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daynightindicator

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Posts posted by daynightindicator

  1. People shouldn't forget the guy has lived his entire life as a businessman and understand what that means. When I left active duty, I had no idea how little the military taught me about the importance of bargaining, negotiation, and compromises. Being a near to some of the details of airline contract negotiations recently was a fascinating experience. The psychological tactics, threats, fear, and brinksmanship required to make a deal as close as possible to where you want to be is something I don't think I would have ever been able to develop an appreciation for in the military.
    It just seems obvious to me that in these first few days, his strategy is beginning with a negotiating position for every issue that is off the charts compared with previous political positions. He's essentially daring people to challenge him with leveraged counterproposals and no one is. If he seems to be some sort of "America First" ideological maniac, he's faking it for "The Art of the Deal." When he says he's going to completely annihilate Islamic terrorism instead of create partnerships of peace with Islamic nations, I'm betting he knows that it's impossible to deploy our military to every hot spot around the globe, but he did immediately lower the expectations of what someone with radical leanings can expect to achieve, essentially moving the ball down the field. The same goes Mexico, NATO, EPA, etc. Instead of intelligently responding with counterproposals, he's allowed to continue wheelin and dealin on his own terms, while the media and everyone taking an adversarial position is rocked, on the defense, emotional, and fearful. I'm not saying I agree with, or even know what the hell he's doing, but I find how he's doing it fascinating as hell.
     
     
     
     
     



    I don't doubt that he views the issues from that perspective. The problem is, these issues are not all "business deals." They are, in some cases, life and death decisions that affect millions.

    In business, you have two (or more) rational actors with an easily discernible goal (improve bottom line/increase stockholder ROI). Geopolitics doesn't work that way. Motives and intent are extremely difficult to discern. Cultural characteristics and differences affect how other parties respond to negotiations. You can't use the same tactics for every problem set. The President is our chief statesman, and it's worrisome that so far, all sense of tact and nuance seem to have left the building.

    The dismissal/resignation/whatever of the four top DOS officials today is not a good sign.


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  2. I was told promotion was >99% for anyone at school. Student MLR divvies up the P/DPs - insanely competitive as you can imagine. The only person I know who got one had a #1 FGO strat on his NO PRF from a prestigious wing.

    Very few SDE select opportunities since only 10% are selected and all BTZers get it automatically.

    *edited to specify that I am referring to those meeting their in-zone board while at school.

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  3. Hopefully we got the most bang for the buck with these long range/large payload bombers and swung by Afghanistan, Yemen, Somalia, Iraq, and Syria to hit a few targets while enroute to Libya.


    Two words...strategic messaging (IMHO)

    Killing assholes in Hilux's could have been more cheaply and easily done with EUCOM assets, but wouldn't have caused Russia and China to look up from their desks.


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  4. 1 hour ago, matmacwc said:

    I think the nose AR would be easier than not seeing the receptacle 10 feet behind you.

    Just a backseater, but the stick monkeys say the movement of the boom in front of your nugget is tricky to tune out while trying to maintain position.  Not my problem, I'm usually eating a sandwich.

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  5. First, thanks for your service, both mil and gov - I've seen your interviews on CNN, and I find your opinions well-balanced, nuanced, and reasoned.

    From a mil perspective, I'd like to see up-and-out promotions go away, with a repeal of DOPMA.  I believe this would help stop the hemorrhaging of talent and address the manning issues at the grassroots level.

    I would also like to see a bigger push to allow members to take breaks in service without mortgaging their futures with huge ADSCs.

    From a national perspective, our foreign policy needs a major vector check.  Threatening to withhold support from NATO is massively destablizing.  We are on our heels trying to figure out how to respond to Putin.  Russia is not as strong as many perceive, but that actually makes them more dangerous.

    Please don't support more conflict intervention without clearly defined, attainable goals and articulated end-states (not accusing you of this, rather our adventures in nation-building since 9/11).

    Thanks for your time.

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  6. There is a currency for fighter dudes but it doesn't mean much, I hadn't tanked in 5 years and my first time back I was in a single seater with an IP on the wing.  They can make it easy.  


    Bomber (at least in the Bone) AR currency is a pretty big deal for maintaining CMR. Self re-hacks not allowed and it wreaks havoc with scheduling when IPs go dead. We end up generating a lot of 3-pilot proficiency sorties to get everyone current which detracts from training.

    Probably also has to do with the fact that it's a somewhat difficult skill to master since the receptacle is in the nose like the Hog and taking 100K+ means hanging on for 15 minutes or more.


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  7. Don't get me wrong I'm not saying it's a good idea.

    I agree with the draft, but for what it's real purpose is, the 3 days after the big war of annihilation ends and you need bodies to put society back together. I'm not a fan of this "make a draft and it'll stop imperialism" argument the isolationists keep pushing. But I'm saying if they combat that by making less war and more nation building the easy switch is expand the draft to include all those nation building jobs and counter.


