FlyingWolf
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Posts posted by FlyingWolf
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8 hours ago, Lord Ratner said:
Wisdom
Well layed out thoughts here, you largely supported my intuited fears.
What is a middle class man to do in such a world?
Best I can figure, its buy arable land and ammo, but more practical advice would be appreciate.
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Simply put:
Effective CAS requires and provides high situational awareness coupled with rapid, precise, and accurate fires.
The AC-130 and A-10 reign supreme here.
Other measures of performance matter a lot too, of course (range/endurance/magazine depth/hardened target legality/CDE/survivability/cost/etc). These additional factors all define how much, where, and when effective CAS can be provided, and some other platforms beat out the AC-130 and A-10 in some of these. This discussion is ultimately about how much do we buy in to a jack-of-all-trades-master-of-none platform (F-35) vs specialize and diversify… as many others have already alluded to.
I am a proponent of maintaining some specialization/diversification.
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1 hour ago, Sua Sponte said:
C-130’s have boom flamethrowers?
Put a HAAR pod on one side and the laser testbed version of the AC-130J could basically do all of this... Haven't seen rocket pods done yet, does JATO count?
Gun out the right hand side though... Blasphemous
Edit: Fixed the meme for ya
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7 hours ago, VMFA187 said:
I’m not proposing that, but maybe only those who actually pay taxes, or conduct a public service get a say in “our” future. Think Starship Troopers.
Starship Troopers had a lot of compelling ideas packaged in that cheezy-but-entertaining veneer.
I, for one, vote we adopt using "Sir" regardless of gender.
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37 minutes ago, nsplayr said:
Dudes, again, there’s no grand conspiracy.
Occam’s razor - it’s always fog of war, happenstance, bad SA, and incompetence. Very very rarely is there an actual conspiracy. Over and over again throughout history this has been true. Being a military member you know full well how unorganized and grabasstic even our best institutions can be.
Except Epstein definitely didn’t kill himself 😅, that’s the only recently conspiracy theory I unironically believe is true.
Nah... Do you not believe in drug cartels?
You seriously dont think people in the military "join or work together"?
Conspiracies happen all the time, they are fundamental to the concept of society itself. Often we call it politics.
Sure, the wizard behind the curtain concept is unrealistic. Its often groups of likeminded individuals who have convinced themselves they are the good guys and fall back to ends-justify-the-means philosophy.
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1 hour ago, ClearedHot said:
Wisdom
You must have had an incredibly interesting career, with all the insight you bring across topics. Well deserved rocking chair status.
On this one... spot on. It troubles me greatly.
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28 minutes ago, nsplayr said:
Yea agreed with @Standby, not even a wingman, but truly a 1-of-1 alone and unafraid.
... would have wanted a small number of tails along the lines of how AO was written for the top tier teams to own organically, and then buy something that flys higher with much, much longer legs for the more usual AFSOC ISR with occasional strike requirements. Could have been nicely datalinked and equipped with fancy pods to assist with MCO.
My 2 cents, probably worth about that much too…
My personal conjecture/anecdote supported theory:
AO is one of Slife's moves to try to end the AC-130.
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We're looking at the highest inflationary environment in most of our lifetimes, big airline hiring at the beginning of a long term surge, and omicron likely signaling endemic C-19. All on the heels of a dramatically poor take rate last year.
You would think an adjustment to the contract offering would be a no-brainer...
but who knows, maybe we need to fail catastrophically before we change.
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57 minutes ago, Negatory said:
Cases are coming down naturally. But Florida in particular is such a bad example because they criminally underreport in comparison to most other places.
Can you support this claim?
I'm onboard that its clear there is a few week delay in full reporting. I haven't seen convincing evidence of underreporting.
Closest I've seen is comparion of C-19 deaths vs excess deaths, which was a weak argument given the numerous other causes of death that could reasonably spike due to individual and organizational covid fear responses. (ex delaying care for critical conditions, deaths of despair).
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5 minutes ago, Scooter14 said:
Jesus help me.
One more time for the people in the back…
The vaccine does not prevent COVID.
You can still get COVID if you’ve had the vaccine just like you can still get the flu if you’ve had the flu vaccine.
The vaccine allows the immune system to mount a more effective response so you are far less likely to die, end up in the hospital or suffer long term damage from the disease. The vaccine also helps your body fight it faster so you are contagious for a shorter duration.
It’s not that cosmic folks. Of course the case rate is gonna go up. They all got the vaccine and now they are back to Ops normal. But, what’s the rate of hospitalization between vaccinated and unvaccinated? What’s the intubation rate between the two? What’s the death rate? You need more than one crayon to paint this picture.
