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JeremiahWeed

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Posts posted by JeremiahWeed

  1. 1 hour ago, hindsight2020 said:

    "I turned down 100 grand because their bidding wasn't [line/PBS]"...said no one, ever.

    ^^^^ This ^^^^

    There are way too many variables to have a discussion across airline borders.  I can tell you why I don't want it and why it would diminish QOL and QO-Schedules for the mid-level to junior pilots at FedEx if we accepted PBS.  But that doesn't mean most pilots at Delta or AA aren't happy and getting schedules they like using it.

    Where it really matters is if you're working somewhere and the powers that be are considering going from line bidding to PBS (it never, ever will go the other way.... so that tells you a little something 😉).  In that case and if you have a vote in the decision, it would be important for you to understand what the ramifications of that change would truly mean to your scheduling process, manning, etc.  Lots of moving parts, different labor contracts, different PBS software, different programming and the end result may be very, very different at Airline X even though all the guys from Airline Y are here on baseops singing the praises of PBS.  Most of the bigs have already made the move, so it's probably not a high threat scenario, generally speaking.

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  2. 50 minutes ago, BADFNZ said:

    Can anyone explain the differences between line bidding and PBS to an idiot like myself?  Pretend like you're explaining it to a 5th grader.  Examples would be great.

    Those are methods for getting a monthly airline schedule.

    A "line" is a month's (typically) worth of trips.  When someone talks about a "line" they are usually referring to actual trips all month.  There are also "lines" of reserve "on call" days but those usually aren't referred to in the same context as "holding a line" - which means you can avoid reserve and actually go fly regularly for the month.

    So - line bidding means that someone (union pilots, company workers, a combination) builds schedules using a series of individual trips that have already been constructed before they get put into lines.  They do the same thing with schedules of reserve days.  This is done for every aircraft type and each seat in that aircraft.  Enough schedules (of both flying and reserve) are built so that there are enough for almost every pilot in whatever aircraft and seat they fly.  So, the 767 Captains in a particular base can look at their February bid pack and see each individual flying line and reserve line available to them.  The #1 seniority pilot picks first and so on.  Once the schedules are awarded in seniority order, everyone has their schedule except for maybe 5-20% of the pilots in each fleet/seat (depending on airline).  Those who don't are the ones who couldn't hold one of the pre-set schedules or chose not to.  Their schedules (typically called secondary lines) will be determined later once the line holders and reserve pilot's schedules have dealt with known conflicts between trips or reserve days and other events like mil leave, recurrent training, vacation and conflicts with trips from the current month carrying over into the new month for which they just bid.  The unassigned trips and reserve days that results from those conflicts will be built into new schedules for those 5-20% of the pilots still waiting for their schedules using inputs for what they want (again in seniority order) that they give to the planners.

    PBS is essentially the secondary process I just described for the 5-20% applied to the entire pilot group.  The flying and reserve days are not built into pre-determined lines (schedules).  As a result, the schedules are built to avoid conflicts from the start and there is no need for the secondary process I described above.  This is obviously more efficient and requires fewer pilots overall.  Instead, everyone inputs their desires for types of trips, days on, days off, reserve if they want it, etc.  The schedules are then built using a program that considers seniority, pilot's inputs, FAR legality, contractual rules such as minimum days off, etc.  The key driver, as always, is seniority.  The number one guy gets pretty much what he asks for as long as it's legal with the FARs and contract.  The guys at the bottom get what's left. 

    You've probably read the pros/cons of each system and the various opinions of each, so I won't go into that again.

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  3. 15 hours ago, Clark Griswold said:

    More done per sortie, capabilities per sortie not possible except in a bigger platform:

    Another potential advantages of Deep Strike assets vs. Tactical Strike assets and thus an argument to increase their share as portion of the force is their range/persistence/payload inherent in a larger platform.  A platform able to linger while searching or waiting to be cued from the network or a partner's sensor, deliver more PGMs over one mission and not require as many (or possibly any) support events (AR, EW support) factor towards the Deep Strike, IMHO.

    I'm certainly not a "strike" expert, never mind "deep strike".  But, doesn't deep strike generally mean penetration into contested, probably highly defended airspace in a non-permissive environment?  Also, depending on how "deep" we're talking, the striker may not have other support assets like A/A, EA/EP, etc. 