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    I've always been a fan of a service draft, expanded to include many non-mil options. The options should include trade-based training and US-based infrastructure programs, with local options for those who can't just pack up and move around the country or world. The intangible benefits of exposing young Americans to different cultures and locales are tough to quantify but I believe would be very beneficial. My dad always told me one of the best things about the draft was putting people of different backgrounds together to accomplish a common goal. It builds social camaraderie and lets you understand why other people think the way they do. It gives you an understanding of fellow Americans that is seriously lacking nowadays.


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  8. Conversely if we expanded civil service beyond a military draft I think we could combat that.

    I'd imagine the loss of freedoms might have an effect. 20-23 year olds find themselves teaching English to Hadj on some super FOB or running a warehouse full of water bottles for a year of your life would have a real effect on our taste for "nation building."


    F'n A, Peter

    As far as the BAH thing goes, if they go with an OHA style fix, it will artificially affect rent prices across the country in base locations. People are smart and will set rents to match the maximum housing allowance. That will have negative economic effects in those areas.

    I think the BAH system is long overdue for an overhaul, as it is based on an outdated 1950s economic and societal model. However, trying to fix it by imposing restraints to ensure that retirement payouts do not go up will be difficult and expose service members to a lot of risk.


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  9. Words from our (bomber) functional today...

    11X bonus raised to 35K as already stated.

    No 12B bonus (12F not addressed) despite large manning shortfalls.

    Work underway for 11F AD recalls. Policy may drop as soon as 4 mo from now.

    All future T-38s to fighters, non-recs to bombers

    T-1 FAIPs and some directs will fill bombers

    MAF to accept fewer total UPT grads overall based on perception of ~100% mobility manning

    No mention of stoploss.

    Palace Chase:
    Less than 6 mo ADSC - likely to be approved
    6-12 - rare
    More than 12 - very unlikely

    random leadership comment:

    "AFRC/ANG will be broken in 3-5 years"


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  10. True story.  Where they want to rank the failed-out-of-wic guy behind joe bagodonuts finance guy because he didn't pass training.


    I think that's the point of the exercise. It works both ways - I was about to rate (highly) a PRF for a combat rescue officer, before another CRO in my flight showed me the "magic words" on the form that meant the guy was actually a shitbag. It was enlightening.


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  11. Running with this discussion, what do you think about the overall shrinking of the CAF pilot/WSO force (fewer manned a/c in the future) wrt future staff bullets and strategy/force development? Will RPA pilots be able to lead development of future airpower strategies despite lack of "air sense" in the traditional regard?

    No offense to anyone with this, just wondering since, despite the fact we all hate staff, there is a reason we send dudes to those billets. And for an 11F staff billet, I think there's a degradation in output when you put a non 11F in that position.


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  12. We have a plan to backfill the bomber community with additional UPT grads to make up for any shortfall you may see over the next few years due to staff demands.  It will be better for your communities as well, since new pilots have more longevity.  All-around win-win.  
     



    And what's the plan to magic up all the instructors who will need to train these dudes?

    It should go without saying, but to replace a pilot with X years experience, it takes X years. Trading combat experienced IPs for UPT grads is a shit deal.


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  13. I don't think anyone wants to risk their career just to call me out on my bullsh!t. Never claimed to be an expert, but if someone with access to privileged information wants to claim that the info I get from the internet and Wikipedia isn't as accurate as their info just to look cool on a flying forum, be my guest....


    I'm not going to opine on this. Just wish people would trust their intelligence community before lining up behind conspiracy theorists and am avowed adversary of America with a long history of running influence operations in elections around the world.


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  14. Short answer for the fighter/bomber world: yes to both. There is a non-rated intelligence officer, usually 2-4 enlisted intelligence airmen under their supervision. There is also an aviation resource management section (ARMS), in my experience about 3-4 airmen under the supervision of a senior NCO. ARMS manages the administrative functions of flying operations - printing flight orders, managing flying currencies (how many takeoffs, landings, etc the pilots have accomplished) and ensuring that flight ops are conducted in accordance with Air Force policy. The ARMS shop may or may not fall under the direction of a flight commander depending on how that particular commander wants to structure his squadron. The squadron may also have an airman or two assigned as commanders support staff (CSS) - that has fluctuated in the past depending on manning. The commander will also usually have a civilian secretary.

    Hope this helps.


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  15. no.  Your wife's AFSC means she can go pretty much anywhere the AF owns an airfield.  Which is every place there are helos.  So just go helos and work the Join Spouse stuff after UPT.  Rucker is 6 months long, then Kirtland is another 6-9 months...you would rack up family sep pay during that time if she can't follow you to those places while you're in UPT/FTU.

    Only if you have kids. Otherwise you will never get sep pay for mil to mil because you can't claim your spouse as a dependent.


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  16. Possibly for FSA but no to mil to mil. Mil to mil requires 2x active duty members and FSA is only granted when you are claiming a dependent. An active duty member cannot be claimed as a dependent. However, if you are able to claim your wife as a dependent since she is not AD, you *may* be able to receive FSA, but you'll have to check with finance.


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