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The Iran thread
I'm not very optimistic either. However, I do think slowly releasing funds, or as ClearedHot_AI states, "leverage" after conditions are met and continue to be met, is very different than dumping off pallets of hundreds. If we're gonna do that let's just pay them in pennies, released from high altitude. We're discontuing them anyways...
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The Iran thread
I made a comment about giving Iran money last time in relation to our letting them sell their sanctiined oil this time. I'm still against both of those actions At face value, I'm completely against allowing them access to $20 billion in frozen assets. However, if they agree to allow the IAEA come in and remove all of their nuclear material, and oversee the dismantling of their nuclear program, I think there's a case to be made for allowing them access to some or all of these funds. The release of funds wouldn't start until those actions occurred, and would be spread out over a period of say 10 years upon continued IAEA inspection access and "good behavior". I unfortunately doubt this will happen.
- The Iran thread
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The Iran thread - military tactics, strategy and lessons learned so far
I wonder how many cases of Zyn and monster you can fit in that Sea Choad 🤔
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The Iran thread
I have zero SA on maritime law, so IDK if a ghost ship is legally treated the same as a chinese flagged oil tanker, or an Iranian flagged tanker etc. I'm more curious how we'd handle a tanker with oil purchased by China attempting to pass through the strait. We lifted sanctions for a month, chances are some countries bought oil that hasn't left port yet. If a tanker has legally purchased Chinese oil, do we have good options for dealing with that? I'm shocked you didn't point out how I assumed the gender of the aforementioned chinamen.
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The Iran thread
Sorry to interrupt the political sword fighting, if only we had a thread for that 🤔, but does anyone have a thought on how Iran will run this blockade? I highly doubt China would put personnel on an Iranian oil tanker bound for China... However, if they told us they were doing so, what's the move? I'm sure we could disable the ship, but then what? Are we going to storm the ship and take those chinamen prisoner? Even if they don't put Chicoms on an oil tanker, what's the worst that can happen from an Iranian perspective? They run the blockade, we disable/commandeer said vessel, and then what, just sell the oil and pocket the cash? I'm not sure that's a great look for us. Thoughts that don't revolve around a monkey shit fight over Trump would be surprising yet welcomed.
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The Iran thread
From the Article linked below: "The license allowed Iran to sell its sanctioned oil to help finance its war against the United States and its allies. And Iran was profiting handsomely off its sales, selling its oil for a premium of several dollars above the price of Brent crude, the international benchmark." Unless the article is completely false, it appears Iran has not been blocked from receiving funds for the sale of previously sanctioned oil that was stuck at sea. Why Trump is Threatening to Blockade a Strait that Iran is already Blockading
- The Iran thread
- The Iran thread
- The Iran thread
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Commanders are dropping like flies this year
Speaking of firing generals... Army Chief of Staff Fired
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The Iran thread
I have no desire to be lumped in with ppl like dayman, but I'm getting concerned we didnt adequately prepare for contingencies (the straight being closed comes to mind). Not having a valid strategy and thought out plans for contingencies to accomplish an actual objective is my concern, and its not without reason based on the last 20 years. Holding judgement and trying to give the benefit of the doubt though.
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The Iran thread
If we're using significant resources to sit DCA for drones then I disagree we have air supremacy over the area, and would say they're effectively interfering with our operation. The point stands regarding the risk our leaders are willing to accept in order to destroy Iran's ability to place mines in the straight.
- The Iran thread
- The Iran thread
Boomer6
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