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tac airlifter

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Posts posted by tac airlifter

  1. On 4/18/2024 at 9:15 PM, Lord Ratner said:

    You have to define "start a war." I'm happy to keep dumping weapons, intel, and training on the Ukrainians to keep up the fight. And if The Russians start pushing towards Kiev, then I would be fine if western forces began supporting with airstrikes and other direct support within the borders of Ukraine. A lot of this simply boils down to my belief that what is happening is morally wrong, sovereignty matters, and letting weaker nations fall because of isolationist fears never ends well.  

    What evidence do you have that they won't? Doesn't matter. You don't get to "take" sovereign countries. Controlling Ukraine gives Russia a massive strategic advantage if they do invade other countries. So now we have two reasons to stop them.

    I haven't argued for preemptive war. But I agree with some conservatives that continued support of Ukraine, even without direct involvement, will eventually "provoke" Russia into more belligerent action that draws us into a fight. So be it. That still won't be us "starting it," regardless of how much standard political maneuvering existed before the invasion. 

    Any doubt was extinguished when Russia failed to take Ukraine in 2022. Are we seriously thinking otherwise? I have no interest in occupying Russia, so if you are referring to a land invasion then sure, that would be long, painful, and ugly. But beat them in a war to defend the currently established borders? Please. 

    We beat the shit out of Iraq, and then the politicians fucked it all up. And yeah, we shouldn't have gone in the first place. But there's not a great comparison. Now, if you are arguing that we shouldn't have kicked Iraq's ass in the early 90's and saved Kuwait... yeah I just can't get on board with "let it all burn." We tried that with Germany and it wasn't great. Limited goals are the key to military success. 

    Defending a sovereign nation is not escalating. End. 

    Nukes have been hanging over the world for almost a century but it keeps spinning. It's a pointless paradox:

    If Russia is willing to use nukes because their attempt to steal another country is failing, then have to accept that they can take whatever countries they want because we avoid nuclear war at all costs. 

    Why does the calculus change for Latvia? Are you really telling me you're more comfortable with nuclear war because Latvia is in NATO? Who the fuck is Latvia?

    Good reply, thank you for writing it out.  I'll reply in kind when able if you're still interested, but it won't be for a bit.  More than once here I've gotten a thoughtful reply, but lamentably have been too busy to respond in a worthy fashion.  🥃

  2. 4 hours ago, Lord Ratner said:

    The longer we wait, the weaker we will be for the actual fight. As our weak governance racks up increasingly absurd debt, the pressure to divert military spending to welfare programs will only grow. The longer we wait….

    Whether or not there is a nuclear exchange, which is not nearly as certain as you propose, does not change the calculus.
     

    Appeasement does not work. History is clear on this point, and that's exactly what you are proposing.

    You think a Russian invasion of NATO is so likely that you’re willing to start war preemptively?  What evidence do you have that:

    1. Russia would invade a NATO ally

    2. US people support preemptive war, including a possible nuclear exchange, because of something that might happen

    3. We could win

    Asserting the uncertain as inevitable is the logical fallacy which led us into Iraq circa 2003.  In that case, our grasp of the facts and read on Saddam himself was completely wrong; it turned out we were fed BS by liars with an agenda (Curveball among others).  If we could do that over again knowing what we now know, none of us would choose to have invaded Iraq.  You’re smart, you see where I’m going with the comparison.

    And the potential for a nuclear exchange should absolutely change the calculus, holy shit we’re talking about the possibility our cities get incinerated!  We need convincing answers to my 3 questions above or it would be wildly irresponsible to escalate preemptively.

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  3. 9 hours ago, Lord Ratner said:

    Not a single one of them seems willing to answer a simple question. What do we do if Russia marches on Kiev? 

    I’ll answer: We let it fall.

    We have no treaty obligations, and although I’m opposed to Russian aggression I do not believe WW3 is the best option for our interests.

    If they start some shit with a NATO ally then fights on.  

    • Upvote 3
  4. 7 hours ago, Lawman said:

    While you guys are shitting on a bunch of mudhen drivers, they may have just helped in actions that prevented a world war.

    I don’t know if your comment was aimed at me but I think whoever shot down 70+ enemy attack drones within a massive swarm of TBMs and cruise missiles did an amazing job under extremely trying circumstances and definitely earned the title of ace.  Apologies if my post was unclear, I was more exploring what the official definition was versus colloquial use of the term.

    I hope they do a detailed hot wash of all lessons learned (especially C2 and ROE where I I imagine there’s room for improvement) and make the info accessible to others who need it.  I’m guessing there will be more of this in the future.  Bravo to the team.

  5. 37 minutes ago, brabus said:

    Personally I don’t think so. If we’re counting shit that isn’t  capable of shooting back at you, then I know a lot of aces!

    It’s actually a great question I’ve never considered: is there an official definition of a fighter ace?

    I found this one from the American Fighter Aces Association (Link):

    “An American Fighter Ace is a U.S. citizen who has served honorably as a fighter pilot in a U.S. military service or the service of a nation not at war with the United States (or others who flew as a member of a U.S. military service) who has destroyed five or more enemy aircraft in aerial combat.”

    As a non fighter dude, 15Es shooting down enemy attack drones in combat meets the defined criteria, and the organization linked above looks legit.  
     

    edited to add: WRT your comment, you know alot of guys who have destroyed 5+ enemy aircraft in aerial combat??  The roster has no additions since 1972.

  6. 2 hours ago, HeloDude said:

    Hitting a base we’re using in Iraq is quite different than saying they’re hitting the US, ie in our own country.  I just don’t see them hitting Israel (ie in their own country) in the next 48 hours.  But we’ll find out soon enough.

    Honestly it was a ballsy move by Iran, if they had killed any US with the TBM strikes on IZ I think things would look different right now.  The mood was lethal.  When we had zero casualties (granted many folks had TBI) the decision was made to stand down.  It could have easily gone the other way.

    Fun side note: since they destroyed our hangar with TBMs I used the event to clean up 5 years of property book shenanigans.  Seriously, it was very beneficial.  For anyone reading this: if your stuff ever gets destroyed by the enemy, seize the opportunity to do your unit a solid.

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  7. 4 hours ago, ClearedHot said:

     they can probably find a way to make the refugee camps more viable.  If nothing else it will help disarm some of the narrative against them.

    You’re probably right in that context, and I think they’re already making efforts towards assisting the refugee camps (despite knowing Hamas will be advantaged by such a move): https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/04/idfs-new-phase-of-operations-in-gaza-to-include-pinpoint-raids-increased-aid.php

    That said, I’m not sure Israel can disarm the existing narrative; the Palestinians have an incredible international propaganda machine hence all the “genocide” claims by students protesting in the US.  I agree with you they should make an effort, but the truth is many people will criticize them no matter what.  

  8. 18 minutes ago, brabus said:

    They really aren’t. CDE basically doesn’t exist.... Could Israel do better, yes, but are they between a massive rock and a hard place, also yes.

    Disagree, I think Israel is doing good WRT CDE considering they actually need to win.  They haven't leveled Gaza which is exactly what we did in Kobani.
     

    what precisely should they do differently?  "Do better" is feedback I've received alot in life and I must say, it's unhelpful.  Again, can you give an example of a war won while respecting/protecting civilians against an enemy who does neither?  And given our own track record, are we really in position to be giving advice of how to win?

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  9. 19 hours ago, ClearedHot said:

     We were pretty upset after 9/11 but I didn't see us firebombing cities in Afghanistan. 

    And we lost. 

    can you provide an example of a war that was won by the side that respected and protected civilians when the other side doesn’t?  I think you’re expecting the impossible from Israel.

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  10. 39 minutes ago, Day Man said:

    great question

    Total Eclipse: Trump Ignores Pleas of 'Don't Look!' to Stare Directly at  the Sun

    You can attempt a Trump deflection all day long, and I get it both sides have issues, but the Democrats have the preponderance of retards. There is no possible argument.

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  11. 11 hours ago, Clayton Bigsby said:

    Has there ever been any direct exposure of who handed over Bagram?  I hate to ask, but that really did seem like a huge curveball that wasn’t anticipated.

    Gen Austin Miller made the call, although Biden & Blinken put him in a box: they imposed a troop cap which made staffing BAF along with the embassy/HKIA impossible.  Then Blinken said we cannot withdraw from the embassy due to optics, ergo BAF must close.  And because they were unimaginative and underestimated the enemy, they assumed GIRoA could hold out until 2022.

    Miller pushed back but ultimately saluted and executed.  He should have resigned instead.  McKenzie, the COCOM/CC, took command from Miller (meaning the COCOM absorbed what had been its own 4 star command, you can imagine how butter smooth that COMREL change was) in July of 21 I believe, after BAF was handed over and when the assault on the outskirts of Kabul began in earnest.  He failed to take any bold action although several of us were sending very clear recommendations and security warnings.  By early August it was an insane situation: the Taliban was moving openly in large formations massing artillery and supplies as close as Maiden Shar and all ANA checkpoints on Highway 1 had fallen.  Camp Commando had fallen.  We were going Winchester and not slowing them down; our own FIRES process was complicated by surrendering ANA personnel and enemy use of their (our) equipment /uniforms. The AAF ran out of munitions and ceased flight operations.  I landed in HKIA after one sortie and stated clearly: we must initiate the NEO now.  The front office for the 2 star in Kabul (senior US Officer in country) told me “not possible, the Turks won’t allow it.”  The Turks were running HKIA at the time.  3 days later the Turks were burning all their papers and excess equipment as they ran to their own aircraft to escape the fall.

    A lot to digest from the experience.  My biggest surprise has been that absolutely no one higher wants to hear about it.  There was no AAR, no hot wash, no internal mil attempt to investigate and figure out where it broke down.  Just sweep it all under the rug, too embarrassing.  The AF history guys did a quick report, although it was mainly focused on the 2.5 week mobility surge and they didn’t even know my unit existed.  My AAR is now in their secret addendum, but the document is shortsighted by exclusively focusing on the evacuation rather than how the hell we allowed July-Aug to ever occur.  Without any accountability and with the same idiots in charge, we should unfortunately expect another epic strategic humiliation.
     

