danvgalhb

I'm not sure if everyone has seen this but this was on the page that accompanied the matrices. "We understand how anxious you are to get additional information on the Force Management programs that the Secretary and Chief announced in December. Due to changes in the projected overages and corresponding eligibility criteria, there has been a delay in publishing the information. To give you an idea of your vulnerability, the updated Enlisted and Officer matrices posted on the myPers Force Management page identify the AFSCs and grade/year groups that are eligible for Involuntary Force Management Programs. Further, updated Voluntary tables are also posted. To be clear, if you are eligible for an involuntary program, then you are eligible for a voluntary program. However, you may be eligible for a voluntary program, but not eligible for an involuntary program. Please review the eligibility criteria contained in each PSDM and the tables thoroughly. For Enlisted, the table identifies the Control AFSCs (CAFSCs) and grades that will meet the Fiscal Year (FY) 14 Enlisted Retention Boards (ERBs). Each CAFSC and grade identified includes two cells-- Overage and Eligible. A number in the Overage cell represents that year group's overages, regardless of program), we anticipate based on projected AF requirements. If there is no overage number in your respective grade/AFSC cell, you are not eligible and will not meet an FY14 ERB. However, you may still be eligible for a voluntary program. A number in the Eligible cell represents the number of individuals eligible for the Enlisted Retention Board (ERB). In some instances, the Overage number is larger than the Eligible number. This does not mean that every Eligible member will be selected for non-retention during the ERB. It means that these overage losses are anticipated in that particular grade and CAFSC across all voluntary and involuntary programs. For Officers, there are tables for each Involuntary Force Management Program (exception: Colonel ESERB, details are not yet finalized). These tables identify, by program, which AFSCs and year groups are eligible. Like the Enlisted matrices, each AFSC and year group includes two cells-- Estimated Overage and Estimated Eligible. A number in the Estimated Overage cell represents that year group's overages, (regardless of program), we anticipate based on projected AF requirements. The AF will use a combination of involuntary and voluntary programs to reduce this overage. Similar again to the Enlisted matrix, a number in the Estimated Eligible cell represents the number of individuals eligible for that particular Force Management Program. In a few instances, the overages exceed the eligible due to limitations the AF has purposely imposed to address specific circumstances requiring the officer to be retained (ex: sanctuary of an officer nearing regular retirement). This does not mean that every Eligible member will be selected for non-retention in that particular board. It means that these overage losses are anticipated in that particular year group and AFSC across all the voluntary and involuntary programs. Each program's table should be examined individually, to assess an individual's eligibility. For each program, if a cell does not include overage or eligible numbers, officers in that particular AFSC and Year Group are ineligible for that respective involuntary program, but may still be eligible for a voluntary program if they meet those criteria. Thank you for your patience. This message accompanies the data associated with all the programs, with the exception of the Colonel ESERB. For all FM programs, please check back frequently for updates. One of our objectives is to be as transparent as possible, so you can make informed decisions about your careers. So, as we start to execute the volunteer programs, the overage and eligible involuntary program numbers will reduce accordingly. As a result, we anticipate AFSCs and grades or year groups to drop out of consideration for involuntary programs, as Airmen elect to leave our Air Force voluntarily." The way I see it, there is a jedi mind trick with looking at just one matrix. The "estimated overage" numbers for the RIF matrix are combined with the ESERB folks for the 01-03 year groups. Therefore, you need to look at both matrices to get the actual total number of AFSC eligibles for a given year group. By the way, I saved the RIF PDF as an excel spreadsheet and put formulas at the bottom to add up the "Estimated Overages" (aka, potential total losses) for the RIF & ESERB combined. However, the total number of ESERB eligibles was not included in the "Total Estimated Eligibles" as that total is only for the RIF PDF. Assuming I did my formulas correctly, they may boot out 3121 officers between the RIF and ESERBs (I didn't include the JAG numbers either). Officer Reduction in Force Eligibility Matrix - as of 23 Jan 14(1) - Copy.xls

Fuzz, neither PSDM 13-130, 13-131, nor the mysterious matrix associated with them are on myPers as of a few minutes ago so there still is nothing "official". While I agree with you that noone should expect too many changes from the "unofficial" PSDMs (if any), noone can do squat about anything until they are "official".

56&2, C17J is talking riddles...there is nothing official on MyPers for either 13-130 or 13-131.

A buddy plans to eagerly apply for VSP and leave by July but I told him that he can't do that because the program still doesn't officially exist and therefore the money may be fake. I told him don't bother trying to get any info from the Total Force Service Center (@ Randolph). They "can't" talk about PSDM 13-130 (or 13-131) until it's been officially released "to the field" (aka, 99% of those who are actually affected). I can't believe the rep actually asked how I got a copy of 13-130 and when I told him I got it in Dec after it rolled out of a SAF org box, he claimed that it should have never been released to everyone until Air Staff said it was okay to release it "to the field". I guess SAF must have missed their own memo because the SAF email I saw was sent out to a list that probably included all the munchkins from the land of Oz. Anyways, with the vow of silence going on at the TFSC regarding PSDMs 13-130 & 13-131, I guess blogs are the only way to get info that doesn't officially exist at the TFSC until the information everyone has already read is allowed to exist at the TFSC. My guess is the info will be allowed to officially exist at 11:59 pm on 13 Jan, and that's an optimistic date.

This may have been covered already but when I read the officer matrix, it says that just because a box is in blue ("estimated overage"), doesn't necessarily mean you are eligible for a voluntary program. That is a complete difference from the enlisted matrix where if a box is blue, it says you are eligible for voluntary programs. PSDM 13-130 is of no help (unless there is a newer version than the one I have--24 Dec) so does anyone know when they will be releasing details of how many people they are targeting within year groups and AFSCs for the officer voluntary programs? It just seems silly to ask folks to make a career decision (assuming you're eligible) with little info (i.e., no year group and/or AFSC vulnerability info). I remember when I went through a FSB, the AF came out with a matrix showing that they needed to trim eligibles down for my specific "year group" and AFSC by xx% but I haven't seen anything like that so far for any of the officer voluntary programs. On a side note, I thought it was odd that the PSDM version I have was not marked FOUO. Oh well, I guess I shouldn't be surprised given the quality of information that has been coming out over the past several weeks.

The person I spoke at AFPC today said that the TERA (retirement) matrix will come out on the 29th of this month so don't be fooled by the officer sustainment matrix (or whatever it's called) that's been posted since the begining of time. This is not the one that determines TERA eligibility. Although I don't have enough years to retire, I am curious to see what AFSCs are eligible in case this comes back again when I'm eligible. However, my guess is acquisitions, 11x, and nuclear geeks will get the shaft like the last VSP.