brwwg&b
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Everything posted by brwwg&b
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I bet if there was a cease fire in Ukraine signed tomorrow you'd count that as a win. LordRatner is right, you're overly simplistic and fail to understand any complexity in the world beyond A therefore B. Go back to your cave.
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RUMINT: He went on leave and spoke to press and supposedly the president of Kosovo - in uniform, without any oversight or pre-planning/official coordination.
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Any truth to rumint of near entire Vance T-6 fleet damage due to excessive winds from a storm last week?
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USAF Finally found a way to get rid of the A-10
brwwg&b replied to ClearedHot's topic in General Discussion
Big emphasis on generally here. The FSCL really doesn't have anything to do with defining what's CAS vs AI, and what factors are decided on where to place the FSCL is more of a factor to your point. To FourFans' point, yes going for rear echelons usually is interdiction. Might be blurry depending on if & where the enemy is capable of/is engaging with friendly forces and their maneuver. Likewise for friendlies (SOF or other embedded into the deep, etc...) Overall, semantics that are likely to be f'd up 3 ways from wednesday by any C2 / staff / GOs / civil leadership anyways. -
Looks similar to ones in the past, except now there's a graduated $ increase from 3-4 years (35K) to 5-7 year (42.5K) or 8-12 year (50K) options. Since this is the "Legacy" AvB, it doesn't apply yet for people who are approaching but not AT their ADSC. 11Rs still get some form of screwed (35K max, except U2 pilots with RDTM EH...whatever that means) I think they're only trying to screw non U-2 11Rs this time. Open until 15 September, will be interesting to see if there's any difference from historical take rates...
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Not surprised, they've rarely been able to even stay above water, much less manage anything "seamlessly". I hope someone is fighting to push the rope for you though, that sucks.
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The article says it'll be released on 6 June on myFSS. Reading is tough
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It's funny - I was actually part of the convo with their team. When they realized they needed to update the emblem, they asked for input, and had a specific idea of F-16 flyover to "rectify" their mistake. I had (begrudgingly) scoured their regs, and in fact used the "specific aircraft" (which is not allowed - exactly for the reason Scooter14 said; that it doesn't "stand the test of time") as another argument point to them for updating the patch. When I mentioned that changing it to an F-16 doesn't fix that part of the problem, they said "oh no, we DO want that aircraft on there" I guess we're beholden to living life one step at a time... I'd even made a design with "darts" which would've preserved the missing man portion of the patch, at least. YCMTSU
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https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1697080/russia-poland-missle-dead-NATO-state-Ukraine-war-pictures-world-war-3 Reports that the Polish prime minister is calling emergency meetings
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You're asserting that Ukrainian military competency and capability (on their own) is zero. Which is blatantly incorrect. F yeah. Totally agree. You're still overstating our role. Even if the US is the bike - Ukraine are the bicyclists. If the bike stops working or magically disappears - Ukraine are now the runners. Or maybe they have a scooter or motorcycle they jump on. It doesn't simplify to automatic defeat just because Uncle Sam decides to stop showing up (which, by the way...won't happen, so the entire discussion is moot).
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For shits & grins though - we are approaching six months of Ukraine having HIMARS.
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It isn't as black and white as you make it out. Like a teenager learning to drive under supervision, there comes a moment where you let them go drive on their own. Before you do, they might sneak out and take the car out on their own. The difference here being that we aren't going to go take back equipment or munitions which was gifted, if they decide they no longer need supervision Realize that they have support (limited, sure) from many other nations from the US who have much more skin in the game when it comes to how this war settles. I know that you don't know who you are talking to. I also know that intelligence support isn't a discussion fit for this forum. edit: grammar
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National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan highlights four "core elements of consensus" in the U.S. gov about Ukraine. (about halfway through, CTRL+F Ukraine) https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/press-briefings/2022/11/11/press-gaggle-by-press-secretary-karine-jean-pierre-and-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-en-route-phnom-penh-cambodia/ TL;DR version: 1. It's Ukraine's decision when to go to the negotiating table. 2. Principles of a just peace are based on territorial and sovereign integrity (U.N. Charter). 3. Russia doubling down on annexation claims means they can't be a good faith negotiator. 4. U.S. approach remains the same - enable Ukraine to be in the best possible position on the battlefield. "And one more big-ticket item. So there’s kind of this sense of when is Ukraine going to negotiate. Okay, ultimately, at a 30,000-foot level, Ukraine is the party of peace in this conflict, and Russia is the party of war. Russia invaded Ukraine. If Russia chose to stop fighting in Ukraine and left, it would be the end of the war. If Ukraine chose to stop fighting and give up, it would be the end of Ukraine."