    Talking about "lingering" in such an environment doesn't seem to mesh with the classic "deep strike" scenario, especially if the striker has brought along some support assets.  Isn't the idea to employ weapons and GTFO ASAP?

  4. On 1/6/2019 at 1:19 AM, Tonka said:

    2) Now thankfully you'll never be able to demonstrate this, but if you could - go down to the local fire house and find the first non-fire fighter (NFF) there and tell them (and the rest of the fire fighters) that the NFFs are just as important as the Fire Fighters... that their high school diploma and 2 weeks of OJT is as important as the years of training, studying, testing, learning, working out, and fighting to be luck enough to get an interview and to do well on the exam and to make it through probation, etc... that the fire fighter went through... then give the NFF a patch, even call them a "fighter", give them awards/medals/promote them for doing stuff that seems important in the station while the real work/sacrifice is being done on location, put them in charge of the fire house because you have to be "Fair" to everyone. 

    There are important roles everywhere, I have no doubt that we need 99% of the people in the AF to do the job... but I can not think of another organization in the world that would try so hard to put everyone in the same lime light, all the time. 

    3) Fighter pilots are just the first and most prolific demographic... the rest of the pilots, the rest of the pointy-end-of-the-spear isn't far behind, add to them the maintainers, engineers, doctors, nurses, and any other professional that would be treated as a professional outside of the AF... appreciated for their knowledge, years of education, years of sacrifice to get where they are, etc... they'll be gone too, unless/until there is another recession.

    To piggy back on the well written post above........

    In my opinion, there is a lot more to pilot retention than bumping up the pay check, QOL or additional duties.  Those have always been issues and have forced a percentage of pilots out.  Those basics need to happen and are actually pretty easy fixes if someone in senior leadership would grow a pair, acknowledge the obvious and fix it.  365s shouldn’t be a requirement like PME.  But another important but possibly intangible issue is the struggle to maintain a culture of warriors in the USAF.  What seems to be a new, added problem is the attempt to move USAF away from a force lead by the actual war fighters towards what looks more like a peacetime corporation.  It’s been a slow leak over the last couple of decades.

    I have a lot to say about this but I'm finding it tough to put some of it into a sensible message.  When I entered the ranks of USAF fighter pilots, it was 1989 and although we didn't know it yet, we had reached the pinnacle of a long journey toward an extremely lethal combat air force.  As a Lt, I had no part in that.  I simply benefited from being exposed to some of the most hard-charging, capable fighter pilots created during the post-Carter, Cold War, Reagan years of huge military expansion, boo-coo dollars and total focus on enhancing our capability to wage war from the air.  As a result, we brought serious game to the first protracted combat ops in almost 2 decades when Desert Storm kicked off.  It was a truly amazing thing to be a part of.

    Here's where I begin to struggle to put some concepts into words:  I'll do my best.

    I had the honor of meeting and hearing a few hours of wisdom from George "Bud" Day during ROTC field training.  Five years later, he presented me (and everyone in my UPT class) with our wings, drank whiskey with us and told us amazing stories at the O-club standing among us in his mess dress and Medal of Honor.  I heard similar stories from F-4, B-52 and Thud Drivers, guys with gold stars on their flight suit sleeves (anyone remember those?), read books by Broughton, Basel, Risner, Drury and many more.  I and my contemporaries soaked in every bit of warrior lore and attitude we could find and experience.  It was evident that it was all important.  None of us needed that explained to us.  We came to realize that the traditions, attitudes and perpetuation of the fighting spirit that was born out of past air wars were absolutely necessary to becoming an effective Air Force combat pilot.  The simple fact is that pilots who woke up every day to begin preparations for missions like daylight bomber or fighter raids on Germany, attacking the Paul Doumer bridge, going "downtown" to Hanoi or any number of other daily tests of testicular fortitude knew there was a high chance they wouldn't see the next sunrise or if they did it would be through prison bars.  If it wasn't them, then it likely was someone else in their unit with whom they shared the experience of air combat.  While I don't claim anything close to that, my small exposure to what it must have been like for them came on my third combat mission.  I had "that feeling" based on experiences on my first two missions and strapped on my jet with a solid, tangible feeling that I wasn't coming back.  I couldn't shake it, of course I went anyway and thankfully, I was wrong.  You don't do that every day, strap on a fighter or bomber, lose friends, fly RESCAP over their smoking holes, come up initial in a 3-ship that left as four without coping mechanisms.  Drinking in a readily accessible squadron bar might be the most obvious, sharing stories only another warrior could understand or appreciate, raunchy fighter pilot songs, running the gauntlet of hurled whiskey glasses in a wake to mourn a fallen comrade, burning pianos, and the list goes on.  To outsiders they may seem strange, stupid or unnecessary, offensive antics by fraternity brothers who are still waiting to mature into adults.  We didn't have to explain ourselves in the past, but that no longer appears to be the case.  But those same PC, judgmental, clueless outsiders, politicians or leaders with a lower-case "L" have no idea what it takes to willingly take on a mission like that during sustained combat operations where we potentially lose people and aircraft daily.  The pilots who do are long since retired and far more have left this world.  My war in 1991 lasted about 6-weeks and losses in the air were in the double digits at most.  Since then, we've had a few surges but nothing that rivals the experiences of our predecessors.  But that doesn't mean their combat tested traditions should be forgotten or set aside as relics of the past.  The fraternal bonds of combat are indescribable and something no one can appreciate second hand.  They are also absolutely necessary for a fighting force to gain the required trust in each other and be truly effective in their mission.  They also don't just happen out of thin air when a squadron suddenly finds themselves launching their first combat mission.

