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Buddy Spike

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Posts posted by Buddy Spike

  1. 29 minutes ago, gearhog said:

    Hezbollah's Nasrallah is about to make a major speech in about 15 minutes.

    Could have significant implications as to whether the war will be escalated.

     

     

    That translator is in the fight of his life.  Must've lied on his resume and still got the job.  

  2. 1 hour ago, TheNewGazmo said:

    I believe I said, "All of these commercial contraptions should be required to have an ADS-B out device on them.". - that would not include a kid's party balloon.

    Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk
     

    You’re right, sorry.  What you quoted called the last three “commercial balloons.”  Which, I guess is correct, if you consider a party balloon “commercial.”

    We’re chasing ghosts.  

  3. 10 hours ago, TheNewGazmo said:

    All of these commercial contraptions should be required to have an ADS-B out device on them. I'm not sure why this hasn't already been implemented with how cheaply this can be done. If you are going to deploy a device that can enter our NAS, it should be able to be tracked.

    Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk
     

    You want ADS-B on a kid’s party balloon?  

  4. 15 hours ago, 08Dawg said:

    I've been trying to avoid digging into this too much because of the vitriol, but I've seen a couple of things posted from what I consider to be fairly reliable sources that the P-63 may have hit a drone (footage supporting this exists), which could have been a contributing factor to the mishap.  Thoughts, anyone?

     

    Hitting a drone shouldn't have put him in the same piece of sky as the B-17.  It may have caused him not to look for the B-17 with a belly check, or further distracted him, but he was already in the wrong place at the wrong time.  

    Also, the preliminary NTSB report makes no mention of this (and they would have this data by now).  It's likely fake news.

    • Upvote 1
  5. 56 minutes ago, nunya said:

    A rejoin is a skill taught to UPT students 4 months into training with 6-9 hours of formation flying experience. That's the wrong question. The question is what went wrong that a guy that has done thousands of rejoins in dozens of aircraft suddenly screws it up? And my experience tells me the answer has a lot more to do with human factors (rushing, distraction, medical, etc) than experience or skill.

    Was he not -3 rejoining with his formation in front of the B-17s?  Looks like he was trying to make a rejoin happen with his element and went belly up and never saw the B-17.  

    And is not having mini blocks standard for air show ops?  The report says no altitude deconfliction was briefed.  

    • Like 2
  6. 20 hours ago, VMFA187 said:

    The Hornet is a great CAS platform, but I wouldn't want to operate one over there. 

     

    Concur. CAS is a hell of a lot less effective when you're ingressing from a CP/IP at 480KGS, popping, attempting to slew the TPOD as you establish 30* NH only to roll in 2-3" later, and have <6" in the dive to locate the target. 

    Pretty easy when all you have to say is "captured, strike posture set" and hear "push when able."

     

    Maverick did it at age 60, so can you.   

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
  7. 4 minutes ago, Danger41 said:

    Source is a pilot in the sister squadron flying missions in the Ukrainian AF. I don’t have the inside scoop but asking a few other sources, I don’t doubt the veracity of the source. You got some other info? Or are you one of those fighter pilots that just has all knowing ever present SA on all topics at all times?

    His source is ENJJPT students who heard it from a friend of a friend of a friend.

    Yes, the entire Ghost story was made up by a gamer on Twitter.    It's based on a video game called Ace Combat.

    No, I'm a fighter pilot with a bit of common sense and a healthy dose of skepticism.  Given what you know about the MiG-29 and the Russian Air Force, did such a story really ever make sense? Do you really think a retired Su-27 pilot hopped in a MiG-29 and suddenly had global SA in such an environment and accounted for 69% of the kills?

    Stop being so gullible.  

     

    • Upvote 2
  8. 17 hours ago, Danger41 said:

    Posted on Instagram, former Thunderbird Pilot/Eagle guy Dozen Aldridge says that he has reliable first hand sources that say the “Ghost of Kyiv” was Colonel Olaksanser “Grey Wolf” Oksanchenko. Retired former Ukrainian SU-27 demo pilot that came out of retirement for the war. Unknown veracity of any of that and I haven’t personally reviewed the HUD tapes or 781’s so scoff away.

    It's amazing the amount of gullible fighter pilots that should know better that are quick to push the "I believe button" over rumors heard from a friend of a friend.

