties and literally millions of people speculating, hypothesizing, and scrutinizing releases of information. Or the hundreds of women in the era of me too keeping silent when prominent figures on both sides of the political spectrum can be implicated. Not to mention staff and visitors. Now that this is one of the most investigated cases in modern history, it's not hard to believe anymore. It's becoming impossible to believe. Turns out Jeffrey Epstein was a pedophile who also fancied himself a power broker and connection maker. Another completely unsurprising element to this whole story is that he went to Great lengths to keep his pedophilia hidden from the many, many, many people who would have everything to gain by turning him in and very little to lose. At this point, some of you guys just want it to be true. Personally I'm relieved that for once, the horrible conspiracy is just a theory.
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The Next President is...
Politics reflect the population, not the other way around. We have an unserious president because we have an unserious population, and that's not going to change until something serious happens to force them out of the delusion. Ironically, unserious politicians are going to accelerate the drive towards whatever ultra serious situation lies ahead.
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The Next President is...
Just wait. He didn't even make it a year before relapsing into full-on Trump mode. Three more years and anyone with a pulse running against Republicans will win in a landslide
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Gun Talk
Oh look. More predictable consequences from importing foreigners with a completely different culture and ideology then failing to integrate them because of "multiculturalism." Even better, the hero to stop them was another foreigner who apparently had integrated. The West needs to figure out what changed between the time when we welcomed foreigners dreaming of being American to now when we bring in a bunch of worthless young men who hate our society and yearn for paradise.
- WTF? (**NSFW**)
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Leaving with Resentment
I can't believe it's been almost a decade. Damn I feel old ๐๐คฃ
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Leaving with Resentment
I could be pissed and resentful that the Air Force came after me for an accusation that every judge or JAG in the process saw as obviously absurd. It cost a lot of money and it put my family through quite a bit. Or I could be thankful that I made my stupid mistake in 2015 instead of 2007, when the Air Force was balls deep in the "women never lie about rape" narrative. I'd probably still be in jail if it had been in that era. I choose the latter. Most people on earth would cut off their right arm to be where I am professionally, financially, and medically. Timing is Everything It's better to be lucky than good There is no justice I wish I remember who the first person to share those rules with me was, because while they aren't a moral framework, they've always been a quick antidote to any potential pity-parties I've thrown for myself. You're never going to have men and women working together without fraternization. I know you know that too. I wasn't mad they went after me, but the mock indignation was pathetic.
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Leaving with Resentment
No no, it was much more than that, but the charges were contradictory, which was my point. I see how I made it seem that way though, my bad. Short(ish) version: got wasted at a house party full of all ranks and hooked up with an E who was married. I was too. Mild petting. Really fucking dumb, I know, but pretty tame as far as the Sport of Kingsโข goes. But she was married, and had been caught cheating a couple times before by her husband, so when he found out, she claimed she was raped. The investigation was... Sloppy. OSI wired my accuser to try to catch a confession, which they didn't remotely get, but for whatever reason they wrote in the summary that I confessed. So that convinced the chain of command to press charges. But then they charged me with sexual assault and fraternization, which are kinda mutually exclusive in this context. That resulted in a really disjointed prosecution that fell apart for a lot of reasons, not the least of which was the absence of rape and the lack of a confession. I'll never know for sure, but I think the judge was so pissed at the prosecution for throwing everything at the wall to see what stuck that he looked at the frat charge in a way that favored my case. Either way, I was found not guilty. Of course I admitted to drunkenly fooling around with the accuser on the stand, yet was found not guilty. So my SqCC who married an E and my WgCC who was a well known recovering alcoholic gave me an LOR for drunken fraternization; conduct unbecoming. I get it, my conduct was rather unbecoming, but it was very clear to everyone (including my next commanders) that it was sour grapes for losing the case in court. So yeah, @illusive it could be a whole lot worse. But I still had a lot of fun in the AF, so you're probably fine. Sorry, if I write any more then Boomers' hemorrhoids are going to flare up ๐คฃ๐.