    As I alluded to at the start, it's difficult to put this into a cogent message.  I don't know if I have but I have no doubt many of you fellow warriors, past and present, have a general idea of what I'm trying to say.  Being an effective combat pilot isn't something you just start doing the day the balloon goes up and shit gets real.  Combat pilots from the 40's, 50's, 60's and 70's showed us how it was done, gave us traditions to perpetuate and those were carried by the next generation of pilots into the final two decades of the 20th century.  I have no doubt that today's combat pilots are doing their best to follow in the footsteps of the warriors who came before them.  However, doing so is not supposed to be a struggle with the very leadership you're charged with following.  We should be embracing and continuing these traditions, not throwing them aside because of someone's BS sensibilities.

    I guess the bottom line is this:  Being a warrior, an aggressive, professional, lethal killer is not a politically correct, peacetime, 9 to 5 job.  It's highly specialized and the skill set necessary to excel at it requires an extraordinary amount of resources and effort, probably more so today than ever before.  Pilots attempting to attain and maintain this excellence need to be able to focus the majority of their working hours on this task.  We have been fighting this battle for at least 50 years and probably will continue to do so.  What is new, however, is the fact that pilots now have to prove that they and their mission are, in fact, actually different from other officers and support personnel.  That they are not interchangeable and in spite of how "unfair" it might be to some, not everyone in the USAF is an actual war-fighter.  No excuses are necessary for this - it's simply reality.  If that offends someone - too fucking bad.  You want in on it, go to UPT or shut the F.U. and support the mission.  We need warriors.  They don't come about using an HR department, worrying about a PC culture or who is going to be offended by the process of creating highly trained, lethal killers.  Rant over - 🤬

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  5. On 12/19/2018 at 11:44 AM, HuggyU2 said:

    I'll admit that it seems that the System Scheduling Committee should work harder to push the company to build better lines, and that I was at a loss to understand why it couldn't be much better.

    Found the reason.....

    This is another example of why it's difficult to have a generic PBS vs Line discussion across airlines and the industry in general.  There are way too many nuances associated with a particular airline's schedule structure, trips, fly window and contract.

    At FedEx, the pilots build the lines.  The company builds the trips, gives the scheduling committee the opportunity to ID problem trips, get them changed and then the build begins.  Who better to understand what is going to work best than the pilots in each fleet who will fly those lines.  I'd probably have the same complaints as that AS Captain if I relied on people who've never flown an airline schedule to build them for me.

    There's a very simple solution to his woes but it will have to get by the "we've always done it this way" crowd.

  6. 12 hours ago, ygtbsm said:

    I spent a lot of time soul searching this question: What is wrong with the Air Force? I spent countless hours wondering why the Air Force has a “pilot crisis”.

    "Countless hours" and this is what you came up with.  Please tell me you're not in a position to affect AF retention policy going forward. 😉  The reason for the pilot crisis isn't the mystery you make it out to be.  Read the "Dear Boss" letter from whatever decade you prefer and you'll find your answer.