     

  9. 2 hours ago, Danger41 said:

    I was discussing this at work the other day and one of our intel guys who is super sharp was blown away at the feasibility of the “Ghost of Kyiv” based on capes of a Ukrainian Fulcrum vs Russian jets (radars, weapons, etc). All valid points but it truly goes to show that weapons and all of that are important, but the people using them are what truly matter. Kind of like John Boyd using the E-M theory and stating that an F-4 could never beat a MiG in a dogfight because the charts showed it performed worse. I doubt that story (Ghost) is true, but I know for certain that the Ukrainian military/people have shown one hell of a fighting spirit. It makes the Afghan military really look like shit bags with all of that tech and training they got over 2 decades just fold.

    Or, it goes to show how easy it is to create mythology in 2022 and people will really believe anything no matter how outlandish.

    The reality is likely that most of the Ukrainian kills have been through SAMs/Manpads and most of their air force was destroyed on the ground with very few if any air to air kills.

    • Upvote 3
  10. 14 minutes ago, bennynova said:

    Co soldering the only PLAT video made public is one with what seems to be a movie playing in the background and only includes the very tail end of the crash and the Carrier folks yelling to pull up.... 

     

    yes, there’s still a chance.    I’m open to both possibilities.   Some of you like to just toe the gubment line and be told what to think.    

    No.  There is no chance that any fighter pilot went through the verbal diarrhea in the the 6-9 seconds of the mishap.

    This is not a political statement.  They may have very well had side effects from the vaccine, but this rumor is just stupid.  There's simply not enough time to say all of that, nor would any real fighter pilot waste the brain bytes whilst crashing and trying not to die.

    Don't be an idiot.  And if you are a professional military aviator, you should know better than to float bullshit rumors and speculate during an active mishap investigation.  That's a foul.

    • Like 8
    • Upvote 6
  11. 2 hours ago, bennynova said:

    I posted a RUMOR.   It was not my friend, nor am I in the navy.    Thread title said RUMOR.

     

    it was to get to truth.

     

    so I have to say, you need to read better.

    I heard he flew a SHB so fast that he wound up in 1941 fighting Japanese Zeroes... then when he returned to the present, he was already slow and at idle and couldn't recover.  

    (Equally as plausible as someone filibustering on freq about vaccines during an ejection sequence) 

    • Like 1
    • Haha 2
  12. 3 hours ago, ClearedHot said:

    I will never understand the 98% survival rate statement. 

    340,000,000 Americans x .02 death rate = 6.8 million dead Americans, you are ok with that?

    We got lucky, so far it has killed 849,000 Americans and world-wide it has killed 5.5 MILLION People. 

    I am not in favor of masks, shutting down the economy, or mandatory vaccinations but I think we should stop the 98% survival rate BS and acknowledge there is a real impact.

    How many died with it vs of it?  The stats are flawed.  It's much less than 849k.

  13. 1 minute ago, MCO said:

    Maybe, but people have died of omicron. It’s possible you are proven right but it’s too early to tell how deadly omicron actually is other than it’s much less deadly. Hopefully it is the beginning of the end of the higher death rates compared to other seasonal diseases.

    How many?  What's the percentage per infections?

  14. 13 hours ago, MCO said:

     

    It is politicized. But you can’t say that the few thousand colds kill a year, or the 30,000 the flu kills a year is the same as COVID so far. It isn’t. That said, I mostly agree with you when it comes to overreaction of responses. Just be real about explaining the difference and the risk you are taking. I think the risk is low, much lower than the media makes it seem. I also think the risk is higher than the common cold. I don’t think those are two opposing views.

    You are comparing "covid so far" to Omicron, which is a much less lethal (almost not at all) variant that lives in the upper respiratory system.  It is a common cold.  

  15. 28 minutes ago, MCO said:

    I agree with you that over the top reactions needing to stop and most of our countermeasures right now aren’t doing anything, are for show, and we should be accepting more risk, but the 2000 Americans that died yesterday from it would probably say it’s still more than a common cold even if it’s usually less severe.

    we should be framing it for what it is, and making risk decisions that make sense. My two options now are it’s a common cold and any reaction is over the top, or it’s the Black Death and everyone will die if they don’t mask up with 7 masks. 
     

    It can be more than a common cold and your argument can still be valid that we should be getting back to normal.

     

    2000 Americans died with it or of it?  Which variant?

    How many Americans died yesterday of other causes?

    • Upvote 2
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