I think there are enough qualifying statements in there that make it a 50/50 proposition at best. Just my gut feeling. Big Blue has a way of moving the finish line. I think the big change will be the crew/CAP ratio, as the AF has been using surge numbers to man its squadrons, which has precipitated the continuous burnout in the community. Eventually, quality of life will have to improve, and one tangible way of doing that is to up that ratio so people aren't having to sit in the box for 8 hours, 6 days a week while on mids.
Also, I don't think that the AF has a clue how many of the 18X'ers will actually bail at the end of their commitment starting in late 2017 to early 2018. From the rumors I hear, almost all of them are as good as gone. That sets the stage for more pain down the road.