    12 hours ago, ygtbsm said:

    This is a majority of the Air Force pilots. They will leave the organization because of the leadership responsibilities placed upon them at the end of their UPT commitment.

    Really?  They leave because of added responsibility?  A 4-ship FL or Mission Commander leading a Flag mission or doing the real J.O.B. in the AOR has accepted a pretty significant level of responsibility.  If you think that individual is reluctant to accept an ADO, DO or CC job because of the leadership responsibilities, you truly don't understand the problem.

     

    12 hours ago, ygtbsm said:

    There is also a group of "officers who happen to also be pilots". Those officers are excellent officers but  would have been just as content to be a maintenance officer, or an intelligence officer.  Those officers are here to be officers and lead men. The “officer who happens to be a pilot” doesn’t care about flying. He doesn’t have a true passion for aviation.

    How do you know they're "excellent officers"?  There's no guarantee of that any more than there is that every pilot can be one either.  One thing's for sure:  "Leading men" 🙄 in the true sense (i.e. on the pointy end into actual combat) isn't going to happen in Intel or the Maintenance squadron.  Taking an 8-ship into true combat isn't the same as showing up for the morning Intel PPT slide show or generating tail numbers for a 12 turn 8.  The leaders required to do those jobs are not interchangeable.  Until the USAF is willing to acknowledge that lost piece of very important information, it will continue to lose its best pilots and leaders.

    I have yet to meet a pilot who was truly a "leader of men" and can bring game to an actual combat mission, inspire his pilots to put their lives on the line and do what is require to accomplish the mission who didn't care or have a passion for flying and all that goes along with it.  Tactical competence doesn't just happen save for the occasional gifted savant.  Without caring or passion, a so called "officer who happens to be a pilot" will never attain that level and more importantly, understand and appreciate the mentality of those under him who are striving to achieve it.

    12 hours ago, ygtbsm said:

     The “officer who happen to be a pilot” will become a senior Air Force leader. That officer will make the rules and values for the organization. They will continue in service and say "officer first, pilot second"

    They will continue to try to deny it takes a very different officer AND pilot to fly daylight attacks on Germany, tangled with MiGs in the alley, go downtown in Pak-6 and take the fight to our enemies of the last 30 years.  You don't magically create those pilots from the PC, no squadron bar, no nametag, no o-club, peacetime, make everyone feel like equal war fighters USAF.  Being willing to bring game, put your life out there daily in training and combat requires a special officer and pilot.  If the USAF finds a way to keep those guys around, that will be a huge step in the right direction.  In the meantime, we have the ones that do dumbass things like take "Home of the Fighter Pilot" off the main gate at Nellis.

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  7. 1 hour ago, Tonka said:

    Im no expert in human physiology... but i would imagine/speculate the forces involve would be incapacitating.  i dont know what the force required to liberate the whole prop assembly is, but it has to be high.

    Me either - but air and centrifugal loads acting on an operating prop/engine assembly that suddenly been thrown off axis violently can reasonably explain its liberation.  While it's comforting for family to cling to, if the crew was strapped in, unfortunately, I think it's very possible they weren't incapacitated by the break up.

  8. 1 hour ago, FLEA said:

     The recreation video reminds me of the wing box failure video on the fire fighting C-130 several years back. So quick and instant, no time to react or do anything to save it. 

    I remember that fire drop video.  That was quick and instant, for the most part.  Unfortunately, not the case with this break-up starting at FL200.  Quick and instant to a point of unrecoverable failure, yes - but 2-3 final minutes I wouldn't wish on anyone. 

  9. 3 hours ago, Lord Ratner said:

    I stand by PBS being great. Most of the arguments against it are contractual, or just flat out misunderstandings and what PBS actually does. But at it's core, PBS offers the ability to build your dream schedule, so long as you have the seniority. You can't do that in a system where the lines are predetermined. Trading, dropping, and picking up trips to manipulate a schedule from line-bidding are contractual elements (that we also have under a PBS system) to account for the shortcomings of a line-based bidding process.

    PBS certainly does provide the company with the ability to more tightly manage manning, but the contract, rather than conflict bidding and other technicalities are where we should be securing our QOL protections.

    When I was getting out of the military a whole bunch of people kept telling me about PBS and how I should avoid it at all costs. Now looking back, I realize those people were at Southwest FedEx and UPS. I think United too before they switched over. They knew about as much as I did about it. Now that I'm here, all I do is fly with guys who were line bidders for 20 years and only recently switched over to PBS once American did. I would say about 75% or more of them prefer PBS. If you take the time, learn the system, and create a very nuanced standing bid, you don't even need to do anything month-to-month. Again, seniority allowing.

    There's really not much point in having a big debate over PBS.  If I managed to make a compelling enough argument that you threw up your hands and said, "JW, you're right - I wish we had line bidding back at AA", you're still going to have PBS at the end of the day.  I just feel the need to point out that you really should caveat your positive comments about PBS and limit them to what you guys have successfully negotiated at AA.  PBS in the industry is just as widely varied as all the other aspects of individual airline contracts.  It's not accurate to say "PBS is great" without putting some qualifiers with that statement.  According to you (maybe you can help to quantify your opinion with a seniority hack), AA pilots have done a bang-up job creating an awesome PBS.  If the majority of pilots there share your viewpoint, good on you guys.  Not every airline with PBS can make that claim.

    So, I continue not to try to sway your opinion, but to add some balance to the discussion and possibly offer new guys who are or eventually find themselves at a line bidding airline a differing perspective.

    I disagree that most arguments against it are based on misunderstanding or contractual issues.  Maybe that's true at AA.  But, you can't evaluate it across the industry in a vacuum simply based on it's own merits.  Your only experience with it is at AA and according to you it's good.  If you wanted to refute arguments against it at another airline, you would need to evaluate it's impact on the complete system in place at that airline - not just what schedules pilots end up with each month.

    One thing that kind of makes this an apples to oranges discussion is the significant variation in trip constructions at FedEx and UPS when compared to pax carriers.  I would say that PBS is more suited to a pax airline.  The concept of a "dream schedule" is probably only limited by one's imagination at AA.  At FedEx, everyone's dreams (on a particular) aircraft fall into very similar patterns.  So, it's very easy to build lines people want.  Domestically, we basically work Mon-Fri, sometimes Sat.  No one wants to work nights in a shotgun fashion, so we work week-on/week-off and so on.  With a huge population of commuters (70%-ish), that works great - less commutes each month.  Same for international.  We have huge trips.  Lots of them.  Most pilots either work one 12-14 day trip or two smaller trips each month.  There are a smaller number of lines for locals who prefer a higher number of shorter trips in a month.  My point is, PBS generated lines according to individual pilot's desires would most likely look like they do now being built by our own pilots on the scheduling group.  So, with all the negatives that come with PBS, we really have no reason to accept it.

    I don't know about AA, but here, no contractual changes are going to generate the same level of QOL improvement that we can by conflict bidding.  Our contract already exceeds the FARs in every area.  The "shortcomings" (as you call them) of line bidding create opportunities for more pilots across a larger seniority range to be able to manipulate their schedules - BEFORE trip trading, dropping, picking up trips is an option.  As I emphasized by bolding your statements above, PBS is strictly seniority based which you accurately acknowledged and is a HUGE factor when evaluating the reality of PBS.  There's something to be said for the "So, you're saying I've got a chance!" potential even if it's occasional as opposed to knowing, without a doubt, you're only going to get what your 93% seniority can hold.

    A final point - Airline management wants PBS.....badly.  That should tell you something in and of itself.  Many airlines that use PBS had it forced on them via bankruptcy contracts they had little to no choice in voting for.  At FedEx, we continue to counter management's efforts to introduce PBS into our contract negotiations.  We do that, not because we don't understand PBS - but because we do.  In our case, it's not worth the cost in:  pilots on our seniority list, time off during our vacation months, schedule flexibility for all especially junior pilots and having to waste negotiating capital to fend off attempts to enhance efficiency on the PBS scheduling algorithm every contract cycle just to get schedules similar to the ones we already get now.

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  10. 1 hour ago, Lord Ratner said:

    PBS is great. The only guys at AA who don't like it are mostly the same ones who refused to learn it.

    Everyone has an opinion, so here's a differing one.  It can be a good system but your statements are way too general.  There's much more that goes into being able to say "PBS is great".  Someone just breaking into the airline biz needs to understand that.  Knowing what I know now, if I had a choice of two identical airlines - one PBS and one line bidding, I'd steer away from PBS every time.

    Ask any UAL pilot what their first iteration of PBS was like and I doubt you'll find any who were junior who say it was "great".  The top half of the list bid for what they wanted which typically involved a balance of days off and work.  This resulted in an abundance of flying left to assign by the time they got to the bottom half of the pilots.  So, junior pilots were maxed out every month flying 90 hours of hard time.  To make matter worse, since most flying was assigned, there was very little open time so trip trading was close to impossible.  I imagine it's gotten better there, but that's completely up to the negotiating power of the pilot group.

    The bottom line is anyone working under PBS doesn't have a choice, so the only option is to make it as good as possible.  That falls on smart pilots negotiating the rules, a good software program to follow those rules and the ability to continually update and improve when appropriate.  If you have those, then as you said, it can be great.  However, PBS will be manpower negative by virtue of the efficiency it brings.  Less pilots at an airline is rarely a good thing.  That efficiency will typically result in less open time and reduce the ability for people to massage their schedules.  In the unicorn, ice cream and blowjob world, no one under PBS would need to massage their schedules because everyone gets what they want.  The reality is, that everyone gets what their seniority can hold - far more strictly than under a line bidding system.  My situation is a perfect example.  Under PBS, I get what my 40% seniority can hold - period dot.  Under line bidding, I can go that route if I want to put minimal effort into my schedule.  However, I also have the option to bid conflicts or a secondary line and use the necessary follow on bidding process used to fill uncovered trips to effectively increase my seniority and access trips I couldn't get under PBS.  Senior pilots get what they want under either system, so their opinions on which one they prefer matter far less.  Ask the real junior guys what they like.  Some know nothing different, so they may not have an answer.  The bottom line is, with line bidding, there are more options available for the junior pilots to create a schedule that suits them than simply relying on what their seniority can hold via PBS.

    Trip design and typical schedules at FedEx aren't the same as the pax world, so that may be another reason why it wouldn't work very well here.  When it comes to vacation, there's no way that a PBS system can generate the same results as the one at FedEx using line bidding.  PBS would decimate our vacation system.  I can take the 4 weeks of vacation per year I have now, put them in 4 different months and take all 4 of those months off with full pay.  Do that with PBS.  No pilot at FedEx who truly understands all the implications would ever vote for a PBS system.  That's not out of ignorance or not bothering to learn the system.  The only way it would come to be there is the same way it came to be at many of the airlines that use it now.  It was forced on them during bankruptcy negotiations.   If pax guys have been able to take those lemons and make lemonade, good for them.  I'm happy PBS is working for them.  I effectively use a version of it when I bid for my secondary lines since the process is similar.  Take a pot of uncovered trips, put in for specific trips or general "here's what I want and/or when I want to work" and you get what you can hold.  Everyone doing that at FedEx would completely suck.

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  11. 11 hours ago, SocialD said:

    Wow...dudes over here absolutely lose their minds when schedules aren't published by the 15th (2 days earlier than contractually required).  I'd be ok with it if it meant having some of the contractual items that allow for your secondary lines.

    Agreed.  The fact that we have a secondary process means we don't have PBS which is worth far more to most of our pilots than some having to get their schedules late. 

    FedEx doesn't use a strict calendar month - rather, 28 and 35 day cycles (Monday to Monday) that may result in the month in question containing a few days of an adjacent month or months.  This December is a 5-week month and goes from 26 Nov to 30 Dec.  So, it's not possible to say we get our schedules on the "15th of each month" or any other specific date.  Lineholders, including reserve lines, (about 80% of pilots in any particular seat) get their schedules 19 days before the start of the month, so I guess that would be the pax equivalent of getting them on the 11th or 12th of the month.  The "cats and dogs" process that occurs due to conflicts are resolved over the next week with the last of those notifications happening 13 days out.  The final one is the secondaries which I already mentioned.

    Obviously some people's lifestyles require early information about their schedules, like our OP.  They would most likely avoid our secondary lines if they have the option.  I'm in the top 40% of my seat and I still bid secondary lines routinely.  I can live with the late notification because I get a huge bump in seniority in exchange.  I'm usually in the top 5 of secondary lines which gives me a very good shot at getting what I want, when I want it and much higher quality trips than if I simply bid a line.  I guess maybe that's why I'm okay with the late notification.  Knowing I'll get what I want probably makes not knowing exactly what that is a bit easier to handle than someone at the middle or back of the secondary pack rolling the dice and have zero clue until 5 days prior. 

    Which was the whole point of my caution to the OP - not scheduling 101 for FedEx, but I took the time to type it now, so here it is.

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  12. On 11/30/2018 at 11:47 PM, AlphaMikeFoxtrot said:

    If I jump the sinking AD ship and somehow land an airline gig how far out are the schedules posted? Just trying to figure the future out.

    If this will be a show-stopper for you, then I'd steer clear of FedEx.  There's been a pretty significant shift in the makeup of our schedules.  The junior-most pilots now typically get secondary lines instead of reserve lines.  Secondary lines now comprise around 20% or more of the total schedules available.  The very junior secondaries will still have reserve, so they're not avoiding it - they just get it another way.  But the main thing is that secondary line schedules aren't published until 5 days before the month starts.  Wednesday night you get your schedule and you could be leaving that coming Monday for your first trip (maybe Sunday if you commute and need to leave early).

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  13. 8 minutes ago, HossHarris said:

    Closest thing I could find. Looks like a non-Airshow, non-ab, everyday normal raptor takeoff. 

    8 seconds from brake release to nosewheel lift off. 

    If you, a perfectly capable aviator evidently, made a 1 second error ... how many knots do you think that would be?  

    Best case, light jet and linear acceleration, a 1 second error is 15 knots. Takeoff acceleration isn’t linear.

    I think you make a pretty valid point.  Sure does look like those burners are cooking by the time he goes by the camera.  Are you saying he went full grunt after gear up?

  14. 16 hours ago, Kenny Powers said:

    I didn't read the whole thing but, what I will say, is that as a single seat fighter pilot you're the Mayor of Cockpit City. I do what I want in my jet. I am more than happy to take lessons learned from others and apply them to my jet to make me better/safer.

    This is just a dumbass mistake, nothing more. We all make mistakes at some point, this dude made an expensive one.

    Kenny - I thinks it's understandable that someone from a multi-role, multi-ordnance fighter would scoff as you are.  However, don't discount the impact of MDS culture, especially with a single mission, single load-out (more or less) fighter.  An air-to-air fighter doesn't have the myriad of ordnance and potential takeoff variables that say, an F-16 has.  On most take offs, the TOLD data is a square filler.  Sea level bases and an overconfidence in a/c and engine capes could easily create an environment where things like density altitude is not in the cross-check.  I'm not saying it's right, but I can understand how they got there.

    For the the first two decades of the F-15's existence, pilots didn't even compute TOLD.  Every takeoff you rotated at 120 knots.  Full aft stick to get the nose moving and adjust after that.  Mil, Burner, missiles, training load, clean, 1, 2, 3, bags... didn't matter.  Or did it?  I'm sure if someone took the time to compute rotation and takeoff speed, they would have varied somewhat in all the different scenarios.  Takeoff speed?  WTF is that anyway?😜  It started in FTU with the aborted takeoff discussion. The guidance for some "issue" on takeoff went, that if you're at or past 120 with the stick moving back to rotate, then you're going.  If you're not there yet, then you abort.  Of course, there was always the caveat that if it was a "no shitter" (whatever that is was up to you) you could abort above that knowing you had the hook.  That was for mil power on an 8K runway.  Anything longer just gave you room to work with, but didn't change the decision process.  How's that for TOLD?  Even after we started putting TOLD numbers on our line-up cards, not much changed.

    I also wouldn't discount the effect the FTU training environment may be introducing to this cultural problem.  If you actually read the report and look at the data, it's pretty clear that there's a huge trend throughout the F-22 community to rotate early, even in FTU.  That makes it pretty clear this stuff is being taught early on.  Another thing to consider - There's probably a bunch of ex-Eagle guys wearing coats and ties and teaching sims and academics who may be throwing out some questionable techniques and info from "back in their day" that's being gobbled up and retained by "Stanley" the newbie Raptor dude.  I think back to more than a few bogus techniques I had to unlearn thanks to some retired F-4 guy, now sim instructor, throwing out something he thought worked great.  Some bigger stuff but mostly little things.  I ended up with an audio only version of my HUD tape during what anyone would argue was the highlight of my career thanks to one of those sim instructors teaching me how to set up my cockpit for start.  But, I digress.