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Subordinate isn't the right wording. They were reliant on western supplied equipment and munitions. They've got lots of equipment now...munitions will continue to be a challenge. It doesn't make them a puppet for us, and doesn't mean we can tell them "go do this" and expect them to salute smartly and follow marching orders. They are compelled to consider (arguably, strongly consider) our recommendations....and then, it still is their decision. The situation has changed enough that the Ukrainians may be inspired enough by battlefield victories to think they have more rope to play with - they can do whatever they want with that rope. It's for us to try to advise, so they don't end up snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. We are certainly leveraging political tools to do so. If we stopped handing over equipment and munitions today - it isn't a guarantee that the Ukrainians would lose (in the near term). However, they (and we) understand the importance of both building & rebuilding a western supplied military for them. They're playing the politics side of it pretty smartly as well...they aren't subservient, realize that US would suffer political blowback if we just walked away right now, and know that we can help them behind the scenes as well. This doesn't just easily simplify to "we are a big country and you are a little one" power plays (nor should it).
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While the US has been the largest patron, they aren't the only one...and Ukraine isn't our whore. It's their country - we can carrot & stick all day to compel, but it's still their decision. Those measures are working, as Zelenskyy already (somewhat) walked it back - various reports of some willingness to enter talks with Russia - on Ukraine terms (possibly a post-Putin Russia). https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/08/zelenskyy-talks-with-russia-possible-on-ukraines-terms-00065624 At this point, if Russia stops fighting, the war is over. If Ukraine stops fighting, Ukraine is over (now or later). Aside from trying to provide off-ramps to Putin in an attempt to let him save face (won't work/matter), Ukraine going to negotiating table now is only beneficial to Russia.
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Some wild airmchair punditing there. Not many missiles start on a straight downward trajectory, burn out, reignite on a corkscrew while changing direction from down to up then smoke your flight lead. Still, a plus for the result either way: one less ruski Frogfoot in the world
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1/5 NATO countries that border Russia are in the red - Norway only. Absolutely agree that the remainder should show up with the $$ / % GDP to share shouldering the weight of deterrence and defense. Just saying your argument isn’t accurate. I do also agree that if/when Finland joins, they’ll need to bump up from their historic ~1.5% GDP on defense.
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Six additional National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS) with additional munitions for NASAMS; Up to 245,000 rounds of 155mm artillery ammunition; Up to 65,000 rounds of 120mm mortar ammunition; Up to 24 counter-artillery radars; Puma Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) and support equipment for Scan Eagle UAS systems; VAMPIRE Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems; Laser-guided rocket systems; Funding for training, maintenance, and sustainment. Source: https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3138105/nearly-3-billion-in-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/ Bashi don't be so naive to think that we would just hand $3B in cash and say "go have fun." The USAI package absolutely makes sense and is aligned to both our and Ukraine's interests. Even looking at the $40B total aid, that's comparatively about 5% of the annual DoD budget, and easily the most direct bang for our buck at the moment. Throwing a fit over $3B being used how it is...you're the only ignorant one here.
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https://www.ajc.com/news/breaking-military-aircraft-crashes-near-nellis-air-force-base/T2G5W3VW7BHXPEJMA37JNY6ZQA/ Story still developing
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https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/aviation/a35865601/f-36-kingsnake-air-force-next-fighter-jet-concept/
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They did, I think social media pressure actually got them off their asses... Though they don't seem to have an easily accessible high quality version. Seems like they wanted to make the correction quietly... looks like vipers to me
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What about this do you think would be interesting? Is it that an 11F is more comfortable with higher risk? Or that an 11F is comfortable with risk because of increased measures to mitigate that risk?
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https://www.faa.gov/news/updates/?newsId=96258 I imagine they could follow the FAA rules.
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Guess that's what a presidential pardon buys you these days.
