Lawman

What gets real crazy is when you start thinking about deconfliction of launch path/sequencing, detonation of missiles and effects on the rest of the group, or orbit tracks in a full exchange. It’s not like we sat down with the Russians and said “ok all our ICBMs will TOT using these flight paths, and yours can use these ones… The math involved into that with static ICBMs would be hard enough. Start throwing train mounted or road mobile systems into the mix… the convergence necessary to accurately sequence a full on nuclear first strike would be insanely high bar to hit. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

This is where I think a lot of the argument to leave Ukraine to its self because they “aren’t NATO” is a bad faith argument for many of the people making it. It would just be a goal post movement for a lot of people to say “oh the Baltics are NATO expansions so they don’t count” or some other self serving logic. Deterrence only works if it’s credible, and repeatedly backing away from the table and folding (the way Obama did) does nothing to build that credibility. Trump was right for taking Merkle and others to task about funding their way, but a whole lot of people want to pretend NATO hasn’t started changing the course of the ship in terms of funding or hasn’t hit well above its weight in donating funds and weapons to Ukraine. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

What? There are ten parked on our ramp right now. ESSS has been around since the 80s and was a pretty standard phenomenon. You didn’t see it in COIN Iraq/Stan because of either the weight penalty, the lack of requirement due to availability of FARPs, or some combination there of. In the 90s it was pretty much normal, same as Apaches flying with a single tank inboard. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

No matter the squeak apparently. If it makes anybody feel better we don’t trust our own air defense either. I just want to know where Division Main is so I can avoid it. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I couldn’t tell you anything about the flying part, but having dealt with my father’s painful journey the sooner you figure out the dietary inflammatories in your life the better. https://www.mayoclinic.org/healthy-lifestyle/nutrition-and-healthy-eating/in-depth/gout-diet/art-20048524 He started keeping a lot of anything he ate that caused significant flare ups. Learned a lot on curbing how often he ate a series of types of meals, changed around the way he and mom ate. Between that and Morning fasting cardio (he just walks as soon as he wakes up for an hour), huge impact on his overall quality of life. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

It was more too the room, and given how much I was drinking “shitting on” was probably more strongly worded than intended. More making the point that while TopGun/Airshow demos and the like sell movies and get kids to look up at jets and agree later to sign on the paper, they aren’t what wins the geopolitical war on their own. And while in the eyes of some the Mudhen is barely a fighter or whatever, what they just accomplished was bad ass. As this disposable drone warfare and AI synchronized targeting take over the kinetic I think the chances of that fighter on fighter scenario only decrease. What we saw this weekend is probably more in line with the reality of what we need the DCA and Air Defense players to be able to accomplish. I think I’m far more likely to be hit with that than with some random section of SU-24s getting through to the soft, important, vulnerable parts of our order of battle. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

How many MASCALs do the actions of a Robin Olds or Dick Bong etc prevent? I know this virtuous knights jousting in gleaming steel amongst the clouds crap people buy into is sexy, but reality is fighters unless they are sweeping the skies to prevent mass devastation by bombers or in this case drones, mean absolutely nothing in the grand scheme of geopolitical weight. Now don’t get it wrong, I want them viciously deadly at their job, I just don’t pretend to care it matters more than how many bombs some eod tech defused or how many routes some 19 year old in an MRAP with a roller plow prevented from being effective. We just dont have cool names for that kid. While you guys are shitting on a bunch of mudhen drivers, they may have just helped in actions that prevented a world war. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Call my accounts manager…. Tell him to put half of it in Raytheon. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

They will assess people into Ranger Bn (enlisted guys out of AIT for example) who haven’t done Ranger School, but have past RASP. It’s a kind of checks in the mail requirement as they only have so much capacity in the pipeline. They get treated like Ranger privates regardless of rank though until they get their tab, and failure to get it is grounds for putting them back in the regular Army. Outside people trying to get into a Ranger Battalion it’s usually a highly competitive process to get whatever brigade/division slot(s). We called it the Hunger Games when we were offered the opportunity to send 1x Lt/Cpts to it from the Aviation Brigade. Whatever this dude did to get his leadership to fight for those school slots, he is more than likely ridiculously hard charging amongst his peers. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/04/14/russia-sent-70-year-old-t-55-tanks-to-ukraine-without-even-upgrading-them/?sh=41432a5534d2 Surely the only reason they would be doing crap like this is they want to do it… It wouldn’t possibly demonstrate they are consuming their best equipment faster than they can replace it. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I think like Fourfans is saying though, that’s the problem, and it needs to be retasked or rewritten to understand who has the authority and responsibility. I’d argue State as an Embassy owner does need to play a critical role in researching the scale and scope of a NEO same as a HADR, but in reality it’s going to be the COCOM that ends up resourcing and reaching out for what it doesn’t have and should be where the planning is nested. Have Embassy’s come to a planning event, staff it with SMEs resident in the COCOM with State playing but understanding its job is to keep this plan handy and execute its portion of alerting and organizing on the ground. It would prevent what happened in Afghanistan of no plan being there to execute because State wasn’t really forced to make anything, the DOD being the magic red button, and the immediate action being activate the Global Reaction Force and tell TRANSCOM to just throw all its tails at it in priority. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

State is probably also not the department of government I’d go looking for in depth intelligence on understanding combat power. Be like asking the TSA how to do counter intelligence ops. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

“Well you see Congressman…. All the existing plans started out of BAF….. “ Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Well 20 years ago he was a democrat… Oh wait did I say the quiet part out loud? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Considering 100% turns off property tax in Texas, that’s a steal. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk