brwwg&b
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Posts posted by brwwg&b
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42 minutes ago, BashiChuni said:
i don't count cease fire agreements as wins. maybe you do.
I bet if there was a cease fire in Ukraine signed tomorrow you'd count that as a win. LordRatner is right, you're overly simplistic and fail to understand any complexity in the world beyond A therefore B. Go back to your cave.
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51 minutes ago, StoleIt said:
I'm confused. What is going on here besides some AETC dude wearing a bag to something he probably should be in blues for?
RUMINT: He went on leave and spoke to press and supposedly the president of Kosovo - in uniform, without any oversight or pre-planning/official coordination.
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Any truth to rumint of near entire Vance T-6 fleet damage due to excessive winds from a storm last week?
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2 hours ago, di1630 said:
Depends if short or long of the FSCL generally for AI vs CAS.
Big emphasis on generally here. The FSCL really doesn't have anything to do with defining what's CAS vs AI, and what factors are decided on where to place the FSCL is more of a factor to your point.
To FourFans' point, yes going for rear echelons usually is interdiction. Might be blurry depending on if & where the enemy is capable of/is engaging with friendly forces and their maneuver. Likewise for friendlies (SOF or other embedded into the deep, etc...)
Overall, semantics that are likely to be f'd up 3 ways from wednesday by any C2 / staff / GOs / civil leadership anyways.
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Looks similar to ones in the past, except now there's a graduated $ increase from 3-4 years (35K) to 5-7 year (42.5K) or 8-12 year (50K) options.
Since this is the "Legacy" AvB, it doesn't apply yet for people who are approaching but not AT their ADSC.
11Rs still get some form of screwed (35K max, except U2 pilots with RDTM EH...whatever that means) I think they're only trying to screw non U-2 11Rs this time.
Open until 15 September, will be interesting to see if there's any difference from historical take rates...
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20 hours ago, SocialD said:
In his defense, they also said my early retirement submission in VPC would "seamlessly transition to myFSS"...nearly 5 months and still waiting (historically has taken a few weeks). As of yesterday they are still "working out some bugs, check back later." Hopefully that "later" is before I retire at the end of the month.
Not surprised, they've rarely been able to even stay above water, much less manage anything "seamlessly".
I hope someone is fighting to push the rope for you though, that sucks.
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46 minutes ago, DFRESH said:
Yet somehow there's nothing in myFSS.... Surprised face
The article says it'll be released on 6 June on myFSS. Reading is tough
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On 1/25/2023 at 9:53 PM, Scooter14 said:
I might be wrong, but I don’t think you’re supposed to have a specific aircraft type on any sort of organizational insignia.
I don’t know why, maybe if your unit goes into conversion or starts flying a different airplane… I don’t know but, I do remember that as being a thing.
Maybe the patch Nazis at the heritage center called them out on their F-16s after the aviation community called them out on their SU 27s?It's funny - I was actually part of the convo with their team. When they realized they needed to update the emblem, they asked for input, and had a specific idea of F-16 flyover to "rectify" their mistake.
I had (begrudgingly) scoured their regs, and in fact used the "specific aircraft" (which is not allowed - exactly for the reason Scooter14 said; that it doesn't "stand the test of time") as another argument point to them for updating the patch. When I mentioned that changing it to an F-16 doesn't fix that part of the problem, they said "oh no, we DO want that aircraft on there" I guess we're beholden to living life one step at a time...
I'd even made a design with "darts" which would've preserved the missing man portion of the patch, at least. YCMTSU
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Reports that the Polish prime minister is calling emergency meetings
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30 minutes ago, Lord Ratner said:
if we take the Intel and support, you're now multiplying by zero, and the result will be obvious.
You're asserting that Ukrainian military competency and capability (on their own) is zero. Which is blatantly incorrect.
31 minutes ago, Lord Ratner said:I hope our support for Ukraine continues until the last Russian body is dragged back over their border. We have been given a tremendous opportunity to utterly decimate, the military and standing of one of the only credible geopolitical foes, and at an incredible discount. As long as the Ukrainians are willing to fight and die for their sovereignty, I see no problem with simultaneously fulfilling a major objective of ours.
F yeah. Totally agree.
32 minutes ago, Lord Ratner said:But that doesn't change Ukraine's reality, and there is no victory without our continued support. The United States military is not the training wheels, it's the whole f'n bike.
You're still overstating our role. Even if the US is the bike - Ukraine are the bicyclists. If the bike stops working or magically disappears - Ukraine are now the runners. Or maybe they have a scooter or motorcycle they jump on. It doesn't simplify to automatic defeat just because Uncle Sam decides to stop showing up (which, by the way...won't happen, so the entire discussion is moot).
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59 minutes ago, Lord Ratner said:
When we sent them HIMARS, it came with the six month subscription to SiruisXM targeting.
For shits & grins though - we are approaching six months of Ukraine having HIMARS.
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43 minutes ago, Lord Ratner said:
Now that they are on that path, until they decide to return to "lose," they are stuck doing what we say. They can find another source of support, but there aren't many options.
It isn't as black and white as you make it out. Like a teenager learning to drive under supervision, there comes a moment where you let them go drive on their own. Before you do, they might sneak out and take the car out on their own. The difference here being that we aren't going to go take back equipment or munitions which was gifted, if they decide they no longer need supervision
Realize that they have support (limited, sure) from many other nations from the US who have much more skin in the game when it comes to how this war settles.
43 minutes ago, Lord Ratner said:I don't think you realize how much more we are doing than just sending pallets of weapons.