     

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  12. At some point I'll write out the utter shit show of DOS on 14-15 Aug during the embassy evac.  And nothing improved for the remaining 16 days.  As a commander on the ground, I felt sold out and abandoned by every level above 06. 
     

    On the plus side, there was no one to stop me from doing what I thought best.

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  13. 1 hour ago, disgruntledemployee said:

    Neat. So he might have a problem getting briefs as a candidate.

    Plus the room elephant that he probably made a deal for the money.  I wonder what it was...  pardons?  table seats?  Ambassadorships?  Favorable judges in the right spot?  Blagojevich did jail time for that kinda shit. 

    When 30ish legitimate money institutions say no, and fuck no, then some dude that thrived off shady shit steps in, I can draw some thoughts off that.

    Spot on bro, the nerve of this Trump guy running against Biden!  I'd guess he made a deal with Russia about something too; we should charge him with a crime, then RICO anyone who ever worked for him.  

  14. 15 minutes ago, Pooter said:

    The creditors were absolutely defrauded. They issued lower interest rate/higher principle loans based on fraudulent collateral asset claims. Just because the government figured it out before the creditors doesn't mean a crime didn't take place. 

    And if you truly think this is some horrible selective prosecution that spells the end of the republic, I have an experiment for you. Next time you apply for a mortgage try grossly inflating your assets and see how far you get with that. And when you get investigated for fraud, try pitching the victimless crime narrative. 
     

    But you would never try that because you know exactly what would happen. So only one question remains: why do you think trump should get away with something you never could?

    You misunderstand the difference between single family residential properties and large scale commercial properties.  I'm not an expert but I had it explained to me by someone who was; basically there's a standard practice to increase property value based on zoning and permits for future planned development.  And those things have real worth.  
     

    The banks in question stated for the record they were not defrauded and wanted to continue business with the Trump organization.  This is ops normal, everyone does it, no one else is prosecuted for it.  This is absolutely a BS political prosecution.  

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  15. On 3/27/2024 at 11:58 AM, BashiChuni said:

    UPT O&Bs happen everyday, we have the resources

    it's about focusing on going somewhere different and exposing SPs to new environments, not just the canned 100nm away stereo airfield.

     

    100% right.  Instructors who enable students to experience every edge of the flight envelope make them ready & confident when the unexpected happens in an adverse environment.  

  16. 6 hours ago, Lawman said:


    There are currently 2x US Apache pilots with air to air engagements against a type 3/4 UAS.

    That would be 1 more kill than a lot of guys flying things with pointy noses.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

     

    2 hours ago, O Face said:

    Good Old Lawman, such a jovial guy, finds a way to turn every conversation into some weird, unsolicited, dick measuring contest.  
    I know an Air Force TACP who killed a bunch of guys with his rifle. That’s way more dead guys than a lot of Army Infantry dudes have killed…See how obnoxious that sounds?  
    Anyway, always loved this story.  Air America UH-1 with an air to air kill on an AN-2. 
     

    https://theaviationgeekclub.com/incredible-story-air-america-uh-1d-huey-shot-north-vietnamese-2-colt-biplane/

    I upvoted both comments just to stir the pot.

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  17. On 3/21/2024 at 9:43 PM, Sua Sponte said:

    Homie is about to find out about the Castle Doctrine. 

    Do any blue states have a castle doctrine?  I’m ignorant of the law here and I only own one house I occupy.  

  18. This looks like ISIS to me.  Hopefully it opens more authorities to kill them more aggressively.  Regardless of how anyone feels about RUS government, who are awful, terrorist attacks on populations are abhorrent, unacceptable, and civilized nations should cooperate to utterly destroy them.

    • Upvote 2
  19. 1 hour ago, ViperMan said:

    It's run and designed by lawyers. That's why.

    Last time we "won" a war is when we decided that we weren't going to negotiate the outcome with the people who started it. 

    William Shakespeare in Henry VI: 

    “The first thing we do is, let’s kill all the lawyers.”

    • Upvote 1
  20. 2 hours ago, fire4effect said:

    I'm still wondering how they're able to keep their logistics going to maintain their launch optempo. I can see if they've stockpiled a fair amount in the years no one was looking but sooner or later they're going to run out of missiles. Going forward if we catch you with contraband, you getting your A$$ sunk or blown up. No questions asked.

    The Iranians are actively resupplying them.  We simply don’t have the political balls to authorize ROE that would do what you propose.  It’s similar to our Vietnam guys watching the USSR send in parts for SA sites, but not allowed to strike until operational.  Our idiot generals have learned nothing & continue to fail the nation but see themselves promoted.

    Enemies are driving the fight, seizing the initiative, executing bold COAs; we just respond.  So long as this paradigm continues our technological and tactical superiority will be neutered.

    • Like 7
  21. 2 hours ago, Lawman said:


    I’m honestly surprised they even wasted the chutes and didn’t just Yeet the stuff off the ramp like candy at a 4th of July parade.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

    It’s called a speedball, and the Afghan AF nearly (probably) killed people like that.  I watched them toss an A3 bag full of boots off DZ in Badakhshan into a house.

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