uhhello
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Posts posted by uhhello
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Edited by uhhello
8 hours ago, kaputt said:I think it’s mostly Tesla rates that are jacked up because of the morons falling asleep or banging chicks while on “autopilot”. Don’t think it has to do with it being an EV.
Repair costs are quite a bit higher on Tesla’s I’m sure
The average annual cost to insure a Tesla Model 3 — $2,215 — is nearly 40% higher than the average national cost of car insurance, according to NerdWallet's analysis. Tesla says its own insurance can save drivers 20% to 30%, but policies are currently available only in Arizona, California, Illinois, Ohio and Texas.
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3 minutes ago, LumberjackAxe said:
Well shit, I guess I fell victim to misinformation. Good to know.
i mean it sounded dumb enough to be true 🙂
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Edited by uhhello
3 hours ago, LumberjackAxe said:This includes food. Those frozen Tyson chicken strips? The chickens are raised and slaughtered in the US, shipped to China to be processed/breaded/deep fried, then shipped back here for sale.
Not true
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/aug/11/tyson-chicken-indsutry-arkansas-poultry-monopoly
https://southhighbusiness.wordpress.com/2016/12/02/tyson-and-china/
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1 hour ago, Lawman said:
It’s not.
Russians redesigned a whole lot of their ground doctrine following Chechnya.
https://www.armyupress.army.mil/portals/7/hot%20spots/documents/russia/2017-07-the-russian-way-of-war-grau-bartles.pdf
https://info.publicintelligence.net/AWG-RussianNewWarfareHandbook.pdf
https://info.publicintelligence.net/AWG-RussianNewWarfareHandbook.pdf
That’s Low side. There is other stuff out there….
There is a lot of wide area discussion but essentially it focuses on the move to Battalion Task Group models (BTG). Actual Table of Equipment though is all over the place dependent on type of units.
Main tank rule is Battalion structure. They don’t intermix tanks below Brigade level so a battalion is going to be structured around a particular model (72, 80, 90). Brigades may have Battalions with different types (like a single 80 and 2x 72s). Within that individual Battalion you have 3 or 4 company models (10 MBTs per company with 1 for the Battalion Commander) based off what kind of parent brigade/division it’s intended to fall under. Tank Brigade/Division will usually prioritize 4 Troop tank Battalions (41 total tanks) to Infantry brigades so they can provide a Troop to each infantry Battalion with a single Troop in force reserve.
Which brings me to my main point….. Send More Javelins!
Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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2 minutes ago, Prozac said:
Probably doesn’t end well for their families back in Moscow. Russians have a rich history of soaking up casualties. I don’t think this ends until they run out of: 1. Warm bodies, 2. Fuel, or 3. Money. On a side note, how the hell are Ukrainian air assets still operating effectively? The Russians should’ve had air supremacy on day one. Just another head scratcher in the long list of why the Russians are operating the way they are. Part of me wonders if this isn’t some sort of “soft” coup where Russian commanders are throwing the game, knowing that the embarrassment will likely force Putin from power.
Indeed. 30 ship helo assault from Belarus a few minutes ago. No apparent air cover again. Happy hunting to the Ukrainians
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13 minutes ago, herkbier said:
Apologies for the dumb question..
Is this Ukrainian insurgency the first time a more developed country has engaged in guerrilla warfare? At least since WWII? I looked for a list of insurgencies and couldn’t easily find a comprehensive list.
I ask because this seems to be the most unified defensive action I can recall and it’s obviously progressing much differently than even most of us would have predicted.
I definitely wouldn't call it an insurgency yet. Not even close.
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6 minutes ago, Lord Ratner said:
I actually think this is a ridiculous take.
The entire nuclear enterprise is predicated on no one launching a nuke. If Russia launches a nuke, it may not result in a nuclear response, but it will result in a complete reframing of the worldview of nuclear deterrence. In particular, I suspect it would lead to the West determining that nuclear weapons can no longer be allowed in any number amongst our enemies.
That is an outcome that China most assuredly does not want. A nuclear attack makes any economic sacrifice suddenly palatable, and you would expect the West to completely isolate both China, North Korea, Iran, and Russia from the world economy in the event it is decided that no one can have nukes anymore.
If, and I think it is a spectacular if, Putin were to use nukes against anyone, I think you would see China immediately ally with the United States and the West for the purposes of utterly and completely decimating Russia as a global player.
