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BFM this

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Posts posted by BFM this

  1. Peter Zeihan suggested several days ago that the energy crunch in Europe is going to have substantial knock-on effects in German industry, leading to an economic contraction over the coming year(s) while they redo their grid.  Added to @torqued 's citation, a possible outcome is that the Germans find themselves unprepared (unwilling?) to foot the bill for the next round of austerity.

    • Like 1
  2. 7 hours ago, HuggyU2 said:

    Commuting is not an insignificant decision... 

    5 hours ago, TreeA10 said:

    I fly with a lot of guys that have been commuting for decades and are obviously okay with it. 

    For some, it makes sense, and they seem to be making the ideal decision.  I was fortunate to have a formative commuting experience during my first foray into 121, and it was about as bad a commuting situation as I could imagine, two legs to uncommutable pairings...wife was on board to do whatever we needed to in order to avoid commuting.  "OMG you're going to uproot the kids?  How awful, they will be so upset!!!" was the chorus from extended family and friends.  🤣 Kids were way more excited to move than we were (probably has something to do with not having to do any of the moving work).

    My worthless advice, have the discussion, don't cherry pick the data, look at all of the pros and cons of living in base.  I can do things living in base that commuters have a difficult time following:

    In base reserve (the biggest benefit, imo)(eta: coincidentally also topping the list of reasons I left the ACMI sector.  I spent six nights away from my own bed last month, and blocked > my best month at my last gig 🤘)

    Schoolhouse or other HQ staff gigs (if you choose to live near the mothership for your carrier)

    I can sit around and cherry pick premium/pickup/trade trips at my leisure, without the added tax of looking at loads/wx/connections of a commute, just suit up and drive.  My wife's favorite phrase while sitting reserve: "Honey, I got put on a turn tomorrow"

    I bid a line long before I had the seniority to specifically hold commutable lines.

     

    By the same token, if your family is rooted near the extended support network of family/friends/spouse's lucrative job, then that might tilt the equation the other way.  My wife's job (home office) was portable in our case.

     

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  3. 59 minutes ago, Biff_T said:

    I like to take a little hit of that budget dust to help the homeless. Nobody is really doing anything except moving them to other places.  I imagine good majority of the nation's homeless eventually end up in So Cal (good weather for the homeless).  Skid Row (not the band) is one example of many places that should not exist in our society. Dem/Reps aren't really doing anything to help.  It's mostly lip service and local volunteers doing what little they can.

    Homeless American children as well.   

    The Homeless Industrial Complex would like a hit of that budget dust, for sure.

    Oh, wait, did you mean you wanted to curb homelessness?  Sorry, way to lucrative a business for anything like that...

    https://newrepublic.com/article/166383/los-angeles-echo-park-homeless-industrial-complex

    Back to the Shenanigans!

     image.png.a9ea992dc771a603cd7f2f0509117852.png

  4. 3 hours ago, Guardian said:

    Isn’t it impossible to make the percentages of skin color and gender when you can change how you identify at any given moment? Gotta believe that’s a little difficult. But we should spend our treasure and time to try to do it. Who cares about doing military type things.

    OPR bullet?

  5. On 8/24/2022 at 6:52 PM, nsplayr said:

    Also…do you know what money laundering actually is?

    Can you explain how military aid sent to Ukraine could possible be structured as a way to churn ill-begotten profits from an illegal enterprise through a legitimate business in order for that money to appear “clean” to tax authorities?

    Because that’s what money laundering is.

    Wait…

    Did you just quote Office Space as a snarky reply?

    That’s actually funny

    • Upvote 1
  6. On 8/24/2022 at 11:36 PM, HuggyU2 said:

    My good friend Mark flew the first display in it just 2 months ago... topping off a 20+ year restoration. 

    Doesn’t quite whistle like the 6k# Dog Whistle it was based on, but still looks purty in flight.

  7. 2 hours ago, ClearedHot said:

    It is important to keep in mind Russia's total population is about 1/3 of the United States and these losses will impact a far larger portion of the population...even as Putin tries to cover up those losses. 

    BBC’s Ukrainecast explored some of the creative accounting the Russians are using to hide casualty figures from the Russian public in their episode from last Wednesday.  Contractors recruiting from prisons to start with.  

