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torqued last won the day on February 19

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About torqued

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    Crew Dawg
  1. Pilot Shortage Deepens, USAF is SCREWED.

    The AETC slides seem so bizarrely ignorant that I think something must be missing. Consider: the slides are from AETC and they most likely would not detail retention initiatives. Those slides exist elsewhere. Quality of life and financial incentives are likely being addressed by different organizations, and they may be separately trying to solve the crisis entirely, as AETC looks to be doing. I believe bonuses are in the works: http://comptroller.defense.gov/Portals/45/Documents/defbudget/fy2019/fy2019_m1.pdf FY 2018 Air Force Officer Incentive pay budget: $236,704,000 FY 2019 AIr Force Officer Incentive pay budget: $284,437,000 (proposed) $47,000,000 (20%) increase for all officers, not just pilots. In FY 2017 there were 574 CAF and MAF bonus eligible pilots ($80K per year each?) I don't know what the pilot bonus target take rate is ( I would think 100% at this point) or how the extra money would be allocated among officers. Would a 20% increase in pilot bonus be enough? Defense Budget Approximate Approval Timeline: February 12, 2018 – DoD Releases Fiscal Year 2019 Budget Proposal Spring/Summer 2018 – Congressional committees submit “views and estimates” of spending and revenues. Summer/Fall 2018 – House & Senate Armed Appropriations Committees work on the FY2019 defense bill. Summer/Fall 2018 – House of Representatives and Senate pass their versions of the defense bill and negotiate differences. November/December 2018 – The House of Representatives and Senate pass the final version of the defense bill. December 2018 – The defense bill is signed into law
  2. What Guardian said. The new AROWS format requires new accounting codes to be loaded. We had to wait a few days for finance to manually input the new codes into AROWs for every "pot of money".
  3. Pilot Shortage Deepens, USAF is SCREWED.

    If these guys bust daily rides/checkrides, the IPs are going to be blamed. They'll get 88/89 rides and the CC will push them through because he's going to be evaluated on his ability to max produce pilots and send them off to be someone else's problem. Being an IP for during next few years is going to be soul crushing. ALL the focus going forward will be quantity, not quality.
  4. At least in my unit, the person doing the certifications/authorization is often at a desk, in an secluded office, clicking "approved" 100 times per day. There is no reasonable method to ensure validity of requests because you're likely to piss off 99 people to catch the one unscrupulous individual who doesn't have an alibi. We've simply added complexity without value.
  5. Pilot Shortage Deepens, USAF is SCREWED.

    You're probably right. Not possible. As LiquidSky said, the Air Force is trying to their hooks into as many young people interested in flying as possible. They'll create a large pool of casual status lieutenants who will be doing busy work until the ideas proposed for ramping up production are implemented. Air Force assumptions: Production capacity isn't going to decline further in the near term. Pilot production ideas proposed by AETC will be funded and implemented quickly. Those ideas will work effectively once implemented. Casual status lieutenants are willing to wait possibly years for a training slot, and are willing to incur another 10 year commitment once winged. As is demonstrated again and again throughout the "pilot crisis" slides and memos: People are merely resources. They're going to stockpile these resources on the front end and treat them as though they do not have a shelf life.
  6. Flying Videos Thread Part 2?

    LOL. Don't forget, "Thank you for your service." This killed me.
  7. Flying Videos Thread Part 2?

    Curb your ISIS enthusiasm. Why did I laugh so hard at this?
  8. What's wrong with the Air Force?

    We must be more careful with our words. If we want our young leaders to be successful in macroaggressions during war, we must avoid exposing them to, and victimizing them with microaggressions.
  9. Pilot Shortage Deepens, USAF is SCREWED.

    “Hello, AETC? Can we get a new pilot over here? This one seems broken. No idea why.”
  10. Stuck at Kef

    I was there recently. Hard to book downtown because tourism demand exceeds lodging capacity by about 1000% they told us. Game of Thrones and LOTR has made Iceland hugely popular. Burgers were around $24. Expect to pay $50 for a pizza. We stayed north of Kef in the lighthouse inn at Gardur. Nice family owned hotel, but in the middle of an open field with not much around. but the scenery is amazing.
  11. Pilot Shortage Deepens, USAF is SCREWED.

    According to the .doc posted above, 100% of the focus is pilot production. It looks as though they intend to surge (unsustainably) until the dozens of separate complex COAs and programs can be implemented. They don't seem to consider this is going to burn out the current IPs and exacerbate the problem. A pre-planned transition to the airlines? Sim training: Contract IPs: I'd like to see that contract. Put all the T-1s at a single base. Great idea. Break Glass? Translation: screw the current workforce to build the new workforce.
  12. Pilot Shortage Deepens, USAF is SCREWED.

    I don't think it's a forecast, it's a "today" snap shot of every year group and how many are left (per 1000). The black is pilots who have separated. It looks as though it should be more of a linear decline as years of service increase, but the huge dip in the 11-14 year range is creating the concern.
  13. Pilot Shortage Deepens, USAF is SCREWED.

    The Air Force isn't interested in saving money, it's interested in spending money. Take a look at historical budgets across the AF. Money never actually gets "saved", it gets moved. Falling short of the 12,696.9 pilots the Air Force says it needs is being called a "crisis", but we're larger than the next 10 or whatever Air Forces combined. (I don't know if that's accurate. i made that up). Even if we reach a point where a lack of pilots results in excess flying hour program money, they'll simply shrug and move that money elsewhere. Calling this a crisis with impressive presentations of stats on ppt is a tool to be used to fund new programs and acquisitions. If the Air Force has to choose between paying a few guys to stay in a few more years, or potentially being funded for new initiatives costing hundreds of millions to increase pilot production, they're going to go with the latter.
  14. The Next President is...

    To win a war against Russia, we must first win the war against Earth's climate. Sounds reasonable.
  15. B-21 Raider

    Bye Bye Bone. B-21 is going to Dyess (sometime in the mid 2030s) http://www.bigcountryhomepage.com/news/main-news/dyess-afb-to-be-the-home-of-the-new-b-21-pending-congressional-approval/970100807?utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook_KRBC_News