We may seem weak in this new and sensitive world. But our enemies have not forgotten what happens when the United States finds resolve, and our adversaries have been very careful over the last 30 years to avoid crossing any lines. Nuking and innocent country would bring out the best in Americans, which would be the worst possible outcome for anyone in our way.
At this point, I'd be more worried for the Russian citizens when the birds cook in the silos.
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7 minutes ago, DirkDiggler said:
There’s been a lot of things about this invasion, just from an operational design standpoint, that really haven’t made sense to me. I can’t figure out if Putin miscalculated that badly in the Ukrainian military capability/will to fight, overestimated Russian military abilities, honestly believed the Ukrainian civilian population would embrace the Russians, or some combination of the above. Or whether Russian military leadership at the Operational and Tactical level is just that incompetent.
Either way, I feel like the Russian overmatch in long range fires hasn’t been exploited well (F3 issues maybe?), their sustainment plan is pretty obviously non-existent, and the infantry/armor coordination is falling short. Also seems like CAS and SEAD plans haven’t been executed well (interdiction maybe a little better, time will tell with regards to Ukrainian anti-armor/aircraft munitions resupply). It seems like their higher command has decided that Kyiv is the Schwerpunkt (at least for now), but they’re not concentrating combat power there like I’d expect them to. If the Ukrainian military really plays this right Kyiv and Kharkiv, amongst other cities, are going to turn into a Russian graveyard.
Lots of video/photos of captured soldiers/looted equipment with old school analog radios and the like. Think we might have over-estimated the Russian military as a wholes C2 structure
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10 minutes ago, Sim said:
What you're witnessing is obvious disinformation by Ukrainian MoD. They've done same in 2014. I would not trust anything unless there is a video+picture footage.
Baghdad bob style. Don't blame em. Gotta keep the citizen soldiers jacked up.
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2 minutes ago, DirkDiggler said:
Could be this. Could be the Ukrainians are putting up a tougher fight than Russia expected. Unfortunately could also just be sequenced phases in the Russian operational plan.
Interesting open source speculation about the motivation/morale or lack thereof of some Russian units involved in the attack. My Estonian buddy is sharing lots of videos of large anti-war protests in Russia; hopefully that continues.
Almost 1800 arrests country wide. We'll see how long the protest will persists.
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3 minutes ago, Prozac said:
Really? What are his goals here? He want’s to weaken NATO on his borders and ensure the alliance makes no more gains in Ukraine of course, but also countries like Finland and Sweden. How’s that working out so far? NATO is more United in purpose now than it has been in 30 years. The US is moving troops back into Europe and I’d be willing to bet that their presence will be permanent. Countries that have been hesitant to spend defense dollars will now be rethinking their priorities. The Finns are going to be thinking long and hard about where their allegiances lie. Instead of weakening NATO, the only thing Putin has managed to do is get the West’s hackles up and further fortify ex-Soviet NATO countries. And while I agree that cutting Russia off from Swift should’ve happened yesterday, other measures taken are not trivial. Most importantly, NordStream II has been shelved and the Europeans are actively discussing how to wean themselves off Russian energy long term.
So yes, Putin is about to gain a satellite state on the Black Sea, albeit one filled with angry citizens who will likely mount an insurgency that will be killing Russian soldiers and sympathizers for many years to come. But he is loosing virtually all of his other strategic goals. And we haven’t even begun to discuss how these developments will affect his regime’s hold on power as Russians become annoyed by the body count, by their inability to travel, by their economy tanking, and by their security deteriorating. I fail to see how this is a win for Putin. In fact, it looks more like a colossal mistake and about the dumbest move he could’ve possibly made.
Yup. I'm not a smart man but I struggle to see the long term of this for Russia.
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8 minutes ago, Clark Griswold said:
One Ukrainian Flanker got away
https://theaviationgeekclub.com/heres-the-ukrainian-air-force-sukhoi-su-27-flanker-that-landed-in-romania-after-having-been-intercepted-by-romanian-air-force-f-16-fighting-falcon-fighter-jets/
Haven’t heard much about the Ukrainian AF - were most of their pointy nose jets destroyed on the ground, any air to air engagements or anybody know anything releasable?
Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkIntel Crab on twitter is pretty good. A bunch of un-confirmed first hand reports but better than FOX and CNN.
https://twitter.com/ELINTNews/status/1496987322553876480?s=20&t=RUV9-7vdwjEXfyhAdKCKFg
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3 hours ago, FLEA said:
Here are some interesting things I've picked up working heavily in NATO/Europe. Really opened my aperture for how I see the world.