I know that you don't know who you are talking to. I also know that intelligence support isn't a discussion fit for this forum.
edit: grammar
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National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan highlights four "core elements of consensus" in the U.S. gov about Ukraine. (about halfway through, CTRL+F Ukraine)
TL;DR version:
1. It's Ukraine's decision when to go to the negotiating table.
2. Principles of a just peace are based on territorial and sovereign integrity (U.N. Charter).
3. Russia doubling down on annexation claims means they can't be a good faith negotiator.
4. U.S. approach remains the same - enable Ukraine to be in the best possible position on the battlefield.
"And one more big-ticket item. So there’s kind of this sense of when is Ukraine going to negotiate. Okay, ultimately, at a 30,000-foot level, Ukraine is the party of peace in this conflict, and Russia is the party of war. Russia invaded Ukraine. If Russia chose to stop fighting in Ukraine and left, it would be the end of the war. If Ukraine chose to stop fighting and give up, it would be the end of Ukraine."
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9 hours ago, Lord Ratner said:
I agree. Doesn't change the fact that Ukraine, despite whatever their desires may be, is subordinate to us in this war. There is no Ukraine victory without our weapons. I don't have to like it, but that's politics.
Saying "it's their decision" implies they can do whatever they want. False. If their choice is to lose, then yeah I guess they can do whatever. But they can't win without us, which means their choices are limited to those they can get the US to agree to. Politics and power.
Subordinate isn't the right wording. They were reliant on western supplied equipment and munitions. They've got lots of equipment now...munitions will continue to be a challenge. It doesn't make them a puppet for us, and doesn't mean we can tell them "go do this" and expect them to salute smartly and follow marching orders. They are compelled to consider (arguably, strongly consider) our recommendations....and then, it still is their decision.
The situation has changed enough that the Ukrainians may be inspired enough by battlefield victories to think they have more rope to play with - they can do whatever they want with that rope. It's for us to try to advise, so they don't end up snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. We are certainly leveraging political tools to do so.
If we stopped handing over equipment and munitions today - it isn't a guarantee that the Ukrainians would lose (in the near term). However, they (and we) understand the importance of both building & rebuilding a western supplied military for them. They're playing the politics side of it pretty smartly as well...they aren't subservient, realize that US would suffer political blowback if we just walked away right now, and know that we can help them behind the scenes as well. This doesn't just easily simplify to "we are a big country and you are a little one" power plays (nor should it).
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10 hours ago, Lord Ratner said:
Did you miss the reporting where the White House has been pressuring Ukraine to open the possibility of negotiations?
When your patron tells you to do something, you do it. And you do it with a smile.
While the US has been the largest patron, they aren't the only one...and Ukraine isn't our whore.
It's their country - we can carrot & stick all day to compel, but it's still their decision. Those measures are working, as Zelenskyy already (somewhat) walked it back - various reports of some willingness to enter talks with Russia - on Ukraine terms (possibly a post-Putin Russia).
At this point, if Russia stops fighting, the war is over. If Ukraine stops fighting, Ukraine is over (now or later). Aside from trying to provide off-ramps to Putin in an attempt to let him save face (won't work/matter), Ukraine going to negotiating table now is only beneficial to Russia.
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4 hours ago, ClearedHot said:
Russian SU-25 shotdown air to air kill.
Some wild airmchair punditing there. Not many missiles start on a straight downward trajectory, burn out, reignite on a corkscrew while changing direction from down to up then smoke your flight lead.
Still, a plus for the result either way: one less ruski Frogfoot in the world
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19 minutes ago, Danger41 said:
Lots of red from countries that share a border with the Russians
1/5 NATO countries that border Russia are in the red - Norway only.
Absolutely agree that the remainder should show up with the $$ / % GDP to share shouldering the weight of deterrence and defense. Just saying your argument isn’t accurate. I do also agree that if/when Finland joins, they’ll need to bump up from their historic ~1.5% GDP on defense.
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45 minutes ago, BashiChuni said:
Yeah I’m sure we know exactly how all those millions are gonna be spend. Don’t be that ignorant
- Six additional National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS) with additional munitions for NASAMS;
- Up to 245,000 rounds of 155mm artillery ammunition;
- Up to 65,000 rounds of 120mm mortar ammunition;
- Up to 24 counter-artillery radars;
- Puma Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) and support equipment for Scan Eagle UAS systems;
- VAMPIRE Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems;
- Laser-guided rocket systems;
- Funding for training, maintenance, and sustainment.
Bashi don't be so naive to think that we would just hand $3B in cash and say "go have fun." The USAI package absolutely makes sense and is aligned to both our and Ukraine's interests. Even looking at the $40B total aid, that's comparatively about 5% of the annual DoD budget, and easily the most direct bang for our buck at the moment.
Throwing a fit over $3B being used how it is...you're the only ignorant one here.
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18 hours ago, mightymighty said:
So does this mean they'll finally do something about this?
They did, I think social media pressure actually got them off their asses...
Though they don't seem to have an easily accessible high quality version. Seems like they wanted to make the correction quietly... looks like vipers to me
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42 minutes ago, VMFA187 said:
Out of curiosity, I'd like to know on this board the number of CAF pilots who are for/against government mandated lockdowns and enforcement of "arbitrary" (my word) rules vice those pilots who are not 11F. Could be an interesting discussion.
What about this do you think would be interesting? Is it that an 11F is more comfortable with higher risk? Or that an 11F is comfortable with risk because of increased measures to mitigate that risk?
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50 minutes ago, MyCS said:
But you think they are just going to let you take a vaccine and go fly where you may have an allergic reaction. Some people may have to be on quarters or DNIF after receiving the vaccine per a military doctor that oversees the administration of the vaccine.
https://www.faa.gov/news/updates/?newsId=96258
I imagine they could follow the FAA rules.
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Guess that's what a presidential pardon buys you these days.
UPT Class Patches
in General Discussion
Posted