    It's pretty clear from the report that this is much more than one guy not reading his line-up card and being a dumbass. That's not to say your points about not checking safely airborne, etc. aren't valid.  As others have mentioned, we're not talking about a huge amount of time from brake release to gear up and I'm sure muscle memory and expected timing took priority over a more accurate check.  At least the result was a shiny a/c underside, some personal shame and hopefully a better approach to takeoff ops and not another nickle in the grass.

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  15. 28 minutes ago, FishBowl said:

    D9EDABE7-269E-4E1C-BB06-430D4A7D9270.jpeg

    Other than books by some of these operators, I have no clue about the reality of their missions.  But, as professional war fighters there are rules to follow.  Some "barbarian sh!t" is legal and some isn't.  Hell, the guy accused of killing the prisoner with a knife may have legally killed one of the POW's buddies the week before on a mission.  I'm sure some of those guys have a tougher time than others staying on the correct side of that line every time the opportunity presents itself.  This isn't a new problem - there's just a sh!tload more ways for this stuff to come out into the open now. If anyone thinks WW2 didn't have plenty of these types of events, they're kidding themselves.  There just wasn't some dumbass filming the sh!t with his iphone.  War is brutal and asking trained killers to turn off the brutality necessary to wage it properly and do what's necessary to win at the drop of a hat is only going to be expected by politicians and bleeding hearts who've never done it.

    We ask a lot of these individuals and I'm sympathetic to a point.  However, if all these charges are proven, killing a prisoner in cold blood or a fellow soldier to cover a crime is wayyyy over the line.

  16. 7 minutes ago, Yaweh said:

     I thought wearing your leather jacket with blues was normal to cover up the lack of effort to keep ribbons up to date.....

    🤔 When did officers (pilots, to be more accurate) started wearing ribbons on their blues?

  17. 8 hours ago, BashiChuni said:

    oh PR...showing them trying to screw in screws w/ drill going the wrong direction...we've all done it no problem...but wouldn't you edit that out!? lol. not a big deal just funny

    🤔 I don’t think you saw what you think you saw. It looks to me that in both situations the lag bolt was already screwed into the furring strip but hadn’t hit something solid within the roof structure. They were just backing them out to reposition them and try again in a slightly different location. 

  18. On 10/4/2018 at 10:05 AM, MilitaryToFinance said:

    Completely inaccurate article.

    We signed this contract 3 years ago in fall of 2015.  These were basic provisions in that contract and have nothing to do with the holiday season or any other industry dynamics.  There are two "bonus" payments that really have nothing to do with "keeping pilots from retiring".

    One is the $40K if a pilot gives 1 year advance notice of his retirement.  If he has 23 years of service or more, it doesn't matter if he goes this year, next year or anytime after that - same $40K.  As long as he gives 12 months notice.  So, not much going on there to "keep pilots from retiring".

    The other ($110,000 bonus) was a genius move by the company.  Again, nothing to do with keeping pilots around longer.  It was all about incentivizing maximum work and min sick leave usage over the last 2 years a pilot works here.  Prior to this contract, pilot approaching retirement would make judicious use of their sick leave over the last couple of years which typically involved draining their maxed out sink leave bank (about 9-10 months worth of pay).  With 6 weeks of vacation on top of that, they could usually take 6-7 months off each year with full pay during their last two years.  Of course, they can still do this.  But, they do so knowing they are turning their nose up at what could amount to another $110K on top of the rest of their pay.  Not everyone values their time off that much. 

    However, there are some strings attached - if they want the full $110K bonus, they need to work a full schedule for their last 48 months (i.e. earn at least $740,000 over that same 48 month period - which is pretty busy).  None of that income can be from sick leave and their sick bank must essentially be full when they retire.  If either of those two criteria are not met, the bonus is reduced accordingly.

    Again - both of these bonuses really have nothing to do with keeping pilots from retiring.  Most guys are staying until the bitter end now anyway.  But, if a guy has been here 25 years, he can get both of these bonuses in their entirety if he chooses to retire at age 60.  Or, he can stick around another year or two, three, four or five.  No change to the bonus - no real incentive to stay longer other than the pay he will receive for working those extra years.

    Just another poorly researched and written article.

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