1.) Europeans do not see the US as the winners of WW2. They believe WW2 was largely won by the time the US entered and US entry just accelerated the end. They view the war through the cost paid to attain victory and the majority of those costs were paid by the UK and the Soviet Union, especially the Soviet Union. They do recognize that the US was in a prime position to delineate peace outcomes though; see our earlier conversation about world leadership.
2.) Russia and many FSUs don't believe Russia lost the Cold War. They believe the Cold War ended mutually after Gorbachev initiated a series of actions to approach Bush about de-escalation because Gorbachev realized the Cold War was upsetting the global order. They literally cast their own leader as the hero, and see the entire affair as a draw. The US and NATO betrayed these outcomes when they began rapidly expanding NATO eastward despite promises they would not.
3.) About half of senior German officers in the German armed forces were East German officers when they joined. They usually came from astute, pro party families to attain this position and as such they largely see the world through Russia's lens and not ours. They are larger dissenters in most situations than other FSUs, who's entry into NATO was under different circumstances.
4.) There are LOTS of people in the world who DO NOT WANT to live in a democracy. This is really hard for us to grasp as it's such a central value to us we can't see how anyone wouldn't want it. But you have to imagine first, how they are educated, then second, think for a minute: when they turn on American cable news, what do they see? BLM protest burning cars, rioting, looting stores. The January 6th riots taking over the US capital. Extremely unpopular leaders like Trump and Biden winning elections. Thats how they see Democracy, and they legitimately believe Democratic states are filled with political unrest, violence and instability. They believe a strong authoritarian government is necessary to enforce rule of law.
5.) The Cold War has been over almost as long as the Cold War lasted now yet we still continue to frame our foreign policy through it's echos.
One thing I have difficulty explaining to civilian family and friends is the geopolitical nuance in war and how it's never clearly black or white but usually lots of grey. But people want easy answers because they want to know "who to support, who's the good guys?" Of course it's never clearly simple and in war good guys are rare. Good sides are rarer because states by nature do not have morality, just interests. That's something our US education system doesn't teach in enough depth for people to really comprehend the underlying levels of it.
On another note, Tulsi Gabbard made a tweet today that she believes war could have possibly been avoided if the US agreed to address Russia's concerns about Ukrainian entry into NATO. This tweet was largely condemned by pundits which I think is a shame because I think she is right. Historically it's been European tyrants invading Russia. Not Russian tyrants invading Europe. And until we recognize that Russia doesn't want another Hittler or Napolean getting within 60nm of Moscow we probably are going to struggle to understand their interests and foreign policy position.
My time in Estonia dealing with their version of our SF, was the opposite of everything you said 🙂
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55 minutes ago, fire4effect said:
Honestly, I hope the Ukranians have some who hunker down and let the heavy stuff pass and make sure their mission in life is to kill these and anything like them.
Did a few visits/exchanges with FSU states and their mindset was eye opening. We're very lucky as Americans to live where we do and what we DON'T have to worry about on a daily basis.
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2 hours ago, Lifer said:
Something I wasn’t aware of is if you have USAA insurance they put some money into an account that you don’t have access to until you stop using ALL of their insurance policies for I believe 6 months. Either way it was a nice little chunk of change for me. Something like $600. I was sick of their over priced insurance policies and it was just another reason to leave them.
That was their pitch to keep me. "well your quote might be $800 cheaper but you're not factoring in your subscription dividend". I asked for the money up front to stay but they wouldn't do it 🙂
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18 minutes ago, Smokin said:
Overall, their product has gone downhill considerably over the last 6-9 years. Used to be great and way ahead of the competition. Now it is mediocre at best. All the disadvantages of a virtual bank with almost no advantages over the standard commercial big bank. I'd move everything now, but that's a pain. Once I retire, I'm probably done with them.
I also noticed my dividend basically disappeared and everything started the downhill slide about the time they started putting ads on TV. Strange coincidence....
Have checking/savings and a credit card with them is all now.
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USAA
in General Discussion
According to Elon Musk on Twitter, Tesla car batteries are supposed to technically last for 300,000 to 500,000 miles, which is 1,500 battery cycles. That's between 22 and 37 years for the average car driver, who, according to the Department of Transportation, drives about 13,500 miles per year.Dec 3, 2021
those numbers are actually a bit low from the unbiased sources.