Yes, though that is not how it was originally sold, nor is it how it works with all vaccines/viruses.
and it begs the question... Which presents more evolutionary pressure to a virus: partially inhospitable immune systems or unprepared ones? I don't know, it probably depends on particular variables, and there is some evidence partially effective vaccines may encourage mutations.
There is a line of argument out there that the unvaccinated are causing the mutations, but the opposite may be more true here. It will probably be a while yet before we know.
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12 minutes ago, Guardian said:
Why would that make me feel worse or better? That doesn’t matter.Indeed. Neither does the F-15 listed in her bio.
To move the thread back on topic... I can't help but wonder if the admin is partially relieved for Hurricane Ida to distract from Afghanistan. I imagine we will see a huge national relief response with lots of media coverage. Good for the folks dealing with yet another hit, but I hope we still see some accountability on the the Afghanistan debacle.
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15 minutes ago, Guardian said:
You were solo. Of course. Did you have prior fighter experience? Betting so.
Its okay man. Heavy background folks turned TPS grads still don't typically call themselves "fighter pilots", if that makes you feel better.
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1 hour ago, Negatory said:
”Flattening the Curve” was never pushed by science. You’re being propagandized.
Being pedantic here... I agree. Science doesn't push anything really, people do. Science is a method and a body of evidence. A lot of people sure did claim the moniker of "science" in their political BS though.
I actually really appreciate the study and wish I had seen it sooner in all this. I think the mitigation/suppression framing should have been part of the discussion all along, with empirically based analysis informing our inherently values-based public policy... out in the open... with leaders being particular about the science and the values informing their decisions... the humility to admit the huge data quality limitations... and the courage to defend values outside of simplistic "if it saves one life" first-order-effect focused demagoguery.
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12 minutes ago, Negatory said:
Unfortunately, I think you’re probably right. Visual depiction of COVID discourse over the next week:
Yeah, probably... also... 14 days to flatten the curve?
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45 minutes ago, Tank said:
I couldn’t find anything to debunk this article. Not sure if true or not but if it is true, we’ve got a fight on our hands!!
Basic tool in assessing validity of a website: check what else is posted.
That site is full of obviously bogus BS.
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46 minutes ago, Pooter said:
For me the calculus is very simple. We don't know the long term effects of the vaccine or covid so there's no point trying to compare two unknown variables. What we do know is the short/medium term effects of both, and even for young healthy people a bad vaccine reaction is orders of magnitude less likely than dying from covid 19.
You make a great point about the limitations of our knowledge. Humility is key.
Foundational to one's world view is the question how the government should proceed in a low-information scenario. I default towards individual freedom, a lot of people don't, or they overstate the certainty of their position to seize moral authority they really shouldn't.
FWIW, Im vaccinated, but I don't support making it mandatory right now.
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23 minutes ago, pawnman said:
Never thought it would be so controversial to suggest we follow the guidance from the SECDEF, but here we are.
There is a significant difference between this statement and the witch-hunt you have supported.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motte-and-bailey_fallacy
Congratulations on APZ!
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23 hours ago, ThreeHoler said:
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On 4/28/2021 at 5:39 PM, FourFans130 said:
Regardless, having seen behind the curtain now, I can speak with authority when I say "don't take the bonus".
...and I did. I got out as soon as I could...right in the middle of a global pandemic, at 17 years of service, while non-current in an airplane, and I haven't regretted that decision even once. So I say again: don't take the bonus.
Would you mind expanding on your perspective here? What did you see behind the curtain?
I appreciate your insight, feel free to PM.
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5 minutes ago, Danger41 said:
I think palletized munitions is one of the coolest things out there to help out in A2/AD fights. Just look at JASSM capacity on the bomber/Strike fleet and how you can multiply that many times with mobility assets. Not sure why anyone that actually gives a crap about AirPower would scoff that idea.
Yep, and it requires little-to-no additional training for airdrop qualified crews.
I can see very little reason not to have this as a hip-pocket cape.
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"Because if the hypothesis is right, it will soon start to dawn on people that our mistake was not insufficient reverence for scientists, or inadequate respect for expertise, or not enough censorship on Facebook. It was a failure to think critically about all of the above, to understand that there is no such thing as absolute expertise."
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2 minutes ago, isuguy1234 said:
Surprised nobody has hit this one up yet on here...although if you comment, who knows what will happen?!?! (big brother is always watching/listening ha)
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/553779-space-force-commander-removed-after-comments-on-podcast
It's posted in the Woke thread, but it is just as appropriate here... and the ACIP thread.
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https://www.military.com/daily-news/2021/05/15/space-force-co-who-got-holiday-call-trump-fired-over-comments-decrying-marxism-military.html
AC-130J 105 Removal?
in General Discussion
Posted
*Small Cruise Missile has entered the chat*