    But yeah, this one is going to affect their society for generations.

  8. "the Air Force surgeon general has recommended the waist-to-height ratio as the best method for assessing body composition instead of the long-used tape test."

    Jimminy Cricket, it's about friggin time!

  9. "Instead of punishing [the] individual and holding them accountable, the airmen are now required to attend more pt so no one else is in the same situation to fail,"

    Glad to see time honored traditions of AF leadership are alive and well.  When one idiot shits their pants, we all wear diapers.  Bravo.  👏

    • Like 2
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  10. On 7/31/2022 at 11:56 AM, SurelySerious said:

    On a fixed gear airplane, though, right?

    Based on the ADS-B track, CP was on his third training sortie.  Started with a jump run, went to the pattern, two circuits, then headed for RDU and declared, implying the second bounce went wrong (hard landing, etc). Ref: video I'd posted earlier

  11. 2 hours ago, M2 said:

    I listened to that 911 call, it's still no evidence the copilot deliberately "jumped" from the airplane...

    Barring further evidence coming to light, the most likely working theory is that this was an attempt to visually check the damaged right main while in flight, gone horribly wrong. 

    Anyone who has ever been anywhere near an open Herc ramp in flight, wouldn't think of doing so without a harness attached.

    • Upvote 1
  12. 2 hours ago, FourFans130 said:

    Sadly, there are more than few old-as-dirt-5-times-divorced captains I met over at 5Y who "had to keep working until 65" who would probably jump at the chance to stay until 68.  Retirement money counts.  Have they sorted out the LOA's to that contract yet?  I'm hoping you guys get a good retirement deal out of it.

    In legacy initial last year, having taken a COVID victory lap at the ACMI...

    Sim-P is a crusty old dude, mid 70's, with plenty of stories.  Started out at Air Cal, mentioned this 6-9 times every day we worked with him.  Great guy, easy to get along with.  Walked with a cane.  Took quite a while to get down the stairs to the sim bay, so if one of us needed to hit the head mid session, he'd just toss us his badge to get in/out of the door vice walking out with us.  He was there...because he felt he needed to.  His was the standard "timing is everything" story, with maybe one divorce, maybe one ill-timed change of carrier, but otherwise he caught the triple furlough whammy.

    Came home and told the Frau that our financial goal, beyond anything else, was NOT to end up in a similar situation.

    • Upvote 2
  13. On 5/14/2022 at 10:25 AM, Prozac said:

    I saw some of the alleged proposed rule stating that over 65 would be subject to additional medical screening above the current class 1 requirements and possibly even additional checkride requirements. I don’t see too many passing all the new requirements or even willing to subject themselves to them. Especially now that most airlines are using sodomization—-I mean optimization scheduling software. No one wants to stick around any longer than they have to. 

    I cringe whenever I hear this bullet point mentioned.

    Step 1: Age 67 passes, and with it additional screenings required, including cognitive.

    Step 2: Courts weigh in on age discrimination, as at first Step 1 only applied to 65 - 67

    Step 3: All ages subject to new screenings, including cognitive.

    Step 4: some pilots who had previously been in the clear at Step 1 find themselves running afoul of the new screenings (think 59yo experiencing what might otherwise have gone undiagnosed early cognitive decline)

    Step 5: HUGE PROFITS!!!  

     

    Here again, whoever is pushing this agenda is counting chicks way before they hatch.

  14. On 5/14/2022 at 4:54 AM, SocialD said:

    I wouldn't get to worried and/or excited just yet.  Even with age 65, our average pilot still leaves at 62.5.  How many pilots would even make to age 67?  I'm guessing if this makes it through, the realized impact would be miniscule.  On the flip side, if it does pass, I'll take 2 more years of our disability. 🤣

    I think this nugget from the Good Idea Fairy isn't going to hit reality intact.  Sure, there's going to be a few individuals with the healthspan to make it to 67.  They will likely be eclipsed by those who want to, but fall short, driving up LTD costs for starters.  Likewise, at least at my carrier, can't take the sick bank with you, so the older segment spends their last few years (if otherwise healthy), burning down their sick bank; again higher cost per productivity widget. 

    It's going to be an exponential cost increase that in the end will squeeze only a few drops of productivity from the least productive segment of the pilot population.  

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